Danubio - Liverpool M Predictions
25°
Winner probabilities
predictions
Given the current form of both teams, opting for the Double Chance: 1X bet on Danubio seems to be a solid choice. Danubio has the home advantage, where they've historically performed well against Liverpool Montevideo, winning 8 out of their last 18 meetings at home. While Liverpool Montevideo boasts an impressive winning streak, they’ve struggled to secure victories on the road against Danubio in recent seasons. Additionally, Danubio has shown resilience by scoring in their last five matches. This bet captures the potential for either a Danubio win or a draw, presenting a favorable opportunity in this tightly contested match.
Oddspedia Model Probability
52.24%
Betting Odds Probability @-105
51.28% 1.87% Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
With both teams showing a tendency for low-scoring encounters in their history, predicting under 2.5 goals makes sense for this matchup. Danubio’s inconsistency at home and their struggles to find the back of the net in key games suggest they may struggle to score against a strong Liverpool Montevideo defense that has kept a clean sheet in recent outings. Additionally, both teams average just 1.6 goals in their head-to-head meetings, reinforcing the likelihood of a tightly contested match. With Liverpool also relying on late goals, we can anticipate a scenario favoring the under bet in this clash.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.34%
Betting Odds Probability @-139
58.14% 0.34% Bet value
Community
Match Probabilities
Betting Trends
Consensus
1Community Tips
10
Betting stats
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
L
W
D
W
D
|
31
| |
2
| 
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
D
L
W
D
L
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
D
|
28
| |
4
| 
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
L
L
L
W
W
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
W
L
W
W
D
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
W
W
W
L
W
|
22
| |
8
| 
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
21
| |
9
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
20
| |
11
|
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
| 
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
W
W
L
L
L
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
15
| |
15
| 
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
10
| |
16
| 
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
W
D
L
L
W
|
10
| |
Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
14
|
9
|
2
|
3
|
28:16
|
W
L
W
W
D
|
29
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
|
26
| |
4
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
22
| |
5
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
14
|
6
|
4
|
4
|
18:11
|
D
L
W
D
L
|
22
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
14
|
6
|
3
|
5
|
16:19
|
W
D
L
L
W
|
21
| |
7
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
14
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
20:16
|
L
W
D
W
D
|
20
| |
8
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
14
|
6
|
2
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
20
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
14
|
4
|
3
|
7
|
15:18
|
W
W
L
L
L
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
D
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Central Espanol
|
14
|
3
|
2
|
9
|
9:22
|
L
L
L
W
W
|
11
| |
15
|
Cerro Largo
|
14
|
1
|
7
|
6
|
12:19
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
10
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Intermedio A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
L
W
D
W
D
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
L
L
L
W
W
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
W
D
L
L
W
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
W
W
L
L
L
|
5
| |
Intermedio B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
7
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
12:4
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
15
| |
2
|
Nacional De Football
|
7
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
8:8
|
W
W
W
L
W
|
13
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
12:6
|
D
L
W
D
L
|
12
| |
4
|
Torque
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
3
|
11:11
|
W
L
W
W
D
|
12
| |
5
|
CA Juventud
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
8:11
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
8
| |
6
|
Albion FC
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:8
|
W
W
W
W
D
|
6
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
7
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
6:11
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
6
| |
8
|
Danubio
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
5:9
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
4
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Torque
|
36
|
19
|
7
|
10
|
61:43
|
W
L
W
W
D
|
64
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
36
|
18
|
9
|
9
|
54:33
|
D
L
W
D
L
|
63
| |
4
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
36
|
16
|
13
|
7
|
47:33
|
L
W
D
W
D
|
61
| |
5
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
W
W
W
L
W
|
61
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
D
|
47
| |
9
|
Central Espanol
|
36
|
12
|
8
|
16
|
36:48
|
L
L
L
W
W
|
44
| |
10
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
41
| |
11
|
CA Cerro
|
36
|
11
|
7
|
18
|
30:53
|
W
D
L
L
W
|
40
| |
12
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
39
| |
13
|
Cerro Largo
|
36
|
9
|
11
|
16
|
35:43
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
38
| |
14
|
Boston River
|
36
|
10
|
7
|
19
|
34:48
|
W
W
L
L
L
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
36
|
10
|
6
|
20
|
33:51
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
36
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Possible Lineups
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Match Details
25°The much-anticipated Primera Division clash between Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo is set for 15/11/2026 at 19:30 UTC. As these two teams face off in Primera Division, punters are searching for the best odds and the most reliable predictions.
What Type of Predictions and Betting Value Can You Find?
At Oddspedia, you gain access to an extensive array of betting predictions for Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo as well as odds from 4 of the most reliable betting sites, covering 29 different markets.
Right on this page, you can quickly find the best predictions that offer the highest potential value. To help inform your bet, you can explore:
Oddspedia Smartbet - Computer Model Predictions
SmartBet is Oddspedia’s advanced, data-driven betting assistant designed to make smarter football betting effortless. It meticulously analyzes thousands of data points and over 100 match parameters—covering team form, injuries, player stats, and head-to-head records—to predict outcomes with high accuracy. If the model believes an outcome is more likely to happen than the bookmaker’s implied probability, we highlight it as having a positive Bet Value percentage (+EV). Built on Oddspedia’s 20+ years of odds expertise, SmartBet empowers bettors with reliable, data-backed predictions anytime.
Expert Predictions
Our Expert Tips are meticulously selected and justified by our professional team of betting analysts, who conduct deep, data-driven research. Their selections go beyond basic stats, factoring in key elements like recent team form, head-to-head records, player injuries, the overall competitive balance of the fixture, the strategic importance of the match, and identifying the potential for high-value upsets.
Community Tips and Consensus
See what the entire Oddspedia community is predicting for this match. You can quickly view the community consensus and identify the current public sway—a vital snapshot of market sentiment.
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo Betting Odds
Compare odds from 4 bookmakers to identify the betting value for this Primera Division fixture and find you the best Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction. The prices across the available 29 betting markets are constanly updating. FanDuel currently offers the best value on the match result. Liverpool Montevideo are favorites at @1.95.
You can visit our Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo odds page for more information.
Match Facts
- League: Primera Division (Uruguay)
- Date: 15/11/2026
- Kickoff: 19:30 UTC
- Venue: Jardines Del Hipódromo, Montevideo, Uruguay
- Round: Primera Division
Popular Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo Betting Markets
- Match result (1X2)
- Both teams to score (BTTS)
- Total goals (Over/Under)
- Correct score
More Primera Division Betting Tips
There are 8 upcoming matches in Primera Division. Next: Cerro Largo and Club Atletico Progreso on 12/11/2026 at 23:00UTC.
