Finished
1 - 0
(HT 0 - 0)
23rd Jun 26, 10:00 PM
76'
D. Munoz

Colombia vs DR Congo Prediction: Can Colombia control Round 2?

Last updated 5 months ago by Stuart Brown
Smartbet Logo
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Colombia vs DR Congo. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Colombia vs DR Congo is set for the World Cup (Round 2) on 2026-06-24 at 02:00 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet leans to Double Chance: X2, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. Sounds brave with Colombia priced short, right? But the model gives X2 a 0.48 probability, while the odds imply only 0.36, creating a +EV of 32.29%. With Colombia’s big shot volume and DR Congo’s away scoring average, an awkward draw or smash-and-grab is not impossible.

Our Expert's Prediction - Colombia vs DR Congo Both Teams to Score Full Time

Both Teams to Score Full Time: Yes
Stuart Brown
Sports Betting Expert
FanDuel
Lost
+122

Both sides openers ended with both teams scoring, and although Colombia are expected to win, I think there's more value in the BTTS market. DR Congo played quite well against Portugal, so I'm backing both teams to score in this one.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
COL
53% Home
26% Draw
21% Away
COD

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
7.0% <0.1% 5.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 10.8% 9.2% 4.0% 1.1% 14.1% 12.0% 5.1% 1.5% 9.1% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 1.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-0

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Colombia
64%
70 of 109 Tips
P
K
M
+66
bet365
Won
-188

The community is mostly backing a home win. Full Time Result: Colombia has 70 of 109 votes, and the current price is 1.58. That tells you the crowd expects Colombia to boss the ball and keep DR Congo pinned in. But is the price a bit tight for a World Cup match? The SmartBet model is hunting value on the other side with X2, so there is a real split here. If you prefer safety, the crowd’s pick fits the stats, but it may not be the best value.

Consensus

30
Correct Score: 0 : 0
100%
11 of 11 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+900
Half Time / Full Time: Colombia / Draw
100%
8 of 8 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+1600
Correct Score: 2 : 0
100%
7 of 7 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+550
Correct Score: 1 : 1
100%
7 of 7 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+650
Total Goals: Over 1.75
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-222

Community Tips

417
-120.51
804 Tips
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Correct Score: 3 : 0
Lost
+900
-120.51
804 Tips
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
1st Half Result: DR Congo
Lost
+600
-5.25
125 Tips
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Asian Handicap: Colombia -1.5
Lost
+160
-62.23
22 Tips
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Total Goals: Under 3.25
Won
-323
0.00
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Total Goals: Under 2.25
Won
-106
-81.06
35 Tips
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Total Goals: Over 2.25
Lost
-111
0.00
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Correct Score: 1 : 0
Won
+460
-329.93
472 Tips
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Asian Handicap: Colombia -1
Void
-112
0.00
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Won
-143
0.00
5 months ago
Colombia - DR Congo
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
+125
L L W W W

Colombia form analysis: Goals, control, and pressure

Colombia come in with LLWWW, so the trend is improving. The numbers are loud too. They average 3 goals, 15 shots, and 6 on target per match, plus 67% possession, which screams control. They have also seen Over 2.5 Goals land in 100% of their games, and they’ve scored in both halves every time. Luis Díaz, Jaminton Campaz, and Daniel Muñoz have all scored already, so goals are coming from different spots. But can they handle a match where they concede first?

L W D L D

DR Congo form analysis: Low ball, big moments?

DR Congo’s last five reads LWDLD, which is patchy and a bit unpredictable. Their per-match output is smaller: 1 goal from 8 shots, with only 2 on target, and just 25% possession. That often means they’re happy to sit deep and wait. They concede 1 per match too, so they are not getting blown away in the data we have. Over 2.5 Goals has been 0% for them, which points to tighter games. Can they nick the first goal and flip the script?

Colombia vs DR Congo Stats

Colombia vs DR Congo odds: Colombia favoured, but value debated

The 1X2 market makes Colombia clear favourites at 1.58, with the Draw at 4.14 and DR Congo at 7.17. The Asian Handicap line sits around Colombia -1 at 1.98 versus DR Congo +1 at 1.92, so the book expects a close-but-controlled home win. Goals pricing is tight too: Over 2.25 is 1.94 and Under 2.25 is 1.98, basically a coin flip. That lines up with “two or three goals” being the main expectation.

Colombia vs DR Congo Odds
Colombia Lorenzo, Nestor
DR Congo Desabre, Sebastien
4-2-3-1
C. Vargas
12
D. Munoz
2
D. Sanchez
23
Yellow Card
J. Lucumi
3
J. Mojica
22
Yellow Card
J. Lerma
16
G. Puerta
8
77' Substitute Out
J. Arias
10
58' Substitute Out
J. Rodriguez
10
L. Diaz
7
58' Substitute Out
L. Suarez
9
5-3-2
L. Mpasi
1
A. Wan-Bissaka
2
C. Mbemba
22
A. Tuanzebe
4
S. Kapuadi
3
72' Substitute Out
A. Masuaku
26
46' Substitute Out
N. Mukau
6
82' Substitute Out
S. Moutoussamy
8
72' Substitute Out
E. Kayembe
25
57' Substitute Out
C. Bakambu
17
Y. Wissa
20
Estadio Akron
Mariani, Maurizio

Last Matches

W D D L W ?
L W W L D ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
0
Wins
1 played

Oddspedia Tipster Competitions

Monthly Tipster Competition

Monthly Tipster Competition

1000€ Prize Pool
940
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
Yearly Tipster Competition

Yearly Tipster Competition

3000€ Prize Pool
2992
01 Jul - 30 Jun
See details
Bundesliga Competition

Bundesliga Competition

500€ Prize Pool
423
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
La Liga Competition

La Liga Competition

500€ Prize Pool
526
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
EPL Competition

EPL Competition

500€ Prize Pool
531
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details

Get a free bet for Colombia vs DR Congo

You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Colombia vs DR Congo fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the best free bets and sign-up offers to get even more out of the bets you place.
$1,500 First Bet Offer
Terms & conditions
Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Terms & conditions
bet365 Review
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Terms & conditions

FAQ Colombia vs DR Congo

Who will win between Colombia and DR Congo?

Bookmakers favour Colombia, with Colombia priced at 1.58 compared to 7.17 for DR Congo. Colombia also lead key stats like shots and possession. Still, the SmartBet model highlights upset insurance with Double Chance: X2.

What is the best bet for Colombia and DR Congo?

The computer-model pick is Double Chance: X2, rated 5 stars for confidence, with a 0.48 model probability and 32.29% positive expected value. The community’s top pick is Full Time Result: Colombia at 1.58.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares model probability to the odds. When the model probability is higher than the implied probability, it can flag value, like this X2 pick.

Where and when is the match played?

Colombia vs DR Congo is a World Cup Round 2 match on 2026-06-24. Kick-off time is 02:00 UTC. It’s a big spot in the group, so expect a serious tempo from the first whistle.

Where to watch Colombia vs DR Congo?

World Cup matches are often shown on major national broadcasters and official rights holders in each country. For streaming, check platforms linked to the broadcaster. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer livestreaming where available.

Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.

By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.

    )    (       (       (      (            (       (
 ( /(    )\ )    )\ )    )\ )   )\ )         )\ )    )\ )     (
 )\())  (()/(   (()/(   (()/(  (()/(   (    (()/(   (()/(     )\
((_)\    /(_))   /(_))   /(_))  /(_))  )\    /(_))   /(_)) ((((_)(
  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
 \___/   |___/   |___/  |___/  |_|    |___|  |___/  |___|   /_/ \_\