Finished
1 - 2
(HT 0 - 0)
7th Sep 26, 2:45 PM
49'
J. Karlstrom
75'
D. Frattesi
88'
A. Gudmundsson
Match highlights

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction: Goals on the cards in Serie A?

Last updated 2 months ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Udinese vs Lazio. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Udinese vs Lazio is set for Serie A (Round 3) on 2026-09-07, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Our computer model leans to Total Goals: Over 1.5, and it does so with a strong 5-star confidence rating. The model probability sits at 70.87%, while the odds imply 68.25%, so there is a small edge at +3.84% expected value. Udinese are averaging 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50, so games tend to open up. Lazio are tighter at the back, but H2H meetings often bring goals too.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
UDI
35% Home
27% Draw
38% Away
LAZ

SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.6% <0.1% 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 5.5% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 9.8% 12.6% 8.5% 3.6% 8.5% 10.0% 6.4% 2.9% 4.3%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
17 of 17 Tips
A
E
M
+13
bet365
Won
-125

The Oddspedia community is fully locked in on Both Teams to Score: Yes, with 17 of 17 picks backing it at 1.93. That is a bold call, so does the data support it? Udinese have seen BTTS land 75% of the time in their sampled matches, plus they have scored in 6 straight games. The caution flag is Lazio’s BTTS record showing 0%, and they have conceded 0.00 goals per match so far. Still, the last H2H ended 3-3, and the average in this matchup is 3.2 goals, so the crowd is chasing another lively one.

Consensus

11
Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
6 of 6 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-260
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
4 of 4 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+700
Total Goals: Under 3.5
100%
3 of 3 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-400
Total Goals: Under 2.25
100%
3 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-143
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
3 of 3 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+750

Community Tips

165
-1,176.60
1106 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-125
+228.97
105 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Full Time Result: Lazio
Won
+170
-138.80
205 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
To Win From Behind: Udinese
Lost
+1400
+74.51
969 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+210
+74.51
969 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+750
+74.51
969 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Total Goals: Under 0.5
Lost
+750
-138.80
205 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+750
-138.80
205 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+750
+18.50
124 Tips
2 months ago
2
Accumulator bet
Won
-112
-26.42
130 Tips
2 months ago
Udinese - Lazio
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
+110
W W D W W

Udinese Form Analysis: Can the unbeaten run continue?

Udinese come in with momentum and confidence. They sit 4th after two rounds (W1, D1, L0), and their last five reads WWDWW. They are scoring 2.00 goals per match, yet conceding 1.50, so their games can swing quickly. Shots are solid too at 12.50 per match with 4.00 on target. They have scored in 6 straight matches, and Hassane Kamara is flying with 2 goals and 1 assist already. The big question is game control. Can they keep Lazio quiet when the pressure ramps up?

W W L W W

Lazio Form Analysis: Can the defence stay perfect?

Lazio have started the season fast. They are 2nd with 6 points from 2 matches, and they have conceded 0 goals so far. Their last five form is WWLWW, so there is plenty of winning habit. They average 1.00 goal per match from 12.00 shots and 3.00 on target, which suggests they can still sharpen up in attack. Possession is level with Udinese at 47%, so expect a balanced midfield battle. Davide Frattesi is listed among the key scorers in the notes, so will he be the difference-maker again?

Udinese vs Lazio Stats

Udinese vs Lazio Odds: A near coin-flip

The Full Time Result market is extremely tight. Udinese are 2.85, the Draw is 3.20, and Lazio are 2.87, so the books basically see a 50/50 game. Asian Handicap 0 is priced at 1.96 and 1.98, which screams “no clear edge” again. On goals, Total Goals Over 2.25 is 2.04 and Under 2.25 is 1.92, so the market leans slightly to a lower-scoring match. Still, recent H2H goal averages keep Over bettors interested.

Udinese vs Lazio Odds
Udinese Runjaic, Kosta
Lazio Gattuso, Gennaro
3-4-2-1
M. Okoye
40
76' Substitute Out
J. Abankwah
14
38' Substitute Out
O. Solet
28
E. Ebosse
77
M. Vojvoda
23
15' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
J. Piotrowski
24
Yellow Card
J. Karlstrom
8
H. Kamara
11
J. Ekkelenkamp
32
46' Substitute Out
U. Gomez
46
76' Substitute Out
A
K. Davis
9
4-3-3
C. Mandas
35
R. Mussolini
15
A
D. Doekhi
5
O. Provstgaard
25
N. Tavares
17
80' Substitute Out
D. Frattesi
16
R. Belahyane
21
K. Taylor
24
53' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
G. Isaksen
11
53' Substitute Out
A. Pinamonti
9
90' Substitute Out
A
M. Zaccagni
10
Bluenergy Stadium
Tremolada, Paride

Last Matches

L L D L L ?
W W W W D ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
7
Draws
10
Wins
20 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
1
11
9
2
0
25:9
W W W W D ?
29
20
11
1
2
8
12:25
L L D L L ?
5

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FAQ Udinese vs Lazio

Who will win between Udinese and Lazio?

The odds say it is almost even, with Udinese at 2.85 and Lazio at 2.87. Udinese are unbeaten in six games, while Lazio have started with two wins and no goals conceded. A draw is a very live outcome too at 3.20.

What is the best bet for Udinese and Lazio?

The SmartBet model’s top pick is Total Goals: Over 1.5, with 70.87% probability and a 5-star confidence rating. The odds-implied probability is 68.25%, creating +3.84% positive expected value. It’s a simple, data-led angle.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns the results into probabilities for betting markets. Here, it flags Over 1.5 Total Goals with high confidence and a small +EV edge versus the current odds.

Where and when is the match played?

Udinese vs Lazio is in Serie A (Round 3). It is played on 2026-09-07, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Udinese are the home side, so the match takes place in Udine.

Where to watch Udinese vs Lazio?

Serie A matches are often shown on major sports broadcasters in each country, plus official league streaming partners. You can also check bet365, as they sometimes offer live streaming for account holders (with eligibility rules). Always confirm local listings.

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