Bologna vs Inter Milan Prediction: Can Bologna stop Inter in Serie A?
Bologna's recent form has been underwhelming, with four matches without a win, signaling potential vulnerability. In contrast, Inter Milan has shown resilience, bouncing back after a loss with an impressive win streak. Historically, Bologna has struggled against Inter, but they do have some defensive strength, making a double chance of 1X appealing. The stats reveal both teams' propensity to score, especially with over 0.5 goals in every head-to-head matchup. This prediction offers a solid opportunity, capitalizing on Bologna's need to turn their fortunes around at home. Given these dynamics, backing Bologna to either win or draw seems both prudent and promising.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Bologna vs Inter Milan. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Bologna vs Inter Milan kicks off on 2026-10-17 in Serie A (Round 7), with Bologna trying to halt a rough run. The Oddspedia SmartBet model likes Double Chance: 1X, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model gives it a 53.84% chance, while the odds suggest only 42.55%, so the value looks real at +26.53% expected value. Can Bologna lean on home grit and turn this into another awkward trip for Inter? If it stays tight early, 1X can look very live.
Prematch Probabilities
SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The Oddspedia community is clearly leaning one way. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result: Inter Milan at 1.62, with 38 of 48 users backing the away win. It makes sense on the table, as Inter have 16 points from 6 matches while Bologna sit on 5. Still, is that price a bit short when the last meeting ended 3-3 and Bologna have only lost 1 of the last 5 meetings in all comps? The crowd trusts Inter’s consistency, but the matchup has been trickier lately.
Consensus
9Community Tips
118
Bologna Form Analysis: Can they stop the slide?
Bologna come in with a LDLDW run, but the bigger worry is they have not won in their last 7 games. At home, they are 0-2-1 this season, and they have gone four straight home matches without a win. They have also conceded in 9 consecutive matches, so they often start games chasing. In attack, it is spread out, with five players on 1 goal each, including Orsolini and Piccoli. Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 33% of their games, so they usually try to keep it tight.
Inter Milan Form Analysis: Can they keep scoring?
Inter are flying in the table with 16 points from 6 matches, even if the listed last-five sequence looks messy. The big signal is consistency in front of goal, as Inter have scored at least once in 24 straight matches. Their matches have also been lively, with 88% going over 2.5 goals and 50% even clearing over 4.5. Thuram is the clear threat right now with 2 goals and 2 assists, while Diouf leads assists with 3. If Inter score first, they tend to control the whole rhythm.
Bologna vs Inter Milan Odds: Inter priced as favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour Inter, with the away win at 1.62, the draw at 4.40, and Bologna at 6.33. That lines up with the standings gap, but it also makes Bologna or Draw a tempting angle for value hunters. On the goal line, Over 2.75 is 1.93 and Under 2.75 is 2.13, so the market expects around three goals. The Asian Handicap shows Bologna +1 at 1.90 versus Inter -1 at 2.04, suggesting a competitive but Inter-leaning game.
Bologna vs Inter Milan Predicted Lineups: Back threes and wing play
Bologna are set up in a 3-4-3 under Raffaele Palladino, with Orsolini and Cambiaghi flanking Piccoli up front. The wide midfield roles look key, as Miranda and Zortea should be asked to stretch Inter’s back line and still track runners. Inter are expected in a 3-5-2 with Cristian Chivu, which should turn the middle into a real scrap. Barella, Calhanoglu, and Zielinski give Inter lots of control, while Dimarco provides width. Up top, Thuram partners Lautaro, and that duo can punish any slow starts. Who wins the wing battles could decide it.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
Inter Milan
|
11
|
9
|
1
|
1
|
28:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
28
| |
8
|
Bologna
|
11
|
5
|
2
|
4
|
16:14
|
L
W
W
W
W
?
|
17
| |
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FAQ Bologna vs Inter Milan
Who will win between Bologna and Inter Milan?
Inter are the bookies’ favourites at 1.62 and they sit higher in the table with 16 points from 6 matches. Still, the SmartBet model leans Bologna to avoid defeat via Double Chance (1X), so an upset draw is not off the table.
What is the best bet for Bologna and Inter Milan?
The data-backed value pick is Double Chance: 1X. The SmartBet model rates it at 53.84% versus 42.55% implied by the odds, giving +26.53% positive expected value. It’s basically backing Bologna not to lose.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares its probability to the odds market. When the model probability is higher than the odds-implied probability, it can flag a positive expected value (+EV) bet.
Where and when is the match played?
Bologna vs Inter Milan is in Serie A (Round 7) on 2026-10-17. Kick-off is set for 16:00:00 UTC. Bologna are the home side, with Inter travelling for this one.
Where to watch Bologna vs Inter Milan?
Serie A matches are often shown on major sports broadcasters, depending on your country, such as TNT Sports or discovery+ in the UK, and other local rights holders elsewhere. Some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer live streaming with an eligible account.
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