Parma vs Bologna Prediction: Can Parma stop Bologna’s hot streak in Serie A?
Given the recent performances and historical context between Parma and Bologna, predicting "Both Teams to Score: No" appears quite sensible. Parma has struggled offensively, failing to score in three of their last five home fixtures, while Bologna has shown inconsistent scoring on the road, adding to the uncertainty. Historically, these teams have often been involved in low-scoring affairs, with notable instances of 0-0 draws. Moreover, Parma's difficulty in turning matches around when trailing further emphasizes the likelihood of a goalless encounter. With the odds being favorable for this bet, it aligns with a solid statistical backing.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Parma vs Bologna. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Parma vs Bologna is played on 2026-11-07 in Serie A (Round 11), with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Our computer model goes for Both Teams to Score: No, and it comes with a 4-star confidence rating. The model price implies a 56.56% chance, while the odds-based probability sits at 52.47%, so there is a 7.79% positive betting value. Parma’s BTTS rate is just 33% overall and only 20% across the last five, so will they even get on the scoresheet? Bologna are in form, but they have failed to score in 2 of 5 away games too.
Prematch Probabilities
SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The community is leaning Bologna on the Full Time Result market, and it is not a surprise. 23 of 35 users have backed an away win at 1.77, which matches Bologna’s stronger league start. They have 14 points from 10 matches, while Parma have 8, and Bologna also bring a three-match winning streak. Still, do you worry about a cagey game? The most common H2H scoreline is 0-0, and Parma have held Bologna to plenty of draws over the years. Bologna look the safer side, but the price does assume they break down a low-scoring pattern.
Consensus
8
Community Tips
112
Parma Form Analysis: Can goals finally flow?
Parma come in with LLLDW, and the table backs up the struggle: 8 points from 10 matches. At home they have blanked in 3 of 5, so the attack is a big worry. Simone Lontani leads the way with 3 goals, while Jose David Romero has 2, but they need more support around them. The H2H is tricky too, with Bologna edging it over the last nine years. Parma matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals 50% of the time, yet they rarely go wild, with 0% over 3.5. Can they keep it controlled and nick it?
Bologna Form Analysis: Riding momentum into Parma
Bologna’s form reads WLWWW, and they look sharper in both results and confidence. They sit on 14 points from 10 matches, which is six more than Parma, and they arrive on a three-match winning streak, including three straight away wins. Bologna have also scored in six consecutive matches, which makes them dangerous even if they start slow. Their Over 2.5 rate is 50%, and they do have some higher-scoring potential with 30% over 3.5. One odd detail though: their listed top scorers show no league goals, so this might be more of a shared scoring job than one star man. Will that spread help again?
Parma vs Bologna Odds: Away win favoured
Bookmakers have Bologna as clear favourites for the Full Time Result at 1.77, with Parma out at 5.35 and the Draw at 3.79. The Asian Handicap line sits around Bologna -0.75 at 1.98, which suggests the market expects them to win, but maybe not comfortably. For goals, Over 2.25 is 1.88 and Under 2.25 is 2.07, so the prices lean slightly towards two to three goals. With so many 0-0 H2H results, does that Under price tempt you a bit?
Parma vs Bologna Predicted Lineups: Wing-backs set the tone
Parma are tipped to line up 3-5-2 under Alberto Gilardino, with Daffara in goal and a back three of Del Prato, Troilo and Drobnic. The wing-backs Britschgi and Valeri should do a lot of running, while Fabbian, Sierro and Keita shape the midfield. Up front, Lontani partners El Bilal Toure, and that pairing needs to be clinical because Parma have struggled to score at home. Bologna are expected in a 3-4-2-1 for Raffaele Palladino. Skorupski starts in goal, with Vitik, Casale and Theate at the back. Zortea and Miranda provide width, Ferguson and Pobega sit central, and Bernardeschi plus Cambiaghi support Odgaard. Which midfield wins the second balls could decide it.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8
|
Bologna
|
11
|
5
|
2
|
4
|
16:14
|
L
W
W
W
W
?
|
17
| |
16
|
Parma
|
11
|
2
|
2
|
7
|
9:17
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
8
| |
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FAQ Parma vs Bologna
Who will win between Parma and Bologna?
Bologna look more likely to win based on form and the table. They have 14 points to Parma’s 8, and they are on a three-match winning streak. The odds also back Bologna at 1.77, but head-to-head games can be tight.
What is the best bet for Parma and Bologna?
The top model pick is Both Teams to Score: No. The SmartBet model gives it a 56.56% probability versus 52.47% from the odds, creating 7.79% positive expected value. Parma’s low BTTS rates support the angle.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and converts them into probabilities for betting markets. You can then compare that model probability to bookmaker odds to spot potential value bets.
Where and when is the match played?
Parma vs Bologna is in Serie A (Round 11). It is played on 2026-11-07, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Parma are the home side, so the match is at their stadium.
Where to watch Parma vs Bologna?
Serie A matches are often shown on major sports broadcasters, depending on your country, such as TNT Sports or other local rights holders. You may also find livestream options via licensed bookmakers like bet365, if available in your region.
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