Finished
1 - 4
(HT 1 - 3)
26th Jun 26, 3:00 PM
21'
T. Aasgaard
7'
O. Dembele
20'
O. Dembele
32'
O. Dembele
90+4'
D. Doue

Norway vs France Prediction: Goals on the cards in World Cup Round 3?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Norway vs France. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Norway vs France kicks off on 2026-06-26 at 19:00 UTC in the World Cup (Round 3), and it shapes up like a lively goals game. Our computer model lands on Both Teams to Score: Yes, and it feels logical with Norway averaging 3.50 goals per match and France scoring 3.00. The SmartBet probability is 61.10% versus 54.35% implied by the odds, giving a +12.42% positive EV. So, can Haaland and France’s attack both get on the board? That’s the angle.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
NOR
29% Home
22% Draw
49% Away
FRA

SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
4.8% 0.4% 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 3.8% 6.9% 6.4% 4.1% 5.4% 9.9% 9.2% 5.8% 3.9% 7.1% 6.5% 4.1% 12.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Away Win

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
49 of 49 Tips
+45
bet365
Won
-133

The community is totally locked in on Both Teams to Score: Yes, and it’s not even close. All 49 of 49 tipsters have gone for BTTS Yes at odds of 1.60, which tells you how one-sided the public view is. Why the confidence? Norway’s matches have been wild for goals, and France have scored in 15 straight games. Plus, France have conceded in each of their last six, so a clean sheet looks tricky. Do you follow the crowd here, or look for a contrarian angle?

Consensus

29
Total Goals: Over 2.5
100%
23 of 23 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-200
Total Goals: Over 2.75
100%
10 of 10 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-167
Correct Score: 1 : 2
100%
9 of 9 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+800
Half Time / Full Time: France / Draw
100%
7 of 7 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+1800
Correct Score: 1 : 3
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1000

Community Tips

437
0.00
5 months ago
Norway - France
Own Goal: Yes
Lost
+730
0.00
5 months ago
Norway - France
To Score a Penalty: Norway
Lost
+900
-488.45
237 Tips
5 months ago
Norway - France
Total Corners: Over 11
Lost
+275
-188.12
250 Tips
5 months ago
Norway - France
Full Time Result: France
Won
-270
-488.45
237 Tips
5 months ago
Norway - France
To Win From Behind: France
Lost
+700
-91.95
60 Tips
5 months ago
Norway - France
1st Half Total Goals: Over 1.5
Won
+118
+20.81
69 Tips
5 months ago
Norway - France
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-143
+38.58
28 Tips
5 months ago
2
Accumulator bet
Won
+107
0.00
5 months ago
Norway - France
Both Teams to Score: No
Lost
+110
-53.50
120 Tips
5 months ago
Norway - France
Total Corners: Under 9
Void
-122
D W D W W

Norway Form Analysis: Can Haaland fire again?

Norway come in with strong momentum at DWDWW, and the numbers scream attacking intent. They average 3.50 goals from 12.00 shots per match, with 6.00 on target, and they’ve seen Over 2.5, Over 3.5, and even Over 4.5 land in 100% of games. They also score in both halves 100% of the time, which is scary for any defence. The flip side is they concede 1.50 per match, so they can be open. With Haaland on top form, can Norway nick one even as underdogs?

W L W W W

France Form Analysis: Can they keep rolling?

France’s recent form is WLWWW, and they look sharp at both ends of the pitch. They average 3.00 goals per match from 15.00 shots, with 6.50 on target, and they hold 55% possession on average. They also finish games strongly, scoring 2.50 second-half goals per match, which can break matches late. Defensively they allow just 0.50 goals per match in the stats, yet match facts say they’ve conceded in six straight, so there’s a bit of tension there. With Mbappe listed as top scorer in the facts (4), do France still have another gear?

Norway vs France Stats

Norway vs France Odds: France favoured, goals priced in

Bookmakers make France the clear favourite at 1.85, with Norway out at 4.90 and the Draw at 4.75. The Asian Handicap also leans France, with -0.75 priced at 1.83 versus Norway +0.75 at 2.07, so the market expects France to win by about a goal. For totals, Over 3 is 1.85 and Under 3 is 2.09, which hints at a high-scoring match but not a total goal-fest every time. Fancy a 2-1 or 3-1 type of game?

Norway vs France Odds
Norway Solbakken, Staale
France Stephan, Guy
4-3-3
E. Selvik
13
F. Aursnes
7
67' Substitute Out
H. Falchener
25
L. Ostigard
4
46' Substitute Out
F. Bjorkan
15
46' Substitute Out
K. Thorstvedt
18
Yellow Card
P. Berg
6
T. Aasgaard
19
83' Substitute Out
O. Bobb
22
J. Strand Larsen
11
83' Substitute Out
A
A. Schjelderup
21
4-2-3-1
M. Maignan
16
87' Substitute Out
J. Kounde
5
76' Substitute Out
D. Upamecano
4
M. Lacroix
17
T. Hernandez
19
Yellow Card
A
A. Tchouameni
8
M. Kone
8
65' Substitute Out
x3
O. Dembele
7
65' Substitute Out
M. Olise
11
D. Doue
20
87' Substitute Out
A
x2
K. Mbappe
10
Gillette Stadium
Oliver, Michael

Last Matches

L W L L L ?
W W D W L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
0
Wins
1
Win
1 played

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FAQ Norway vs France

Who will win between Norway and France?

France are the favourites based on the Full Time Result odds, with France to win at 1.85 versus Norway at 4.90. Still, Norway’s recent form is strong and they score loads, so an upset or a tight game is not impossible.

What is the best bet for Norway and France?

The top pick is Both Teams to Score: Yes. The model rates it at 61.10% and the odds imply 54.35%, creating +12.42% positive expected value. With both teams averaging 3.00+ goals, it fits the data.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares the model probability with the implied odds probability. If the model is higher, it can flag a value bet, like BTTS Yes here.

Where and when is the match played?

Norway vs France is played on 2026-06-26, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. It is part of the World Cup, Round 3. It’s a big spot in the group, so expect high intensity and few cheap mistakes.

Where to watch Norway vs France?

World Cup matches are usually shown on major national broadcasters and their streaming platforms, depending on your country. You may also find live coverage via betting sites like bet365 (where available). Check local listings for exact channels.

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