Finished
0 - 3
(HT 0 - 2)
19th Oct 26, 2:45 PM
4'
G. Simeone
24'
C. Adams
69'
G. Simeone
Match highlights

Parma vs Torino Prediction: Can Parma stop the slide in Serie A?

Last updated 22 days ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Parma vs Torino. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Parma vs Torino is set for Serie A Round 7 on 2026-10-19, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Parma sit 18th with 4 points, so they badly need a result, right? Our computer model lands on Double Chance: 1X, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. The SmartBet win probability is 66.82%, while the odds imply 63.29%, which creates a +5.58% betting value edge. Torino look slightly stronger on paper, but Parma at home plus the 1X safety net feels like the smart angle.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
PAR
35% Home
31% Draw
34% Away
TUR
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
2.5% 0.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 6.5% 7.7% 4.7% 1.5% 12.2% 13.9% 7.5% 2.4% 11.4% 11.6% 6.2% 2.3% 2.5%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Double Chance: Parma or Draw
73%
16 of 22 Tips
s
+12
bet365
Lost
-163

Feeling torn on the winner? The community seems pretty settled. The top Oddspedia consensus tip is Double Chance: 1X at 1.62, backed by 16 of 22 picks. That lines up well with the model leaning towards Parma avoiding defeat. It also fits the recent head-to-head, with Parma and Torino level over the last nine years (3 wins each, 4 draws). And remember that Parma won 2-1 at home last season against Torino, so it’s not a crazy shout. Do you want safety, not drama? 1X is the crowd play.

Consensus

6
Draw No Bet: Parma
100%
13 of 13 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+140
Both Teams to Score: Yes
83%
10 of 12 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-105
Double Chance: Parma or Draw
73%
16 of 22 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-163
Total Goals: Under 2.5
69%
9 of 13 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-165
1st Half Result: Torino
67%
2 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+200

Community Tips

145
-474.82
407 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Total Corners: Under 9.5
Won
-179
-467.24
1497 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+200
-870.23
754 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Lost
-167
-112.18
940 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Total Corners: Over 8.5
Lost
-130
-345.32
362 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
-104
-112.18
940 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Both Teams to Score: No
Won
-127
-1,412.35
2028 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
+100
-885.68
1203 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+200
+19.84
47 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
1st Half Result: Torino
Won
+200
+208.70
124 Tips
22 days ago
Parma - Torino
Draw No Bet: Parma
Lost
+120
L D L W L

Parma Form Analysis: Can they steady things?

Parma come into this in 18th place with 4 points from 6 matches, and their last five form line reads LDLWL. That’s patchy, but the home crowd matters. The big worry is defence, as Parma have conceded in each of their last 7 matches. In attack, Jose David Romero leads with 2 goals, so he’s the main threat again. Game trends point to lower scoring, with just 38% of Parma matches going Over 2.5 Goals and 0% over 3.5. Can Parma keep it tight and nick something?

L W L D W

Torino Form Analysis: Are they turning a corner?

Torino are 12th with 7 points, and their last five read LWLDW, so results are a bit steadier than Parma’s. They still have a defensive leak though, conceding in each of their last 6 matches. Torino’s away BTTS rate is 100% across 8 matches, which screams “action at both ends”, doesn’t it? Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 50% of their games, but nothing has gone Over 3.5, so it’s rarely wild. Mandragora has 1 goal and 1 assist, while the attack still looks like it has another gear.

Parma vs Torino Stats

Parma vs Torino Odds: Away side edge

Bookmakers shade this towards Torino, with Full Time Result prices of 2.50 for Torino, 3.17 for the Draw, and 3.43 for a Parma win. The Asian Handicap also leans away, with Parma +0.25 at 1.81 versus Torino -0.25 at 2.06. For goals, Under 2.25 sits at 1.80 and Over 2.25 at 2.17, suggesting a slightly lower-scoring expectation. Do you trust Torino to win outright, or is Parma staying unbeaten the safer route?

Parma vs Torino Odds

Parma vs Torino Predicted Lineups: Three at the back

Parma are tipped to line up 3-5-2 under Alberto Gilardino, with Corvi in goal and a back three of Del Prato, Diego Carlos, and Troilo. Carboni and Valeri should provide the width, while Keita, Sierro, and Fabbian shape the midfield. Up top, El Bilal Toure partners Nesta Elphege, which hints at direct running and quick breaks. Torino are forecast to use a 3-4-2-1 with Lucas Perri in goal, Comuzzo, Coco, and Rodriguez at the back, and Mandragora plus Braganca central. Oristanio should support the front man, with Che Adams and Simeone in attacking roles. Which midfield wins the fight?

Parma Gilardino, Alberto
Torino Abate, Ignazio
3-5-2
E. Corvi
40
E. Del Prato
15
Yellow Card
Troilo
37
46' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
D. Carlos
34
70' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
S. Britschgi
27
81' Substitute Out
A. Bernabe
10
M. Keita
16
46' Substitute Out
G. Fabbian
80
E. Valeri
14
J. Romero
9
70' Substitute Out
E. Toure
19
3-4-1-2
L. Perri
20
Yellow Card
P. Comuzzo
15
Yellow Card
A. Ismajli
44
S. Coco
23
73' Substitute Out
A
x2
R. Belghali
45
63' Substitute Out
R. Mandragora
8
D. Braganca
21
A. Cacciamani
77
73' Substitute Out
N. Vlasic
10
84' Substitute Out
x2
G. Simeone
18
63' Substitute Out
C. Adams
19
Ennio Tardini
Ayroldi, Giovanni

Last Matches

L L D W L ?
W W L L D ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
4
Draws
4
Wins
11 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
11
11
4
2
5
15:17
W W L L D ?
14
16
11
2
2
7
9:17
L L D W L ?
8

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FAQ Parma vs Torino

Who will win between Parma and Torino?

Torino are slight favourites on the odds at 2.50, while Parma are 3.43. Still, the SmartBet model leans to Parma avoiding defeat, with Double Chance: 1X rated at 66.82% probability. A tight game looks likely.

What is the best bet for Parma and Torino?

The top pick is Double Chance: 1X. The model gives it a 66.82% chance and a +5.58% positive expected value, while the community also backs it heavily at odds of 1.62. It’s the safer angle.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. It compares model probability against odds probability to find value bets, like this 1X pick with a positive edge.

Where and when is the match played?

Parma vs Torino is in Serie A (Round 7) on 2026-10-19. The scheduled starting time is 18:45 UTC. Parma are the home team, and they’re chasing points after a slow start.

Where to watch Parma vs Torino?

Serie A matches are commonly shown on major sports broadcasters depending on your country, such as TNT Sports or Sky-style sports packages, and league streaming partners. Some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer live streaming if you have an account.

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