Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, Probabilities & Expert Tips 21.11.2026

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When Bayer Leverkusen faces SC Paderborn 07, the data points towards a low-scoring encounter, making "Total Goals: Under 4.5" a strong bet. Both teams lean towards solid defense, evidenced by their recent matches and head-to-head statistics. Bayer has fluctuated in form but shows a tendency to keep games tight, while Paderborn has struggled to find the net consistently. Historical data also supports this, with only 50% of their previous encounters exceeding 4.5 goals. Considering these factors, there’s a solid belief in a match that stays under this threshold, making it an attractive betting option for those looking to capitalize on the trends.

Oddspedia Model Probability 78.32%

Betting Odds Probability @-233 70.03%

11.84%

Bet value

When Bayer Leverkusen faces SC Paderborn 07, the data points towards a low-scoring encounter, making "Total Goals: Under 4.5" a strong bet. Both teams lean towards solid defense, evidenced by their recent matches and head-to-head statistics. Bayer has fluctuated in form but shows a tendency to keep games tight, while Paderborn has struggled to find the net consistently. Historical data also supports this, with only 50% of their previous encounters exceeding 4.5 goals. Considering these factors, there’s a solid belief in a match that stays under this threshold, making it an attractive betting option for those looking to capitalize on the trends.

Oddspedia Model Probability 78.32%

Betting Odds Probability @-233 70.03%

11.84%

Bet value

What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

In the upcoming clash between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07, predicting a total of under 2.5 goals holds significant merit. Both teams’ recent form highlights a tendency towards cautious play, particularly evident in Bayer’s mixed results and Paderborn’s string of draws. The H2H statistics further bolster this prediction, demonstrating a solid history of low-scoring encounters. Considering Leverkusen's ability to control the game and the challenges Paderborn faces on the road, a tightly contested match with fewer than three goals seems likely. With the odds favoring this scenario, it's a promising bet for both seasoned and new bettors alike.

Oddspedia Model Probability 46.38%

Betting Odds Probability @+240 29.41%

57.7%

Bet value

In the upcoming clash between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07, predicting a total of under 2.5 goals holds significant merit. Both teams’ recent form highlights a tendency towards cautious play, particularly evident in Bayer’s mixed results and Paderborn’s string of draws. The H2H statistics further bolster this prediction, demonstrating a solid history of low-scoring encounters. Considering Leverkusen's ability to control the game and the challenges Paderborn faces on the road, a tightly contested match with fewer than three goals seems likely. With the odds favoring this scenario, it's a promising bet for both seasoned and new bettors alike.

Oddspedia Model Probability 46.38%

Betting Odds Probability @+240 29.41%

57.7%

Bet value

Given Bayer Leverkusen's recent inconsistency and SC Paderborn's struggle to find the back of the net, backing the total goals to stay under 3.5 seems a wise choice. Leverkusen has shown signs of vulnerability in defense, but Paderborn's low-scoring run and tendency to draw will likely limit goal opportunities. Historically, their encounters lean towards lower-scoring games, with 67% of their head-to-head meetings featuring three or fewer goals. This trend, paired with Leverkusen’s fluctuating form, suggests that a tight contest is in store, making the Under 3.5 goals wager a solid bet for this match.

Oddspedia Model Probability 65.84%

Betting Odds Probability @+102 49.43%

33.2%

Bet value

Given Bayer Leverkusen's recent inconsistency and SC Paderborn's struggle to find the back of the net, backing the total goals to stay under 3.5 seems a wise choice. Leverkusen has shown signs of vulnerability in defense, but Paderborn's low-scoring run and tendency to draw will likely limit goal opportunities. Historically, their encounters lean towards lower-scoring games, with 67% of their head-to-head meetings featuring three or fewer goals. This trend, paired with Leverkusen’s fluctuating form, suggests that a tight contest is in store, making the Under 3.5 goals wager a solid bet for this match.

Oddspedia Model Probability 65.84%

Betting Odds Probability @+102 49.43%

33.2%

Bet value

Consensus prediction

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Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities

LEV

59% Home

23% Draw

19% Away

SCP

Correct Score probabilities

>3 3 2 1 0

12.6% 0.1% 5.6% 6.0% 3.8% 1.1% 9.8% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 11.8% 9.6% 4.6% 1.7% 7.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.4% 2.4%

0 1 2 3 >3

Correct Score: Other Home Win

Betting Trends

During the last 10 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 6 times, there have been 2 draws while SC Paderborn 07 have won 2 times. The goal difference is 20-12 in favour of Bayer Leverkusen.

Did you know that Bayer Leverkusen scores 30% of their goals between the minutes 76-90?

When playing at home, Bayer Leverkusen have not lost to SC Paderborn 07 in their last 4 encounters.

Consensus

2

21 Nov, 9:30 AM

Bayer Leverkusen - SC Paderborn 07

1st Half Result: Bayer Leverkusen

75%

3 of 4 Tips

Best odds

-163

21 Nov, 9:30 AM

Bayer Leverkusen - SC Paderborn 07

Full Time Result: SC Paderborn 07

60%

3 of 5 Tips

Best odds

+850