Finished
3 - 3
(HT 0 - 1)
12th Oct 26, 3:00 PM
57'
I. Romero de Avila Araque
90+2'
Dela
90+10'
I. Ndukwe
13'
R. Ure
54'
F. Correia
90+5'
I. Romero

Levante vs Sevilla Prediction: Can Sevilla stay in the top five?

Last updated a month ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Levante vs Sevilla. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Levante vs Sevilla is played on 2026-10-12 in La Liga (Round 8), with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Our computer model leans to Sevilla to be ahead at half-time, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model gives this 1st Half Result pick a 30.15% win probability, while the odds imply 29.41%, so there is a small +EV edge of 2.52%. Will Sevilla start fast again, or can Levante finally boss the first 45 at home?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
LEV
38% Home
26% Draw
36% Away
SEV
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
7.4% 0.4% 2.6% 4.2% 3.2% 1.9% 5.1% 7.9% 6.6% 3.2% 7.3% 11.6% 8.0% 3.9% 5.9% 7.1% 5.2% 2.5% 6.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Draw No Bet: Sevilla
63%
10 of 16 Tips
A
+6
DraftKings
Void
-135

The community angle is pretty clear: Draw No Bet Away is the popular shout at 1.87. It has 10 of 16 picks backing Sevilla with that safety net, which makes sense with Sevilla sitting 5th on 13 points, while Levante are down on 5 points after six games. You still get cover if it ends level, and that matters because Levante have taken two draws in their last five. Do you want the bigger win price, or the safer route with DNB?

Consensus

20
Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
34 of 34 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-125
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
11 of 11 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+800
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+800
2nd Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+250
Asian Handicap: Sevilla -1.5
100%
4 of 4 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+400

Community Tips

357
-368.07
833 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Total Goals: Over 4.75
Won
+837
-313.04
815 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-132
-368.07
833 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
1st Half Total Goals: Over 2.5
Lost
+767
-368.07
833 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Correct Score: 3 : 3
Won
+6000
+941.53
1557 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
First Team to Score: No Goal
Lost
+850
-77.65
139 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Full Time Result: Draw
Won
+220
+941.53
1557 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+1000
+70.80
88 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Full Time Result: Draw
Won
+220
+70.80
88 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+950
-655.25
1233 Tips
a month ago
Levante - Sevilla
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
+340
D W D L L

Levante form analysis: Can they stop the slide?

Levante come in with DWDLL, and that is a bit worrying with just 5 points from 6 matches (1-2-3). The upside is their matches often open up, with 67% landing Over 2.5 Goals, and they have BTTS in 100% of home games in this sample. Brugue is the main threat with 3 goals in 5 appearances, plus Ivan Romero has 2. But Sevilla have beaten them plenty over the years, so can Levante keep it tight early this time?

D W W L L

Sevilla form analysis: Strong start, but can they travel?

Sevilla’s last five read DWWLL, and the bigger picture is solid: 13 points from 7 matches (4-1-2) and 5th in the table. Their away record is 2-1-0, yet there is a catch, as they have failed to score in 0 of 3 away matches this season, which is a big red flag for goal bets. Still, Sevilla have scored in 12 straight matches overall, and they often strike after the break, with 40% of goals coming between 46-60.

Levante vs Sevilla Stats

Levante vs Sevilla odds: Tight match, slight away lean

The Full Time Result market is close, with Levante at 2.87, the Draw at 3.43, and Sevilla at 2.68, so the bookies only shade it towards the away side. Total Goals is also split: Under 2.5 at 1.86 is favoured over Over 2.5 at 2.10. In Asian Handicap 0 (Draw No Bet), one side is 1.91 and the other 2.04, which matches the idea of a marginal edge rather than a blowout.

Levante vs Sevilla Odds

Levante vs Sevilla predicted line-ups: Both set up 4-3-3

Levante are tipped to go 4-3-3 under Luis Castro, with Mathew Ryan in goal and Brugue leading the front line alongside Ivan Romero and Thiago Fernandez. The midfield trio of Olasagasti, Oriol Rey, and Bardeli should decide whether Levante can play through pressure or get dragged into a scrap. Sevilla are also expected in a 4-3-3 with Vlachodimos in net, and a midfield core of Agoume and Fofana. Up front, Miguel Angel Sierra and Robbie Ure are named, but Sevilla’s listed scorers are light, so who supplies the goals?

Levante Castro, Luis
Sevilla Garcia, Luis
4-4-2
M. Ryan
13
90' Substitute Out
J. Toljan
22
Yellow Card
Dela
4
I. Ndukwe
3
M. Sanchez
23
A
Brugue
7
68' Substitute Out
O. Rey
20
90' Substitute Out
J. Olasagasti
8
56' Substitute Out
V. Garcia Raja
17
56' Substitute Out
Y. Musuayi
11
I. Romero de Avila Araque
9
4-2-3-1
O. Vlachodimos
1
Yellow Card
J. Iglesias
2
Yellow Card
A. Gallo Lopez
5
K. Salas
4
G. Suazo
17
L. Agoume
6
88' Substitute Out
G. Kochorashvili
8
68' Substitute Out
M. Sierra
30
A
Y. Fofana
24
72' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
F. Correia
20
68' Substitute Out
A
R. Ure
9
Ciutat de Valencia
Cordero Vega, Adrian

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
3
Draws
8
Wins
14 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
6
12
5
3
4
17:19
D L W L D ?
18
17
12
2
5
5
16:21
D W L L D ?
11

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FAQ Levante vs Sevilla

Who will win between Levante and Sevilla?

It looks tight on the Full Time Result odds, with Sevilla only a small favourite. Sevilla are higher in the table and have the stronger long-term head-to-head record, but Levante did beat them last season and are dangerous at home.

What is the best bet for Levante and Sevilla?

The top community pick is Draw No Bet Away at 1.87, which backs Sevilla but refunds on a draw. The model’s main angle is Sevilla to lead at Half Time, based on a small positive expected value versus the odds.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model pick that simulates outcomes and compares the model probability with odds probability. When the model probability is higher, it can show positive expected value, like this Half Time Sevilla call.

Where and when is the match played?

Levante vs Sevilla is in La Liga (Round 8) on 2026-10-12. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 UTC. Levante are at home for this one, with both teams looking to bounce back after losses.

Where to watch Levante vs Sevilla?

La Liga is often shown on broadcasters like Premier Sports or ITV (rights vary by region and season), plus official league platforms. Many bettors also use bet365 for live streaming where available, if you have an account and meet local rules.

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