Belgium - Italy Predictions

3 days
15th Nov 26, 2:45 PM
Weather Icon 11°
Winner probabilities
46%
24%
30%
Full Time Result: Home

predictions

Computer predictions
Powered by
Full Time Result: Belgium
Confidence Rating
FanDuel
Best odds
+120
Belgium has shown moments of inconsistency lately, but when facing Italy, the home advantage could tip the scales in their favor. Their attacking prowess, especially at home, makes them a formidable opponent, while Italy’s mixed form suggests vulnerabilities in their defense. The H2H records indicate that both teams can find the net, but Belgium’s ability to dominate at home, combined with Italy's struggles away, supports the prediction for a home victory. With a positive expected value backing this bet, it’s a solid option to consider for those looking to make the most of their wager on this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability 46.41%
Betting Odds Probability @+125 44.44%
4.43%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Belgium vs Italy. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities
BEL
46% Home
24% Draw
30% Away
ITA
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
9.6% 0.3% 4.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.4% 6.7% 8.9% 5.9% 2.5% 8.2% 10.9% 7.3% 2.8% 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 2.0% 4.0%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

During the last 13 meetings, Belgium have won 3 times, there have been 3 draws while Italy have won 7 times.
Italy have lost none of their last 4 away matches.
Belgium wins 1st half in 53% of their matches, Italy in 55% of their matches.

Community Tips

1
-2,844.56
5080 Tips
11 days ago
Belgium - Italy
Full Time Result: Italy
Tipped @ +178
Ready to make your Belgium vs Italy prediction?

Betting stats

Played 5
Played 4
0% AH Line covered % 0%
20% O/U Line Covered 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 50%
20% Over 4.5 goals 25%
20% Over 1.5 Goals at Halftime 25%
40% Scored in both halves percentage 50%
0% Conceded in both halves percentage 25%

Last Matches

W L W L W ?
W L W D W ?
4'
Italy
France
0
0
?
05 Oct
FT
Italy
Turkey
3
1
W

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
1
Draw
3
Wins
5 played

Standings

A1

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
1
4
3
1
0
7:2
W W D W ?
10
2
5
3
0
2
8:6
W L W L W ?
9
3
4
2
1
1
8:5
L W D W ?
7
4
5
0
0
5
3:13
L L L L L ?
0

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Belgium Van Bommel, Mark
Italy Mancini, Roberto
4-3-3
1
S. Lammens
21
T. Castagne
15
N. Ngoy
4
B. Mechele
5
M. De Cuyper
11
K. De Bruyne
23
N. Raskin
18
Y. Tielemans
19
D. Moreira
17
C. De Ketelaere
11
J. Doku
4-3-3
1
G. Donnarumma
2
M. Kayode
19
G. Scalvini
6
A. Bastoni
5
R. Calafiori
16
D. Frattesi
8
S. Tonali
18
N. Barella
20
S. Esposito
9
F. Esposito
7
N. Cambiaghi
Stade Roi Baudouin
No missing players for Belgium

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
Stade Roi Baudouin
Location
Brussels, Belgium
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 11°

The much-anticipated UEFA Nations League clash between Belgium and Italy is set for 15/11/2026 at 19:45 UTC. As these two teams face off in UEFA Nations League, punters are searching for the best odds and the most reliable predictions.

What Type of Predictions and Betting Value Can You Find?

At Oddspedia, you gain access to an extensive array of betting predictions for Belgium and Italy as well as odds from 2 of the most reliable betting sites, covering 9 different markets. 

Right on this page, you can quickly find the best predictions that offer the highest potential value. To help inform your bet, you can explore:

Oddspedia Smartbet - Computer Model Predictions

SmartBet is Oddspedia’s advanced, data-driven betting assistant designed to make smarter football betting effortless. It meticulously analyzes thousands of data points and over 100 match parameters—covering team form, injuries, player stats, and head-to-head records—to predict outcomes with high accuracy. If the model believes an outcome is more likely to happen than the bookmaker’s implied probability, we highlight it as having a positive Bet Value percentage (+EV). Built on Oddspedia’s 20+ years of odds expertise, SmartBet empowers bettors with reliable, data-backed predictions anytime.
 

Expert Predictions

Our Expert Tips are meticulously selected and justified by our professional team of betting analysts, who conduct deep, data-driven research. Their selections go beyond basic stats, factoring in key elements like recent team form, head-to-head records, player injuries, the overall competitive balance of the fixture, the strategic importance of the match, and identifying the potential for high-value upsets. 

Community Tips and Consensus

See what the entire Oddspedia community is predicting for this match. You can quickly view the community consensus and identify the current public sway—a vital snapshot of market sentiment. 

 

Belgium vs Italy Betting Odds

Compare odds from 2 bookmakers to identify the betting value for this UEFA Nations League fixture and find you the best Belgium vs Italy prediction. The prices across the available 9 betting markets are constanly updating. BetMGM currently offers the best value on the match result. Belgium are favorites at @2.15. 

You can visit our Belgium vs Italy odds page for more information.

Match Facts

  • League: UEFA Nations League (Europe)
  • Date: 15/11/2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UTC
  • Venue: Stade Roi Baudouin, Brussels, Belgium
  • Round: UEFA Nations League
  • Match result (1X2)
  • Both teams to score (BTTS)
  • Total goals (Over/Under)
  • Correct score

More UEFA Nations League Betting Tips

There are 52 upcoming matches in UEFA Nations League. Next: Turkey and Belgium on 12/11/2026 at 17:00UTC.

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