Leixoes - Chaves Predictions

2 days
15th Nov 26, 1:00 PM
Weather Icon 16°
Winner probabilities
42%
27%
31%
Full Time Result: Home

predictions

Computer predictions
Powered by
Full Time Result: Chaves
Confidence Rating
FanDuel
Best odds
+250
Chaves looks poised to secure an away victory against Leixoes, considering their recent form and historical head-to-head performances. While Leixoes has struggled, with a record of four losses and a draw in their last five matches, Chaves has managed two wins in the same span. Historically, Chaves has the upper hand, winning six out of twelve meetings at Leixoes' ground. Moreover, both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, but Chaves has been slightly more consistent in finding the net. Given these insights, backing Chaves for the full-time result seems like a smart choice, offering good value for bettors.
Oddspedia Model Probability 30.94%
Betting Odds Probability @+260 27.78%
11.38%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Leixoes vs Chaves. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Double Chance: Draw or Chaves
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-125
Given the current form and historical data, backing "Double Chance: X2" for Chaves seems like a solid bet. Leixoes is struggling, having not won in their last five matches, and their home advantage has dwindled significantly. Chaves, on the other hand, has shown resilience in recent encounters, with only one loss in their last five meetings against Leixoes, while Leixoes has managed just one win in their last eight against them. Chaves’s scoring pattern indicates they find the net consistently, especially late in games. This, combined with Leixoes's defensive vulnerabilities, makes Chaves a strong candidate to at least draw or secure a win.
Oddspedia Model Probability 57.46%
Betting Odds Probability @-119 54.35%
5.72%
Bet value
1st Half Result: Draw
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
+120
Given the current form of both teams, predicting a draw in the first half of the match between Leixoes and Chaves seems solid. Leixoes has struggled to secure wins lately, not having triumphed in their last five outings, while Chaves has also faced challenges on the road. Historically, their meetings often lean toward low-scoring scenarios, and the average goals per match is just one. Both teams exhibit a tendency to be cautious early, reflected in their first-half win rates of around 29% and 26%, respectively. With pressing concerns for both squads, a stalemate looks likely in the initial 45 minutes.
Oddspedia Model Probability 46.9%
Betting Odds Probability @+120 45.45%
3.19%
Bet value

Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities
LEI
42% Home
27% Draw
31% Away
CHA
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
6.3% <0.1% 3.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 7.0% 9.3% 5.6% 2.5% 9.4% 12.6% 8.0% 3.0% 7.1% 7.6% 4.3% 2.0% 3.4%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

The most common result of matches between Leixoes SC and GD Chaves is 0-1. 5 matches have ended with this result.
During the last 12 meetings with Leixoes SC playing at home, Leixoes SC have won 3 times, there have been 3 draws while GD Chaves have won 6 times.
During the last 25 meetings, Leixoes SC have won 6 times, there have been 6 draws while GD Chaves have won 13 times.

Community Tips

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Betting stats

Played 12
Played 12
0% AH Line covered % 0%
58% O/U Line Covered 75%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
58% Over 2.5 goals 75%
42% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 25%
42% Over 1.5 Goals at Halftime 42%
33% Scored in both halves percentage 25%
33% Conceded in both halves percentage 42%

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
2
Wins
5
Draws
3
Wins
10 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
12
10
3
2
5
13:17
D L L L D ?
11
17
10
2
2
6
11:21
L D W L L ?
8

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Igor Stefanovic
Goalkeeper
Fernando Fonseca
Defender
Matheus Costa
Defender
Serif Nhaga
Defender
Lourenco Henriques
Defender
Rafael Barbosa
Midfielder
Claudio Araujo
Midfielder
Joao Assuncao
Midfielder
Bryan Rochez
Forward
Ruben Pina
Forward
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa
Forward
No missing players for Leixoes

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Match Details

Referee
Ruivo Pereira, Claudio Filipe
Stadium
Estadio do Mar
Location
Matosinhos, Portugal
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 16°

The much-anticipated Segunda Liga clash between Leixoes and Chaves is set for 15/11/2026 at 18:00 UTC. As these two teams face off in Segunda Liga, punters are searching for the best odds and the most reliable predictions.

What Type of Predictions and Betting Value Can You Find?

At Oddspedia, you gain access to an extensive array of betting predictions for Leixoes and Chaves as well as odds from 3 of the most reliable betting sites, covering 29 different markets. 

Right on this page, you can quickly find the best predictions that offer the highest potential value. To help inform your bet, you can explore:

Oddspedia Smartbet - Computer Model Predictions

SmartBet is Oddspedia’s advanced, data-driven betting assistant designed to make smarter football betting effortless. It meticulously analyzes thousands of data points and over 100 match parameters—covering team form, injuries, player stats, and head-to-head records—to predict outcomes with high accuracy. If the model believes an outcome is more likely to happen than the bookmaker’s implied probability, we highlight it as having a positive Bet Value percentage (+EV). Built on Oddspedia’s 20+ years of odds expertise, SmartBet empowers bettors with reliable, data-backed predictions anytime.
 

Expert Predictions

Our Expert Tips are meticulously selected and justified by our professional team of betting analysts, who conduct deep, data-driven research. Their selections go beyond basic stats, factoring in key elements like recent team form, head-to-head records, player injuries, the overall competitive balance of the fixture, the strategic importance of the match, and identifying the potential for high-value upsets. 

Community Tips and Consensus

See what the entire Oddspedia community is predicting for this match. You can quickly view the community consensus and identify the current public sway—a vital snapshot of market sentiment. 

 

Leixoes vs Chaves Betting Odds

Compare odds from 3 bookmakers to identify the betting value for this Segunda Liga fixture and find you the best Leixoes vs Chaves prediction. The prices across the available 29 betting markets are constanly updating. DraftKings currently offers the best value on the match result. Leixoes are favorites at @1.95. 

You can visit our Leixoes vs Chaves odds page for more information.

Match Facts

  • League: Segunda Liga (Portugal)
  • Date: 15/11/2026
  • Kickoff: 18:00 UTC
  • Venue: Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos, Portugal
  • Round: Segunda Liga
  • Match result (1X2)
  • Both teams to score (BTTS)
  • Total goals (Over/Under)
  • Correct score

More Segunda Liga Betting Tips

There are 220 upcoming matches in Segunda Liga. Next: Amarante and Felgueiras on 15/11/2026 at 11:00UTC.

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