Tondela - Farense Predictions

2 days
15th Nov 26, 6:00 AM
Weather Icon 13°
Winner probabilities
38%
31%
31%
Full Time Result: Home

predictions

Computer predictions
Powered by
Full Time Result: Farense
Confidence Rating
DraftKings
Best odds
+245
CD Tondela's recent performances, particularly at home, paint a compelling picture in this matchup against Farense. With three consecutive home wins and a solid scoring record, their confidence is on the rise. Although Farense has shown some resilience, their away form is concerning, as they struggle to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Historical data also favors Tondela, who have not lost to Farense at home in their last five encounters. Coupled with the fact that Tondela tends to take charge early, they have a strong chance of maintaining control throughout the match. With these factors in mind, betting on an away win for Farense appears to have merit.
Oddspedia Model Probability 30.83%
Betting Odds Probability @+280 26.32%
17.14%
Bet value
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for CD Tondela vs Farense. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Double Chance: Draw or Farense
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-150
Given the recent form and historical context, backing a Double Chance on Farense (X2) is a strategically sound choice. CD Tondela has indeed been strong at home, winning their last four matches, but their recent encounters against Farense reveal a more competitive edge for the visitors, who clinched victory in their last meeting. Furthermore, Tondela's struggles to score in one of their home matches this season raises concerns, while Farense consistently finds the net in tough away conditions. With Farense having more to play for and the odds favoring a potential draw or away win, this prediction presents a positive opportunity for bettors.
Oddspedia Model Probability 61.72%
Betting Odds Probability @-118 54.05%
14.19%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-143
Given the head-to-head records and current form of both teams, the prediction for total goals being under 2.5 holds strong merit. CD Tondela has seen a noticeable emphasis on defense in recent matches, managing to keep a tight grip on their home turf with a goal difference favoring them at 6-2 against Farense in recent fixtures. Meanwhile, both teams have shown a tendency to struggle in finding the back of the net, particularly with Farense having one of the lowest away goals scored averages. Additionally, historical data underlines that most encounters yield fewer than three goals, making under 2.5 a sensible and promising choice for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability 60.64%
Betting Odds Probability @-139 58.14%
4.3%
Bet value

Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities
TON
38% Home
31% Draw
31% Away
FAR
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.0% 0.1% 2.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 6.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.5% 12.6% 14.1% 7.2% 2.4% 11.5% 10.3% 5.6% 1.9% 2.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

During the last 5 meetings with CD Tondela playing at home, CD Tondela have won 3 times, there have been 2 draws while SC Farense have won 0 times. The goal difference is 6-2 in favour of CD Tondela.
During the last 10 meetings, CD Tondela have won 4 times, there have been 3 draws while SC Farense have won 3 times. The goal difference is 9-8 in favour of CD Tondela.
In Liga Portugal 2, CD Tondela have 3 successive home wins.

Community Tips

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Betting stats

Played 12
Played 12
0% AH Line covered % 0%
42% O/U Line Covered 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
42% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
25% Over 1.5 Goals at Halftime 50%
33% Scored in both halves percentage 42%
25% Conceded in both halves percentage 25%

Last Matches

W W L W D ?
W W L D L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
2
Wins
3
Wins
5 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
7
10
5
1
4
13:11
W W L W D ?
16
8
10
4
3
3
17:14
W W L D L ?
15

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Carlos Eduardo de Araujo
Goalkeeper
Carraca
Defender
Christian Marques
Defender
Jose Ricardo
Defender
Brayan Medina
Defender
Helder Tavares
Midfielder
Sarara
Midfielder
Hugo Felix
Midfielder
Rodrigo Coelho Fernandes
Midfielder
Tomane
Forward
Arjen Van Der Heide
Forward
No missing players for CD Tondela

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Total Goals: Under 3.5
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Match Details

Referee
Lopes, Vitor
Stadium
Estadio Joao Cardoso
Location
Tondela, Portugal
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 13°

The much-anticipated Segunda Liga clash between CD Tondela and Farense is set for 15/11/2026 at 11:00 UTC. As these two teams face off in Segunda Liga, punters are searching for the best odds and the most reliable predictions.

What Type of Predictions and Betting Value Can You Find?

At Oddspedia, you gain access to an extensive array of betting predictions for CD Tondela and Farense as well as odds from 3 of the most reliable betting sites, covering 29 different markets. 

Right on this page, you can quickly find the best predictions that offer the highest potential value. To help inform your bet, you can explore:

Oddspedia Smartbet - Computer Model Predictions

SmartBet is Oddspedia’s advanced, data-driven betting assistant designed to make smarter football betting effortless. It meticulously analyzes thousands of data points and over 100 match parameters—covering team form, injuries, player stats, and head-to-head records—to predict outcomes with high accuracy. If the model believes an outcome is more likely to happen than the bookmaker’s implied probability, we highlight it as having a positive Bet Value percentage (+EV). Built on Oddspedia’s 20+ years of odds expertise, SmartBet empowers bettors with reliable, data-backed predictions anytime.
 

Expert Predictions

Our Expert Tips are meticulously selected and justified by our professional team of betting analysts, who conduct deep, data-driven research. Their selections go beyond basic stats, factoring in key elements like recent team form, head-to-head records, player injuries, the overall competitive balance of the fixture, the strategic importance of the match, and identifying the potential for high-value upsets. 

Community Tips and Consensus

See what the entire Oddspedia community is predicting for this match. You can quickly view the community consensus and identify the current public sway—a vital snapshot of market sentiment. 

 

CD Tondela vs Farense Betting Odds

Compare odds from 3 bookmakers to identify the betting value for this Segunda Liga fixture and find you the best CD Tondela vs Farense prediction. The prices across the available 29 betting markets are constanly updating. DraftKings currently offers the best value on the match result. CD Tondela are favorites at @2. 

You can visit our CD Tondela vs Farense odds page for more information.

Match Facts

  • League: Segunda Liga (Portugal)
  • Date: 15/11/2026
  • Kickoff: 11:00 UTC
  • Venue: Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela, Portugal
  • Round: Segunda Liga
  • Match result (1X2)
  • Both teams to score (BTTS)
  • Total goals (Over/Under)
  • Correct score

More Segunda Liga Betting Tips

There are 220 upcoming matches in Segunda Liga. Next: Amarante and Felgueiras on 15/11/2026 at 11:00UTC.

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