Finished
3 - 0
(HT 3 - 0)
19th Jun 26, 8:30 PM
23'
M. Cunha
36'
M. Cunha
45+3'
Vinicius Junior

Brazil vs Haiti Prediction: Can Brazil keep it tight in Round 2?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
Smartbet Logo
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Brazil vs Haiti. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Brazil vs Haiti is set for the World Cup (Round 2) on 2026-06-20, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet model points to Total Goals: Under 3.5, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability sits at 0.75, while the odds imply only 0.48, so there is clear +EV value at 0.57. Brazil can win without it turning wild, right? Haiti’s scoring numbers look light, and both teams show 0% of games going over 3.5 in these stats.

Our Expert's Prediction - Brazil vs Haiti Total Goals Full Time

Total Goals Full Time: Over 2.5
Stuart Brown
Sports Betting Expert
DraftKings
Won
-270

The Brazil vs Haiti prediction can also make a strong case for Over 3.5 Total Goals. Brazil's attacking talent is unquestionable, but after a slower start to the tournament than many expected, there is a growing sense that they need to rediscover their cutting edge sooner rather than later. A match against Haiti could provide the ideal opportunity for the five-time world champions to make a statement and build momentum heading into the latter stages of the group.

Haiti have shown enough attacking intent to suggest they could contribute to the scoring themselves, particularly if Brazil commit bodies forward in search of a convincing victory. With Brazil under pressure to turn possession and chances into goals, and with so much firepower available throughout their squad, this fixture has the potential to open up quickly. If the favourites find their rhythm in front of goal, Over 3.5 goals could prove to be the right side of the market.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
BRA
59% Home
24% Draw
18% Away
HAI

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
8.7% <0.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 12.5% 8.7% 3.5% 1.1% 15.0% 10.5% 4.3% 1.3% 9.0% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8% 1.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-0

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Brazil
68%
39 of 57 Tips
P
K
J
+35
DraftKings
Won
-900

Want to keep it simple? The community does. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result: Brazil at odds of 1.14, backed by 39 of 57 voters. That is a strong lean towards the favourites, and it matches the gap in recent form too. Brazil are on a 3-match winning streak and they have not lost in four. Haiti have two losses in their last three. Still, do you worry about Brazil conceding again? They have let in a goal in each of their last six matches, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed.

Consensus

48
Total Goals: Over 2.5
100%
11 of 11 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-270
To Win to Nil: Brazil
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-188
To Score a Penalty: Brazil
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+250
Correct Score: 4 : 0
100%
7 of 7 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+700
1st Half Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-110

Community Tips

454
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
2nd Half Total Goals: Over 4
Lost
+830
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Won
+100
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Total Goals: Over 7.5
Lost
+1300
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
1st Half Total Goals: Over 3
Void
+640
-572.67
671 Tips
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Asian Handicap: Brazil -2.5
Won
-116
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Correct Score: 4 : 1
Lost
+1200
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Asian Handicap: Brazil -3
Void
+140
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
To Win to Nil: Brazil
Won
-143
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Asian Handicap: Brazil -3
Void
+140
0.00
5 months ago
Brazil - Haiti
Total Goals: Over 7.5
Lost
+1300
L W W W D

Brazil Form Analysis: Can they control the tempo?

Brazil’s last five reads LWWWD, and that fits a side trending the right way. They average 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 conceded per match in these stats, with 54% average possession. They also create with 8.00 shots and 5.00 on target per game, so the chances are there. Vinicius Junior has already chipped in with 1 goal in 1 appearance. One worry? Brazil have conceded in six straight matches, so they are not totally locked in at the back. Can they win without a shootout?

L D W L L

Haiti Form Analysis: Can they keep it close?

Haiti’s form is LDWLL, so results have been rough lately. The big issue is output: 0.00 goals scored per match in these numbers, even though they fire 13.00 shots a game. Only 3.00 are on target, which says the finishing is not sharp. They also concede 1.00 per match, so they are not getting blown away on paper. Possession sits at 50%, so they can get on the ball. Still, with 0% over 2.5 and 0% over 3.5 in these stats, are they set up for a tight, low-scoring plan?

Brazil vs Haiti Stats

Brazil vs Haiti Odds - Brazil are clear favourites

The Full Time Result market is one-way: Brazil are 1.14, the Draw is 12.00, and Haiti are 28.00. That shows bookmakers expect a comfortable Brazil win. The Asian Handicap line is -2.5 at 1.93, with Haiti +2.5 at 2.08, so a 3-goal Brazil win is priced as very possible. In goals markets, Under 3.75 is 1.90 and Over 3.75 is 2.03, which leans slightly to a game with three goals or fewer.

Brazil vs Haiti Odds
Brazil Ancelotti, Carlo
Haiti Migne, Sebastien
4-4-2
Alisson
1
Danilo
13
Marquinhos
4
G. Magalhaes
3
Yellow Card
D. Santos
6
64' Substitute Out
A
L. Paqueta
20
81' Substitute Out
B. Guimaraes
8
Casemiro
5
81' Substitute Out
A
Vinicius Junior
7
64' Substitute Out
x2
M. Cunha
9
40' Substitute Out
Raphinha
10
5-4-1
J. Placide
1
46' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
C. Arcus
2
R. Ade
4
J. Duverne
22
H. Delcroix
5
M. Experience
8
63' Substitute Out
J. Casimir
21
Yellow Card
D. Jean Jacques
17
81' Substitute Out
J. Bellegarde
10
71' Substitute Out
R. Providence
15
46' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
F. Pierrot
20
Lincoln Financial Field
Hernandez, Alejandro

Last Matches

W L D W W ?
L W W W L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
0
Wins
1 played

Oddspedia Tipster Competitions

Monthly Tipster Competition

Monthly Tipster Competition

1000€ Prize Pool
969
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
Yearly Tipster Competition

Yearly Tipster Competition

3000€ Prize Pool
3009
01 Jul - 30 Jun
See details
Bundesliga Competition

Bundesliga Competition

500€ Prize Pool
423
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
La Liga Competition

La Liga Competition

500€ Prize Pool
524
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
EPL Competition

EPL Competition

500€ Prize Pool
530
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details

Get a free bet for Brazil vs Haiti

You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Brazil vs Haiti fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the best free bets and sign-up offers to get even more out of the bets you place.
$1,500 First Bet Offer
Terms & conditions
Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Terms & conditions
bet365 Review
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Terms & conditions

FAQ Brazil vs Haiti

Who will win between Brazil and Haiti?

Brazil are the clear favourites. The 1X2 odds price Brazil at 1.14, with Haiti out at 28.00. Brazil also have the better recent form and a 3-match winning streak. Still, Brazil have been conceding lately, so stay alert.

What is the best bet for Brazil and Haiti?

The model-led pick is Total Goals: Under 3.5. It has a 5-star confidence rating, with a 0.75 model probability versus 0.48 implied by odds, plus 0.57 positive expected value. It fits the low over-3.5 rates shown.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities for betting markets. You can then compare model probability to odds probability to spot value, like +EV bets.

Where and when is the match played?

Brazil vs Haiti is in the World Cup, Round 2. The match date is 2026-06-20. Kick-off is scheduled for 00:30 UTC. Check your local time zone so you do not miss the start.

Where to watch Brazil vs Haiti?

World Cup matches are usually shown on major broadcasters like BBC or ITV in the UK, and often on global sports networks too. Some bookmakers, such as bet365, may also offer livestreaming if you have a funded account.

Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.

By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.

    )    (       (       (      (            (       (
 ( /(    )\ )    )\ )    )\ )   )\ )         )\ )    )\ )     (
 )\())  (()/(   (()/(   (()/(  (()/(   (    (()/(   (()/(     )\
((_)\    /(_))   /(_))   /(_))  /(_))  )\    /(_))   /(_)) ((((_)(
  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
 \___/   |___/   |___/  |___/  |_|    |___|  |___/  |___|   /_/ \_\