Defensor - Penarol Predictions
18°
Winner probabilities
predictions
Defensor Sporting has shown resilience at home, recently grabbing a draw and a win, despite a string of losses before that. On the other hand, CA Penarol is struggling, managing just three draws in their last five outings, indicating they are not in top form. The H2H record between these teams supports the prediction, with both likely to find opportunities but struggling to secure consistent wins. Given Defensor Sporting's home advantage and Penarol's current struggle, the Double Chance: 1X appears to be a solid bet. This wager provides a safety net, making it an attractive option as both teams are searching for stability.
Oddspedia Model Probability
55.3%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44% 24.44% Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
In the upcoming clash between Defensor Sporting and CA Penarol, the prediction for total goals being under 2.5 holds strong merit. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring encounters, with recent form reflecting struggles to find the net; Defensor has recorded only one win in their last five matches, while Penarol’s form is equally uninspiring, sharing multiple draws and low goal tallies. Historical head-to-head encounters further support this view, with only 57% of matches surpassing the 2.5-goal mark. Given these trends, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a wise choice for this match.
Oddspedia Model Probability
59.12%
Betting Odds Probability @-111
52.63% 12.33% Bet value
In the upcoming clash between Defensor Sporting and CA Penarol, the smart wager is on total goals falling under 3.5. Both teams are struggling offensively, as evidenced by their recent form—Defensor Sporting has managed just one win in five matches, while Penarol is on a four-match winless streak with multiple draws. H2H statistics further support this bet, showing that only 22% of their clashes result in over 3.5 goals. With both sides finding it hard to score, a low-scoring encounter seems highly probable. Thus, backing under 3.5 total goals presents a strong value bet for savvy punters.
Oddspedia Model Probability
79.14%
Betting Odds Probability @-303
75.02% 5.49% Bet value
Match Probabilities
Betting Trends
Community Tips
0
No selections found, yet
Betting stats
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
Primera Division , Apertura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
31
| |
2
| 
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
W
D
L
W
W
?
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
W
?
|
28
| |
4
|
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
L
D
L
D
W
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
D
L
W
L
W
?
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
L
D
W
D
W
?
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
L
W
L
L
W
?
|
22
| |
8
|
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
21
| |
9
| 
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
L
D
W
L
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
L
L
W
L
W
?
|
20
| |
11
| 
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
D
D
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
| 
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
D
L
L
W
L
?
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
L
W
L
W
L
?
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
W
D
D
W
W
?
|
15
| |
15
| 
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
L
W
L
L
L
?
|
10
| |
16
| 
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
D
D
L
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Primera Division , Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
L
D
W
L
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
13
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
26:14
|
L
D
W
D
W
?
|
28
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
L
W
L
L
W
?
|
26
| |
4
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
13
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
18:10
|
W
D
L
W
W
?
|
22
| |
5
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
L
D
L
D
W
?
|
22
| |
6
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
13
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
18:14
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
19
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
13
|
6
|
1
|
6
|
13:15
|
L
W
L
L
L
?
|
19
| |
8
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
W
D
D
W
W
?
|
18
| |
9
|
CA Cerro
|
13
|
5
|
3
|
5
|
15:19
|
D
D
L
L
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
L
L
W
L
W
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
13
|
4
|
3
|
6
|
15:17
|
L
W
L
W
L
?
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
W
?
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
D
D
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
15
|
Cerro Largo
|
13
|
1
|
6
|
6
|
10:17
|
D
L
L
W
L
?
|
9
| |
16
|
Central Espanol
|
13
|
2
|
2
|
9
|
8:22
|
D
L
W
L
W
?
|
8
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
L
D
L
D
W
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35
|
18
|
9
|
8
|
54:32
|
W
D
L
W
W
?
|
63
| |
3
|
Torque
|
35
|
19
|
6
|
10
|
59:41
|
L
D
W
D
W
?
|
63
| |
4
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
L
W
L
L
W
?
|
61
| |
5
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
12
|
7
|
45:31
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
60
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
L
D
W
L
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
L
L
W
L
W
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
W
?
|
47
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
W
D
D
W
W
?
|
41
| |
10
|
Central Espanol
|
35
|
11
|
8
|
16
|
35:48
|
D
L
W
L
W
?
|
41
| |
11
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
39
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
35
|
9
|
10
|
16
|
33:41
|
D
L
L
W
L
?
|
37
| |
13
|
Boston River
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
34:47
|
L
W
L
W
L
?
|
37
| |
14
|
CA Cerro
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
29:53
|
D
D
L
L
L
?
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
35
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
31:49
|
L
W
L
L
L
?
|
35
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
D
D
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Primera Division , Torneo Intermedio, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
L
D
L
D
W
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
D
L
L
W
L
?
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
L
D
W
L
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
D
L
W
L
W
?
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
D
D
L
L
L
?
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
W
D
W
D
L
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
L
W
L
W
L
?
|
5
| |
Possible Lineups
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Tipster Competition
Yearly Tipster Competition
Bundesliga Competition
La Liga Competition
EPL Competition
Bonus Offers
$1,500 First Bet OfferTerms & conditions- Get $150 in Bonus BetsTerms & conditions
- Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or LoseTerms & conditions
Match Details
18°The much-anticipated Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and CA Penarol is set for 15/11/2026 at 23:00 UTC. As these two teams face off in Primera Division, punters are searching for the best odds and the most reliable predictions.
What Type of Predictions and Betting Value Can You Find?
At Oddspedia, you gain access to an extensive array of betting predictions for Defensor Sporting and CA Penarol as well as odds from 1 of the most reliable betting sites, covering 28 different markets.
Right on this page, you can quickly find the best predictions that offer the highest potential value. To help inform your bet, you can explore:
Oddspedia Smartbet - Computer Model Predictions
SmartBet is Oddspedia’s advanced, data-driven betting assistant designed to make smarter football betting effortless. It meticulously analyzes thousands of data points and over 100 match parameters—covering team form, injuries, player stats, and head-to-head records—to predict outcomes with high accuracy. If the model believes an outcome is more likely to happen than the bookmaker’s implied probability, we highlight it as having a positive Bet Value percentage (+EV). Built on Oddspedia’s 20+ years of odds expertise, SmartBet empowers bettors with reliable, data-backed predictions anytime.
Expert Predictions
Our Expert Tips are meticulously selected and justified by our professional team of betting analysts, who conduct deep, data-driven research. Their selections go beyond basic stats, factoring in key elements like recent team form, head-to-head records, player injuries, the overall competitive balance of the fixture, the strategic importance of the match, and identifying the potential for high-value upsets.
Community Tips and Consensus
See what the entire Oddspedia community is predicting for this match. You can quickly view the community consensus and identify the current public sway—a vital snapshot of market sentiment.
Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Betting Odds
Compare odds from 1 bookmakers to identify the betting value for this Primera Division fixture and find you the best Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol prediction. The prices across the available 28 betting markets are constanly updating. bet365 currently offers the best value on the match result. CA Penarol are favorites at @1.6.
You can visit our Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol odds page for more information.
Match Facts
- League: Primera Division (Uruguay)
- Date: 15/11/2026
- Kickoff: 23:00 UTC
- Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo, Uruguay
- Round: Primera Division
Popular Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Betting Markets
- Match result (1X2)
- Both teams to score (BTTS)
- Total goals (Over/Under)
- Correct score
More Primera Division Betting Tips
There are 8 upcoming matches in Primera Division. Next: Cerro Largo and Club Atletico Progreso on 12/11/2026 at 23:00UTC.
