Finished
1 - 0
(HT 0 - 0)
14th Jun 26, 7:00 PM
90'
A. Diallo

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Prediction: Can Ivory Coast start Round 1 with a statement?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador is played on 2026-06-14 in the World Cup (Round 1), with kick-off at 23:00:00 UTC. The SmartBet model points to Total Goals: Over 1.5, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability is 67.03%, while the odds imply 61.73%, so there is +8.59% positive expected value. With both teams on scoring streaks, it feels like a game where one goal might open the door for another. Will they keep things tight, or do we get an early breakthrough?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
CIV
42% Home
28% Draw
30% Away
ECU

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
4.3% <0.1% 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 9.4% 10.0% 5.3% 1.9% 2.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
86%
19 of 22 Tips
+15
DraftKings
Lost
+130

The community is leaning towards Both Teams to Score: Yes, and it is pretty strong. A total of 19 out of 22 tipsters have backed it, with current odds at 2.40. Why the confidence? Ivory Coast have scored in 9 straight matches, and Ecuador have scored in 5 straight. Plus, Ecuador are unbeaten in 19 games, so they usually find a way to stay in it. The price is bigger than the Over 1.5 line, so punters are clearly chasing value. Do you trust both attacks to show up?

Consensus

30
Correct Score: 1 : 1
100%
16 of 16 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+500
Correct Score: 0 : 0
100%
13 of 13 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+550
Half Time / Full Time: Ecuador / Draw
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1400
Total Cards: Over 3.5
100%
8 of 8 Tips
Marathonbet
Best odds
+114
Total Cards: Over 3
100%
4 of 4 Tips
Marathonbet
Best odds
-141

Community Tips

462
-396.95
846 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+190
-10.00
1 Tip
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Total Goals: Under 2
Won
-115
-474.24
1046 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+190
-474.24
1046 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Correct Score: 1 : 1
Lost
+500
-474.24
1046 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Half Time / Full Time: Ivory Coast / Draw
Lost
+1400
-1,125.47
1317 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
+120
-124.71
821 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Won
-222
-655.25
1233 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Correct Score: 4 : 4
Lost
+15000
+955.03
1566 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Total Cards: Over 4
Void
+195
-655.25
1233 Tips
5 months ago
Ivory Coast - Ecuador
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+190
W L W W W

Ivory Coast Form Analysis: Can the Elephants keep rolling?

Ivory Coast arrive in good shape with a WLWWW run, so confidence should be high. They are also on a 3-match winning streak, and they have scored at least one goal in 9 straight games, which is a big plus for goals markets. The match facts also say they win 50% of first halves, so a quick start is on the table. There is no recent head-to-head to lean on, and we do not have shots or xG data here, so form and streaks do the heavy lifting. Can they turn early pressure into a lead?

W D D W W

Ecuador Form Analysis: Unbeaten run meets a tough test

Ecuador’s recent form reads WDDWW, and the bigger story is their 19-game unbeaten streak. That kind of consistency travels well, even in a tight World Cup opener. They have also scored in 5 straight matches, so they are not just defending and hoping. Still, the match facts flag a lower away scoring average of 0.67, which hints they may be more cautious on the road. There is no head-to-head record in the last 9 years, so this feels like new ground. Do they control the tempo, or get pulled into a scrap?

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Stats

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Odds: Ecuador slight favourites

The Full Time Result odds make Ecuador the narrow pick at 2.70, with Ivory Coast at 3.55 and the Draw at 2.90. That suggests a close match rather than a clear mismatch. On the Asian Handicap, +0.25 is priced at 1.84 and -0.25 at 2.21, again pointing to fine margins. Goals markets also lean slightly higher scoring, with Total Goals Over 1.75 at 1.83 versus Under 1.75 at 2.14. Are the bookies expecting a 1-1 type game?

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Odds
Ivory Coast Fae, Emerse
Ecuador Beccacece, Sebastian
4-4-2
Y. Fofana
1
89' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
G. Doue
17
A
W. Singo
5
E. Agbadou
20
G. Konan
3
77' Substitute Out
N. Pepe
19
Yellow Card
F. Kessie
8
77' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
S. Fofana
6
Y. Diomande
10
56' Substitute Out
E. Wahi
12
56' Substitute Out
B. Toure
24
3-4-3
H. Galindez
1
J. Ordonez
4
W. Pacho
6
P. Hincapie
5
56' Substitute Out
A. Minda
14
62' Substitute Out
A. Franco
21
M. Caicedo
25
P. Vite
15
G. Plata
19
77' Substitute Out
E. Valencia
13
62' Substitute Out
J. Yeboah
10
Lincoln Financial Field
Letexier, Francois

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
0
Wins
1 played

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FAQ Ivory Coast vs Ecuador

Who will win between Ivory Coast and Ecuador?

The odds slightly favour Ecuador (2.70), but it looks tight with the Draw at 2.90 and Ivory Coast at 3.55. Ecuador’s 19-game unbeaten run is huge, yet Ivory Coast are on a 3-match winning streak. It could go either way.

What is the best bet for Ivory Coast and Ecuador?

The SmartBet model’s top pick is Total Goals: Over 1.5, with a 67.03% model probability and 61.73% implied by odds. That creates +8.59% positive expected value. The community also likes Both Teams to Score: Yes at 2.40.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities for betting markets. Here it rates Over 1.5 goals at 5-star confidence, meaning the model sees it as a strong angle versus the odds.

Where and when is the match played?

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador is a World Cup (Round 1) match played on 2026-06-14. Kick-off is scheduled for 23:00:00 UTC. It is an opening-round game, so expect nerves early but plenty of energy once it settles.

Where to watch Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?

World Cup matches are usually shown on major sports broadcasters and free-to-air partners, depending on your country. You can also check streaming platforms linked to official rights holders. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer livestreaming if you have an account and meet viewing rules.

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