Finished
5 - 2
(HT 3 - 1)
30th Oct 26, 2:00 PM
12' Pen
E. Wahi
34' Pen
E. Wahi
45+2'
J. Clauss
52'
M. Amoura
73'
E. Wahi
15'
S. Szymanski
58' Pen
B. Dia

Nice vs Rennes Prediction: Can Nice stay strong at home in Ligue 1?

Last updated 11 days ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Nice vs Rennes. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Nice vs Rennes is set for 2026-10-30 in Ligue 1 (Round 9), with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. The SmartBet model is pointing to 1st Half Result: Nice, and it does so with a strong 5-star confidence rating. The model probability sits at 34.08%, while the odds imply 31.25%, so there is a tidy +9.06% positive expected value. Nice have not lost in their last nine home matches, so can they start fast this time? Rennes are higher in the table, but their away wins have dried up lately.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
OGCN
41% Home
25% Draw
34% Away
SRFC

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
7.0% 0.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.2% 1.7% 6.0% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 8.2% 11.2% 8.0% 3.5% 5.5% 7.2% 4.8% 2.3% 5.0%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

1st Half Result: Nice
100%
5 of 5 Tips
p
n
+3
bet365
Won
+210

The community is fully lined up with the model here. The top consensus tip is 1st Half Result: Home at odds of 3.15, with 5 of 5 users backing it. That price shows the bookies still see it as a tough call, yet the numbers give it a bit of extra edge. Nice also tend to be hard to put away at home, while Rennes have not won any of their last five away matches. Will we see Nice come out flying, or will Rennes soak it up and strike late?

Consensus

4
1st Half Result: Nice
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+210
Total Goals: Over 2.5
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-160
Both Teams to Score: Yes
92%
11 of 12 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-188
Double Chance: Nice or Draw
67%
2 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-200

Community Tips

84
+12.79
135 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Draw No Bet: Rennes
Lost
-118
-264.03
426 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-208
-258.68
378 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-208
-108.78
157 Tips
11 days ago
2
Accumulator bet
Won
+141
-1,092.24
1980 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+270
-289.98
763 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Correct Score: 1 : 2
Lost
+850
-1,412.35
2028 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Double Chance: Nice or Draw
Won
-200
-90.54
174 Tips
11 days ago
6
Accumulator bet
Lost
+244
+81.24
220 Tips
11 days ago
3
Accumulator bet
Won
-119
+34.80
247 Tips
11 days ago
Nice - Rennes
Total Goals: Over 2.75
Won
-139
L W W L W

Nice form analysis: Can the home run continue?

Nice come into this one with a mixed LWWLW run, and they sit 11th with 11 points from 8 games (3-2-3). The big positive is at home, where they are 2-2-0 and unbeaten in nine straight home matches overall. Still, they have conceded in seven games running, so clean sheets are not coming easy. Elye Wahi leads the scoring with 3 goals, and he is the key threat in the 3-4-2-1. Can Nice control the first half better than they did in the last H2H loss?

W W L D W

Rennes form analysis: Can they fix away results?

Rennes look sharper on paper, sitting 2nd with 16 points from 8 matches (5-1-2) and a strong WWLDW recent run. They have scored in five straight games, and their matches often get lively, with 82% going over 2.5 goals and 55% over 3.5. The worry is away form, as they have not won in their last five away matches. They also concede regularly, with six straight games allowing a goal. Can they start fast again, like their 0-4 win here last time?

Nice vs Rennes Stats

Nice vs Rennes odds: Bookies call it tight

The Full Time Result prices are close, with Nice at 2.70, the Draw at 3.68, and Rennes at 2.75, so the market sees a near coin-flip. The Asian Handicap 0 (Draw No Bet) is split too at 1.95 and 1.99, basically saying neither side is clearly stronger. Goals lean slightly towards the over, with Over 2.75 at 1.83 versus Under 2.75 at 2.03. Expect chances at both ends, yeah?

Nice vs Rennes Odds

Nice vs Rennes predicted lineups: Three-at-the-back battle

Nice are tipped to line up 3-4-2-1 under Olivier Pantaloni. Diouf should start in goal, with Seidu, Ndayishimiye and Abdelmoneim in the back three. Clauss and Nkounkou look set to provide the width, while Boudaoui and Witsel anchor the middle. Hein and Amoura should float behind Wahi, who is the top scorer with 3 goals. Rennes are also predicted to use a back three in a 3-2-3-2 for Franck Haise. Samba starts in goal, with Ait Boudlal, Cresswell and Rouault in defence. Frankowski adds thrust, while Szymanski, Rongier and Camara shape the midfield, feeding Dia and Altamari up top.

Nice Pantaloni, Olivier
Rennes Haise, Franck
3-4-2-1
Y. Diouf
23
X. Mandza
35
Yellow Card
Y. Ndayishimiye
55
Yellow Card
M. Abdelmoneim
5
85' Substitute Out
J. Clauss
92
74' Substitute Out
D. Coulibaly
39
H. Boudaoui
6
N. Nkounkou
27
68' Substitute Out
A
S. Diop
10
Yellow Card
M. Amoura
9
85' Substitute Out
x3
Yellow Card
A
E. Wahi
11
3-5-2
N. Lemaitre
16
A. Ait Boudlal
48
Yellow Card
C. Cresswell
4
Yellow Card
A. Rouault
24
46' Substitute Out
P. Frankowski
95
S. Szymanski
17
68' Substitute Out
V. Rongier
21
46' Substitute Out
A. Thomasson
28
A
M. Nagida
18
74' Substitute Out
M. Altamari
11
68' Substitute Out
B. Dia
22
Allianz Rivera
Wattellier, Eric

Last Matches

W L W W W ?
D W L D L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
9
Wins
4
Draws
5
Wins
18 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
6
10
5
2
3
15:12
W L W W W ?
17
8
10
5
1
4
21:21
W L W L L ?
16

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FAQ Nice vs Rennes

Who will win between Nice and Rennes?

The odds suggest it is very close. Nice are 2.70 to win and Rennes are 2.75, with the draw at 3.68. Rennes are higher in the table, but Nice have been strong at home and unbeaten there for a long run.

What is the best bet for Nice and Rennes?

The top pick here is 1st Half Result: Nice. The SmartBet model has it at 34.08% versus 31.25% from the odds, giving +9.06% expected value. It also matches the full community consensus tip.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates outcomes and compares the model probability to the probability implied by the odds. When the model probability is higher, it can flag a positive expected value (+EV) betting angle.

Where and when is the match played?

Nice vs Rennes is in Ligue 1 (Round 9). It is played on 2026-10-30, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Nice are the home team for this fixture.

Where to watch Nice vs Rennes?

Ligue 1 matches are often shown on major sports broadcasters, depending on your country. You can also check official league partners and club channels for listings. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer livestreaming if you have an account and eligible balance.

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