Finished
5 - 1
(HT 2 - 0)
20th Jun 26, 1:00 PM
5'
B. Brobbey
17'
B. Brobbey
47'
C. Gakpo
54'
C. Gakpo
89'
C. Summerville
59'
A. Elanga

Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction: Goals on the cards in World Cup Round 2?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Netherlands vs Sweden. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Netherlands vs Sweden is set for 2026-06-20 in the World Cup (Round 2), with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet model goes for Both Teams to Score: Yes, and it does it with a top-tier 5-star confidence rating. Why back goals at both ends? The model gives BTTS a 0.57 probability, while the odds imply 0.51, so there’s a 0.12 positive expected value edge. Also, both sides have been leaking lately, and Sweden keep finding the net. Fancy a lively one?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
NED
51% Home
23% Draw
26% Away
SWE

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
10.0% 0.2% 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 8.1% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 9.2% 10.8% 6.5% 2.6% 5.3% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 3.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Netherlands
58%
48 of 83 Tips
P
K
+44
DraftKings
Won
-140

The community lean is pretty clear: Full Time Result: Netherlands is the top pick, with 48 of 83 users backing it at 1.78. That price says the Dutch are the favourites, but it’s not a total mismatch. Sweden are in decent form too, and they’ve scored in six straight matches. So the big question is this: can Netherlands control the game with the ball, or will Sweden keep it scrappy and dangerous on the break? If you’re following the crowd, you’re basically trusting the Dutch to edge it.

Consensus

36
Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
56 of 56 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-150
Half Time / Full Time: Netherlands / Draw
100%
12 of 12 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+1300
Correct Score: 2 : 1
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+800
Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
8 of 8 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-475
Correct Score: 1 : 1
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+700

Community Tips

478
0.00
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Odd or Even: Even
Won
-118
+104.28
185 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
To Win From Behind: Netherlands
Lost
+800
-1,176.60
1106 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Total Goals: Over 3.25
Won
+130
+104.28
185 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+300
0.00
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Full Time Result: Netherlands
Won
-147
+20.81
69 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
1st Half Correct Score: 2 : 1
Lost
+1400
+104.28
185 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Half Time / Full Time: Netherlands / Draw
Lost
+1400
-301.31
998 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-167
+20.81
69 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Correct Score: 3 : 2
Lost
+1800
-329.93
472 Tips
5 months ago
Netherlands - Sweden
Total Goals: Over 3
Won
+105
W D L W D

Netherlands form analysis: Can they stay on top?

Netherlands come in with a WDLWD run, and the numbers scream “action”. They average 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match, with 11.00 shots and 7.00 on target, plus 60% possession. That’s front-foot football, but it also leaves space behind. They’ve also seen Over 2.5 Goals land in 100% of their games, and even Over 3.5 Goals is at 100%. Van Dijk and Summerville have chipped in early, but can the defence tighten up when it matters most?

W W L D W

Sweden form analysis: Can Potter’s men nick it?

Sweden’s form reads WWLDW, and they’ve been putting up big attacking output. They average 5.00 goals per match from 13.00 shots, with 8.00 on target, and they’ve scored in both halves in 100% of their games. Isak is the headline man with 2 goals and 2 assists, and Gyokeres has also delivered. The worry is the other end. Sweden have conceded in 11 straight matches, and their possession sits at 49%, so they can get pinned back. Can they stay solid for 90 minutes?

Netherlands vs Sweden Stats

Netherlands vs Sweden odds: Dutch favs, goals priced in

The Full Time Result market has Netherlands at 1.78, with the Draw at 4.20 and Sweden at 5.30, so the bookies make the Dutch the clear favourites. The Asian Handicap line is Netherlands -0.75 at 1.94, which hints at a likely Dutch win but not an easy walkover. For goals, Over 3 is 2.15 and Under 3 is 1.87, so the market expects a decent scoring rate but isn’t fully committed to a goal-fest. Are you leaning safe, or chasing upside?

Netherlands vs Sweden Odds
Netherlands Koeman, Ronald
Sweden Potter, Graham
4-3-3
B. Verbruggen
1
A
x2
D. Dumfries
22
J. van Hecke
6
V. Van Dijk
4
M. van de Ven
15
R. Gravenberch
8
60' Substitute Out
F. De Jong
21
60' Substitute Out
T. Reijnders
14
46' Substitute Out
D. Malen
14
72' Substitute Out
x2
B. Brobbey
9
90' Substitute Out
x2
A
C. Gakpo
18
3-5-2
K. Nordfeldt
15
G. Lagerbielke
14
I. Hien
4
V. Lindelof
3
56' Substitute Out
A. Bernhardsson
21
56' Substitute Out
B. Nygren
8
56' Substitute Out
J. Karlstrom
16
79' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
Y. Ayari
26
90' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
G. Gudmundsson
5
V. Gyokeres
17
A
A. Isak
9
NRG Stadium
Oliver, Michael

Last Matches

D D W D W ?
L W W D W ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
0
Wins
1 played

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FAQ Netherlands vs Sweden

Who will win between Netherlands and Sweden?

The odds point to Netherlands. They are 1.78 to win, while Sweden are 5.30 and the draw is 4.20. The community also backs a Netherlands win most, but Sweden’s scoring form makes it risky.

What is the best bet for Netherlands and Sweden?

Oddspedia SmartBet’s top play is Both Teams to Score: Yes. The model price is 0.57 probability versus 0.51 implied by odds, giving a 0.12 positive expected value. Both defences have been conceding.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. You can then compare the model probability to the odds probability to spot value bets with positive expected value.

Where and when is the match played?

Netherlands vs Sweden is in the World Cup (Round 2). It is scheduled for 2026-06-20, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. It’s a big spot where points can shape the whole group.

Where to watch Netherlands vs Sweden?

World Cup matches are usually shown on major free-to-air and sports networks, such as BBC or ITV in the UK, depending on rights. Some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer live streaming if you have an active account.

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