Finished
4 - 0
(HT 0 - 0)
26th Mar 26, 3:45 PM
49'
M. Damsgaard
58'
G. Isaksen
59'
G. Isaksen
75'
C. Norgaard

Denmark vs North Macedonia Prediction: Can Denmark keep it tight at home?

Last updated 8 months ago by Yordan Spasov
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Denmark vs North Macedonia. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Denmark vs North Macedonia kicks off on 26 March 2026 at 19:45 UTC in the World Cup UEFA qualification semi-final. The model is leaning towards Both Teams to Score: No, and it does so with strong confidence. It gives this outcome a 60% probability, while the market sits around 4/6, pointing to a small edge of roughly 4% in favour of that selection.

Looking at this Denmark vs North Macedonia prediction, the numbers suggest goals at both ends aren’t that common for either side. Denmark see BTTS land in about 43% of matches, while North Macedonia are even lower at 36%, which naturally supports the angle. It really comes down to whether Denmark are able to take control and keep things tight at the back.

Our Expert's Prediction - Denmark vs North Macedonia Total Goals Full Time

Total Goals Full Time: Over 2.5
Stuart Brown
Sports Betting Expert
DraftKings
Won
-165

Denmark will surely have enough fire power on home soil to register 3 goals against a North Macedonia side who haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away games.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
DEN
71% Home
19% Draw
10% Away
MKD

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
15.8% <0.1% 9.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.6% 13.9% 8.7% 3.0% 0.9% 14.8% 8.0% 2.3% 0.9% 7.2% 3.7% 1.1% <0.1% 0.8%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Home Win

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Denmark
100%
13 of 13 Tips
R
+9
DraftKings
Won
-425

The community is fully behind Denmark in the Full Time Result market, with 100% of voters backing a home win. The price sits at 17/50, which reflects that same expectation — Denmark are widely seen as the stronger side here. It also fits with their home form, as Denmark are unbeaten in their last six on home soil and have scored in 100% of their last five matches.

That said, the odds are on the shorter side, so it raises the question of whether there’s better value elsewhere. You could stick with the straight win, or look at alternatives like the Asian Handicap or Both Teams to Score depending on how you see the game playing out.

Consensus

13
Total Cards: Over 4
100%
13 of 13 Tips
Marathonbet
Best odds
-120
Half Time / Full Time: Denmark / Denmark
100%
4 of 4 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-180
To Win to Nil: Denmark
100%
3 of 3 Tips
Parimatch
Best odds
-129
Double Chance: Draw or North Macedonia
100%
3 of 3 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+410
Full Time Result: Denmark
96%
25 of 26 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-425

Community Tips

123
-405.64
489 Tips
8 months ago
2
Accumulator bet
Lost
+254
0.00
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
1st Half Result: Denmark
Lost
-182
-572.67
671 Tips
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap: Denmark -1.5
Won
-169
-680.35
1858 Tips
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Total Cards: Over 3.75
Lost
-152
0.00
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap: Denmark -2
Won
-105
-581.98
1274 Tips
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Total Goals: Over 3
Won
-109
0.00
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Lost
+142
-358.57
190 Tips
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap Corners: Denmark -5.5
Won
-103
-63.01
452 Tips
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
Total Goals: Under 4.5
Won
-455
-796.34
1361 Tips
8 months ago
Denmark - North Macedonia
To Win Both Halves: Denmark
Lost
+140
W W W D L

Denmark Form Analysis: Goals, control, and a strong home base

Denmark come into this with around 60% wins, 20% draws, and 20% losses from their last five, and the underlying numbers are strong. They’re averaging 2.7 goals per match from 18 shots, with 7.2 on target, so they’re creating plenty of chances. On top of that, they control games well with around 61% possession, which allows them to keep teams pinned back for long spells.

Defensively, they concede about 1.2 goals per match, so there’s room for clean sheets if they stay organised. Rasmus Højlund has been leading the line well with 5 goals in 5 games, giving them a reliable edge in front of goal. The big question is whether Denmark can start fast and maintain that intensity throughout.

W D D D L

North Macedonia Form Analysis: Can they stay in the fight?

North Macedonia’s recent form sits at around 20% wins, 60% draws, and 20% losses, so they’re still trying to find a bit of rhythm. They average 1.6 goals per match, but the chance creation is lower than Denmark, with about 9 shots and 4.1 on target per game. With around 47% possession, they’re likely to spend stretches without the ball, which could make things difficult here.

At the back, they concede roughly 1.3 goals per match, so they’re competitive, but the margins can be tight, especially away from home. Bojan Miovski and Enis Bardhi have chipped in with a goal each, while Eljif Elmas is key in linking play. The question is whether they can make the most of limited opportunities, possibly hitting on the break.

Denmark vs North Macedonia Stats

Denmark vs North Macedonia Odds - Bookmakers back a home win

The Full Time Result odds have Denmark as clear favourites at 17/50, with the draw at 5/1 and North Macedonia out at 27/2. The Asian Handicap is set at Denmark -1.75 at evens, which points towards a strong chance of a two-goal home win. On the totals side, Over 2.75 comes in at 8/9, while the under is priced at 6/5, suggesting the market is expecting a game with goals.

That said, the SmartBet angle leans towards Both Teams to Score: No, which paints a slightly different picture. It suggests Denmark are likely to do most of the scoring, while North Macedonia may find it tough to get on the scoresheet.

Denmark vs North Macedonia Odds

Denmark vs North Macedonia Predicted Lineups - Key roles and match-ups

Denmark are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under Brian Riemer, with Kasper Schmeichel in goal and a solid centre-back pairing of Joachim Andersen and Andreas Christensen. In midfield, Morten Hjulmand and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg are likely to control the tempo, helping Denmark dominate territory and second balls. Further forward, Mikkel Damsgaard and Gustav Isaksen bring pace and creativity behind Rasmus Højlund, who leads the line as the main goal threat.

North Macedonia are set to go with a 4-4-2, with Stole Dimitrievski in goal and Enis Bardhi alongside Isnik Alimi operating through central areas. Eljif Elmas offers movement and ball-carrying ability, while Bojan Miovski leads the attack. The key battle could come down to whether North Macedonia’s midfield can close off the space in those attacking pockets Denmark like to use.

Denmark Riemer, Brian
North Macedonia Sedloski, Goce
4-3-3
M. Hermansen
16
81' Substitute Out
A. Bah
6
86' Substitute Out
C. Norgaard
23
V. Nelsson
6
J. Maehle
5
P. Hojbjerg
23
M. Hjulmand
21
V. Froholdt
7
73' Substitute Out
x2
G. Isaksen
8
81' Substitute Out
R. Hojlund
9
86' Substitute Out
A
M. Damsgaard
14
3-5-2
S. Dimitrievski
23
A. Stojchevski
4
G. Zajkov
5
V. Musliu
6
64' Substitute Out
D. Churlinov
11
Yellow Card
E. Elmas
7
64' Substitute Out
J. Atanasov
21
Yellow Card
E. Bardhi
10
S. Herera
3
64' Substitute Out
L. Qamili
15
77' Substitute Out
E. Rastoder
11
Parken Stadium
Zwayer, Felix

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FAQ Denmark vs North Macedonia

Who will win between Denmark and North Macedonia?

Denmark are the likeliest winners based on price and form. They are unbeaten in six home matches and average 2.70 goals per game. North Macedonia are winless in four and create fewer chances, so an away upset looks unlikely.

What is the best bet for Denmark and North Macedonia?

The top model pick is Both Teams to Score: No, with a 60% probability compared to around 4/6 implied by the odds, giving roughly a 4% positive expected value edge. It also lines up with the trends, with Denmark seeing BTTS in 43% of matches and North Macedonia even lower at 36%.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates outcomes using team stats and market prices, then outputs probabilities and a confidence rating. Here it flags value on BTTS: No, with a 5-star confidence and +EV.

Where and when is the match played?

Denmark vs North Macedonia is on 26th March in the World Cup UEFA Qualification (Semifinal). Kick-off is at 19:45 UTC. Denmark are at home, which matters because their home run has been strong.

Where to watch Denmark vs North Macedonia?

World Cup qualifiers are usually shown on major sports broadcasters and official streaming platforms in each country. Check your local UEFA qualifier rights holder, and look for live options like bet365 streaming where available, depending on location and account status.

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