Finished
0 - 0
(HT 0 - 0)
21st Jun 26, 3:00 PM

Belgium vs Iran Prediction: Can Belgium keep rolling in World Cup Round 2?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
Smartbet Logo
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Belgium vs Iran. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Belgium vs Iran is played on 2026-06-21 in the World Cup (Round 2), with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Our computer model goes against the crowd and likes Double Chance: X2. The confidence is 5/5, which is as strong as it gets. The model gives X2 a 50.60% chance, while the odds imply only 32.26%. That gap creates a +56.85% positive expected value, so it’s a value-first call. Will Iran stay stubborn and nick a draw, or even pull off a shock?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
BEL
52% Home
24% Draw
24% Away
IRI
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
9.6% 0.1% 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 8.8% 9.6% 5.3% 1.9% 10.3% 11.2% 6.2% 2.3% 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.3% 2.3%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Belgium
85%
83 of 98 Tips
P
+79
bet365
Lost
-238

The Oddspedia community is leaning hard towards the favourite. The top tip is Full Time Result: Belgium, backed by 83 of 98 users, at odds of 1.50. That tells you most punters expect control, territory, and a result without too much drama. Belgium’s long unbeaten run also fits that story, so the popular pick makes sense. Still, are the odds a bit tight if Iran can keep it close? If you’re betting favourites, you’ll want Belgium to start fast and avoid a cagey finish.

Consensus

37
Correct Score: 2 : 1
100%
10 of 10 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+750
Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
8 of 8 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-330
Asian Handicap: Belgium -0.75
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-190
To Score a Penalty: Belgium
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+400
Correct Score: 3 : 0
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+900

Community Tips

444
-1,176.60
1106 Tips
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
+110
0.00
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
To Score a Penalty: Belgium
Lost
+400
-29.00
13 Tips
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
1st Half Result: Iran
Lost
+650
+104.28
185 Tips
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Correct Score: 2 : 0
Lost
+500
-29.00
13 Tips
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Correct Score: 2 : 1
Lost
+700
-29.00
13 Tips
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
1st Half Correct Score: 0 : 1
Lost
+800
0.00
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Own Goal: Yes
Lost
+760
-29.00
13 Tips
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Half Time / Full Time: Iran / Belgium
Lost
+2500
0.00
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Total Corners: Over 8
Lost
-192
0.00
5 months ago
Belgium - Iran
Correct Score: 2 : 1
Lost
+700
W D W W D

Belgium Form Analysis: Can the unbeaten run continue?

Belgium’s recent form reads WDWWD, and the bigger story is they haven’t lost in 14 matches. They average 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 conceded per match from the available data, with 53% possession and 15.00 shots, so the approach is usually front-foot. They’ve also scored in eight straight matches, which helps for safer markets. Over 2.5 goals has landed 0% here, so don’t assume a goal-fest just because they’re favourites. No head-to-head data is on the board, so this feels like a style clash more than a rivalry.

L W W W D

Iran Form Analysis: Can the underdogs stay bold?

Iran’s last five is LWWWD, and they also bring a three-game winning streak into this one. The numbers show 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match, with 17.00 shots and 4.00 on target, so they’re not shy about attacking. Over 2.5 goals has hit 100% in the sample, and they’ve scored in both halves 100% of the time, which hints at good energy levels. Ramin Rezaeian leads the way with 1 goal and 1 assist. The big question is away output, as their average away scoring is listed as 0.33.

Belgium vs Iran Stats

Belgium vs Iran Odds - Belgium are clear favourites

The 1X2 market makes Belgium the strong favourite at 1.50, with the Draw at 4.90 and Iran at 8.35. That pricing says the book expects a Belgium win most of the time, even if the match stays tight. The Asian Handicap sits at Belgium -1.25 (1.98) and Iran +1.25 (1.91), which suggests a one-goal Belgium win is very live. For goals, Under 2.75 is slightly favoured at 1.87 versus Over 2.75 at 2.04, hinting at a controlled tempo.

Belgium vs Iran Odds
Belgium Garcia, Rudi
Iran Ghalenoei, Amir
4-2-3-1
T. Courtois
1
58' Substitute Out
T. Meunier
12
Red Card
N. Ngoy
15
B. Mechele
4
M. De Cuyper
5
58' Substitute Out
N. Raskin
23
Y. Tielemans
18
58' Substitute Out
A. Saelemaekers
56
87' Substitute Out
K. De Bruyne
11
L. Trossard
10
73' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
R. Lukaku
9
4-3-3
A. Beiranvand
1
46' Substitute Out
S. Hardani
2
S. Khalilzadeh
4
H. Kanani
13
66' Substitute Out
E. Hajisafi
3
79' Substitute Out
S. Ghoddos
14
85' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
S. Ezatolahi
6
R. Rezaeian
23
66' Substitute Out
M. Mohebbi
8
M. Taremi
9
A. Nemati
19
SoFi Stadium
Herrera, Dario

Last Matches

L W L W L ?
D D D L L ?
44'
Turkey
Belgium
1
2
?
05 Oct
FT
France
Belgium
4
1
L

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
0
Wins
1
Draw
0
Wins
1 played

Oddspedia Tipster Competitions

Monthly Tipster Competition

Monthly Tipster Competition

1000€ Prize Pool
952
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
Yearly Tipster Competition

Yearly Tipster Competition

3000€ Prize Pool
2998
01 Jul - 30 Jun
See details
Bundesliga Competition

Bundesliga Competition

500€ Prize Pool
423
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
La Liga Competition

La Liga Competition

500€ Prize Pool
524
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details
EPL Competition

EPL Competition

500€ Prize Pool
530
01 Nov - 30 Nov
See details

Get a free bet for Belgium vs Iran

You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Belgium vs Iran fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the best free bets and sign-up offers to get even more out of the bets you place.
$1,500 First Bet Offer
Terms & conditions
Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Terms & conditions
bet365 Review
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Terms & conditions

FAQ Belgium vs Iran

Who will win between Belgium and Iran?

Bookmakers favour Belgium to win at odds of 1.50, and Belgium are unbeaten in 14 games. Iran are in good form too, though, with a three-match winning streak. The model’s value lean is on Iran avoiding defeat (X2).

What is the best bet for Belgium and Iran?

The Oddspedia SmartBet model’s best-value pick is Double Chance: X2. It rates 5/5 confidence and gives 50.60% probability, while the odds imply 32.26%. If you prefer the safe popular route, the community backs Belgium to win.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates matches to estimate outcome probabilities. It then compares those probabilities to the odds to find value bets. Here, it spots value in Double Chance: X2 due to the big probability gap.

Where and when is the match played?

Belgium vs Iran is a World Cup match in Round 2. It is played on 2026-06-21, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Check your local listings for the stadium and the exact broadcast time in your region.

Where to watch Belgium vs Iran?

World Cup matches are usually shown on major free-to-air and sports channels, depending on your country. You can also check official tournament broadcast partners. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer live streaming if you have a funded account.

Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.

By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.

    )    (       (       (      (            (       (
 ( /(    )\ )    )\ )    )\ )   )\ )         )\ )    )\ )     (
 )\())  (()/(   (()/(   (()/(  (()/(   (    (()/(   (()/(     )\
((_)\    /(_))   /(_))   /(_))  /(_))  )\    /(_))   /(_)) ((((_)(
  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
 \___/   |___/   |___/  |___/  |_|    |___|  |___/  |___|   /_/ \_\