Finished
4 - 1
(HT 3 - 0)
30th Oct 26, 3:30 PM
7'
F. Keidel
26'
F. Onyeka
45+1'
M. Krattenmacher
90+1'
W. Campbell
90+3'
B. Hollerbach

SV Elversberg vs Mainz Prediction: Can Elversberg stop Mainz away run?

Last updated 15 days ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for SV Elversberg vs Mainz. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

SV Elversberg vs Mainz is played on 2026-10-30 in the Bundesliga (Round 8), with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. The SmartBet model goes for Total Corners: Under 10.5, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. The simulation makes it 61.98% likely, while the odds imply 58.14%, so there is a +6.60% positive expected value. Both sides come in after scoreless league losses, so will we see a slower start and fewer attacking waves? If the game stays tight, corners often dip too.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
ELV
33% Home
24% Draw
43% Away
MAI
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
7.4% 0.8% 2.4% 4.0% 3.7% 2.6% 3.7% 7.2% 7.4% 3.9% 4.9% 9.2% 8.7% 5.1% 3.6% 5.5% 5.0% 3.3% 11.4%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Away Win

What does the Oddspedia community think?

First Team to Score: No Goal
86%
6 of 7 Tips
m
R
+2
bet365
Lost
+1800

The Oddspedia community is leaning hard towards a bold one: First Team to Score No Goal at odds of 20.00, with 6 of 7 users backing it. Why the confidence? Both teams failed to score in their last league match, and Elversberg have a two-game streak with 0 goals scored. Still, it is a high-risk market, because Mainz have scored in five straight matches overall and they are strong late on. So the question is simple: do you want a big price, or a safer angle?

Consensus

25
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
10 of 10 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+1600
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1600
Total Goals: Over 6.5
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1200
Total Corners: Under 10.5
100%
5 of 5 Tips
BetMGM
Best odds
-167
Asian Handicap: SV Elversberg -1.5
100%
4 of 4 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+600

Community Tips

321
-120.81
823 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-200
+12.79
135 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Draw No Bet: Mainz
Lost
-227
-523.34
1571 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Full Time Result: Mainz
Lost
-105
-63.01
452 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Total Corners: Under 12.5
Lost
-500
-161.18
141 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
1st Half Asian Handicap: SV Elversberg -0.5
Won
+250
-122.85
224 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Full Time Result: Mainz
Lost
+100
-63.01
452 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Asian Handicap: Mainz 0
Lost
-227
-777.08
1135 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
1st Half Total Goals: Under 1.25
Lost
-108
-777.08
1135 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+1600
-62.34
20 Tips
15 days ago
SV Elversberg - Mainz
1st Half Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
+391
D L W L L

SV Elversberg Form Analysis: Can they find goals again?

Elversberg sit on 10 points after seven games (3-1-3), so the start is decent, but the form line is choppy: DLWLL. They also come in off a scoreless loss, and they are on a two-match streak without scoring, which is a worry. Still, their matches can be open, with 67% going Over 2.5 Goals and 56% going Over 3.5. Maurice Krattenmacher leads the way with three goals, while Petkov and Mokwa have two each. Can their early-goal trend kick in again?

W L W L L

Mainz Form Analysis: Can the away streak continue?

Mainz are level with Elversberg on 10 points (3-1-3), but the market treats them as the stronger side, and the facts back it up away from home. Their away record in the league is 3-0-0, and they have not lost any of their last eight away matches. Recent form is WLWLL, though, and they also failed to score in their last league game. Games involving Mainz can turn wild, with 67% Over 3.5 and 56% Over 4.5. Sheraldo Becker has four goals and four assists.

SV Elversberg vs Mainz Stats

SV Elversberg vs Mainz Odds - Away side get the nod

Bookmakers price Mainz as favourites at 2.15, with Elversberg at 3.40 and the Draw at 4.12. That points to Mainz having the edge, especially with their strong away record. On Total Goals, Under 3.25 is 1.90 and Over 3.25 is 2.05, so the line expects goals but not a total shoot-out. Asian Handicap also leans Mainz, with -0.25 at 1.84 versus +0.25 at 2.12. Do you follow the away trend?

SV Elversberg vs Mainz Odds

SV Elversberg vs Mainz Predicted Lineups - Shape clash to watch

Elversberg are tipped to line up 4-2-3-1 under Vincent Wagner, with Kristof in goal and a back four of Sirch, Pinckert, Le Joncour, and Gunther. Conde and Poreba should sit as the double pivot, then Petkov, Schmahl, and Campbell support Futkeu up top. Mainz look set for a 3-5-2 with Urs Fischer, led by Schwolow in goal. Da Costa, Posch, and Potulski form the back three, with Widmer and Mwene as wing-backs. Nebel, Sano, and Lee run midfield, while Becker partners Tietz. Which system wins the wide areas?

SV Elversberg Wagner, Vincent
Mainz Fischer, Urs
4-2-3-1
N. Kristof
20
L. Sirch
26
L. Pinckert
19
M. Rohr
31
68' Substitute Out
L. Gunther
21
A
F. Keidel
43
L. Poreba
8
88' Substitute Out
L. Petkov
25
77' Substitute Out
F. Onyeka
40
77' Substitute Out
M. Krattenmacher
7
88' Substitute Out
A
D. Mokwa
42
3-3-2-2
R. Zentner
27
Yellow Card
D. da Costa
21
Yellow Card Red Card
S. Posch
4
K. Potulski
48
A. Caci
19
87' Substitute Out
K. Sano
6
63' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
P. Mwene
2
63' Substitute Out
P. Nebel
8
63' Substitute Out
N. Amiri
10
63' Substitute Out
P. Tietz
9
S. Becker
23
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Stegemann, Sascha

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
2
Wins
3 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
7
9
4
1
4
17:18
L W L W L ?
13
12
9
3
1
5
18:19
L W L L L ?
10

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FAQ SV Elversberg vs Mainz

Who will win between SV Elversberg and Mainz?

Mainz are the favourites at 2.15, and their away record is strong at 3-0-0 this season. They also won the last meeting 0-1. Still, both teams have 10 points, so it is not a mismatch.

What is the best bet for SV Elversberg and Mainz?

The computer-model SmartBet points to Total Corners: Under 10.5. The model probability is 61.98% versus 58.14% implied by odds, giving +6.60% expected value. It is also rated 5 stars for confidence.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates matches and turns the results into probabilities. It also compares model probability to the odds-implied probability, so you can spot value bets like positive expected value (+EV).

Where and when is the match played?

SV Elversberg vs Mainz is in the Bundesliga, Round 8. It is played on 2026-10-30, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Both sides start the round level on 10 points after seven matches.

Where to watch SV Elversberg vs Mainz?

Bundesliga matches are often shown on broadcasters like Sky Sport and streaming services that hold local rights. You can also check licensed bookmaker platforms such as bet365, which may offer livestreaming where available. Always confirm access in your region.

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