Finished
0 - 3
(HT 0 - 1)
18th Oct 26, 2:45 PM
37'
O. Provstgaard
66'
G. Isaksen
89'
F. Dele-Bashiru
Match highlights

Juventus vs Lazio Prediction: Can Juve stop Lazio’s hot start in Serie A?

Last updated 24 days ago by Ben Cronin
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Juventus vs Lazio. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Juventus vs Lazio is played on 2026-10-18 in Serie A (Round 7), with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. It looks like a tight tactical game, so corners could be the best angle. Oddspedia SmartBet lands on Total Corners: Under 10.5 with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability is 70.88%, while the odds imply 65.79%, which creates a +7.74% positive expected value. Will both sides keep it cagey, especially early on? If the tempo stays controlled, the under on corners can cash nicely.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
JUV
53% Home
25% Draw
22% Away
LAZ
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
8.0% <0.1% 5.1% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7% 9.9% 10.1% 4.7% 1.4% 12.0% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 1.7%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-0

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Juventus
65%
30 of 46 Tips
1
+26
BetMGM
Lost
-159

The community is leaning towards the home win. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result: Juventus at odds of 1.63, backed by 30 of 46 picks. That price says Juve are the clear favourite, even though Lazio are higher in the table right now. Is it the home factor doing the heavy lifting? Juventus have not lost to Lazio in their last 10 home encounters, and Lazio’s last away win here was back in 2017. Still, Lazio arrive unbeaten, so this tip is popular, but not risk-free.

Consensus

8
Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-110
Total Corners: Under 10.5
100%
5 of 5 Tips
BetMGM
Best odds
-189
To Score in Both Halves: Juventus
100%
3 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+163
Double Chance: Draw or Lazio
94%
15 of 16 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+125
Total Goals: Over 1.5
75%
3 of 4 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-380

Community Tips

123
-576.49
663 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Full Time Result: Juventus
Lost
-159
-52.06
76 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Double Chance: Draw or Lazio
Won
+105
-26.42
130 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Lost
-110
-86.93
949 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Asian Handicap: Juventus -0.75
Lost
-128
-77.65
139 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Full Time Result: Juventus
Lost
-159
+15.61
179 Tips
24 days ago
3
Accumulator bet
Lost
+251
-168.90
66 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-111
-123.30
158 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Asian Handicap: Juventus -0.75
Lost
-127
+6.20
3 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
-120
-233.26
708 Tips
24 days ago
Juventus - Lazio
Full Time Result: Juventus
Lost
-161
L W W D W

Juventus form check: Strong at home?

Juventus come in with LWWDW from their last five, and they sit 5th with 11 points (3-2-1). At home in Serie A they are 2-1-0, and they have not lost any of their last five home matches overall. Goals data is limited, but their matches often stay controlled, with 38% going Over 2.5. They also tend to find a goal, scoring in 13 straight games. Edon Zhegrova and Bremer lead the scoring with 2 each. Can they turn home control into three points?

W D W D W

Lazio form analysis: Can the run continue?

Lazio are flying early on. They are 2nd with 16 points (5-1-0), and their last five reads WDWDW. Away from home they are perfect at 3-0-0, with a five-match away winning streak. Their games are not always goal-heavy, with 43% going Over 2.5 and 0% over 4.5, plus only 14% scoring in both halves. Still, they have scored in seven straight matches. Noslin, Zaccagni, and Nuno Tavares all have 2 goals. Will their away form travel again?

Juventus vs Lazio Stats

Juventus vs Lazio odds: Juve clear favourites

The Full Time Result market prices Juventus at 1.63, with the Draw at 4.35 and Lazio at 6.30, so bookmakers strongly lean home. The Total Goals line is tight too, with Over 2.5 at 1.96 and Under 2.5 at 2.02, which hints at a balanced scoring outlook. On Asian Handicap, Juventus -1 is 2.03, while Lazio +1 is 1.88, suggesting a close game even if Juve edge it.

Juventus vs Lazio Odds

Juventus vs Lazio predicted line-ups: Shape clash to watch

Juventus are set for a 3-4-2-1 under Luciano Spalletti, with Vicario in goal and a back three of Kalulu, Gatti, and Kelly. McKennie, Koopmeiners, Sarr, and Cambiaso should fill the midfield and wing-back roles, which could keep the game compact and limit wide overloads. Conceicao and Alajbegovic look like the two creators behind Woltemade. Lazio are expected in a 4-3-3 under Gennaro Gattuso, with Mandas behind Floriani Mussolini, Doekhi, Provstgaard, and Nuno Tavares. Frattesi, Belahyane, and Taylor should battle centrally, while Isaksen, Noslin, and Zaccagni provide the front-three threat. Which system wins the wide areas?

Juventus Spalletti, Luciano
Lazio Gattuso, Gennaro
3-4-2-1
G. Vicario
25
P. Kalulu
15
Bremer
3
J. Lucumi
26
W. McKennie
22
67' Substitute Out
Douglas Luiz
12
88' Substitute Out
P. Sarr
29
74' Substitute Out
Z. Celik
2
67' Substitute Out
N. Gonzalez
31
46' Substitute Out
K. Alajbegovic
17
R. Kolo Muani
9
4-3-3
C. Mandas
35
R. Mussolini
15
J. Sutalo
37
O. Provstgaard
25
A
N. Tavares
17
D. Frattesi
16
R. Belahyane
21
69' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
K. Taylor
24
79' Substitute Out
G. Isaksen
11
69' Substitute Out
T. Noslin
14
85' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
A
M. Zaccagni
10
Allianz Stadium
Massa, Davide

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
11
Wins
4
Draws
7
Wins
22 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
1
11
9
2
0
25:9
W W W W D ?
29
7
11
5
3
3
15:12
L W L W D ?
18

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FAQ Juventus vs Lazio

Who will win between Juventus and Lazio?

Bookmakers lean Juventus, with the home win priced at 1.63 compared to 6.30 for Lazio. Juventus also have a long home trend against Lazio, unbeaten in the last 10 home meetings. Still, Lazio are unbeaten this season, so it is tricky.

What is the best bet for Juventus and Lazio?

The data-led pick is Total Corners: Under 10.5. Oddspedia SmartBet rates it 5-star, with a model probability of 70.88% versus 65.79% implied by odds. That gap equals a +7.74% expected value edge.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into betting probabilities for specific markets. You can then compare that probability to the odds to see if there is positive expected value.

Where and when is the match played?

Juventus vs Lazio is in Serie A (Round 7) on 2026-10-18. Kick-off time is 18:45 UTC. Juventus are the home side, with Lazio travelling to Turin for this one.

Where to watch Juventus vs Lazio?

Serie A matches are often shown on broadcasters like TNT Sports or discovery+ in the UK, depending on rights for the season. You can also check licensed streaming services and live-score apps. Some bookmakers like bet365 may offer livestreaming where available.

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