Parma vs Udinese Prediction: Can either side stop the slide in Serie A?
Parma’s recent form shows some inconsistencies, with draws and losses in their last five matches. However, it’s worth noting that Udinese has struggled even more, failing to secure a win in their last five games. When looking at their head-to-head record, both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a strong likelihood of at least one side finding the net. Opting for the Double Chance bet on Parma (1X) provides a solid safety net, especially considering they’re playing at home. With both teams in a rut, this bet offers good value and a strong likelihood of success.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Parma vs Udinese. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Parma vs Udinese is set for 2026-10-28 in Serie A (Round 9), with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Both sides sit on 4 points after 8 games, so this feels like a pressure match. Oddspedia SmartBet backs Double Chance: 1X, and it does so with a full 5-star confidence rating. The model gives it a 65.36% chance, while the odds imply 62.42%, which creates a +4.71% positive expected value. Can Parma at least avoid defeat at home, even with their rough form? That’s the angle.
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The Oddspedia community is completely aligned here: Double Chance 1X is the top consensus tip, with 6 of 6 users backing it at odds of 1.51. That tells you the crowd expects Parma to be hard to beat at home, even if wins have been rare. And it kind of makes sense, right? Both teams have the same record (1-1-6), and both lost their last match without scoring. With the table pressure rising, many punters lean towards the safety net of a home win or draw rather than picking a straight winner.
Consensus
5
Community Tips
83
Parma Form Analysis: Can they stop the rot?
Parma come in with LWLLL and they are 19th, with just 4 points from 8 matches. The attack is struggling, with a 2-game streak without scoring, even though Jose David Romero and Simone Lontani both lead the team with 2 goals. At home, Parma haven’t scored in 2 of 4 league games, so starts matter. Still, meetings with Udinese are often tight, and Parma have the stronger long-term home record in this match-up. With both teams level on points, can Parma at least grind out a draw?
Udinese Form Analysis: Away goals, but no wins?
Udinese also have 4 points from 8 matches and sit 16th, with recent form reading LDLLL. They are on a 5-match Serie A losing streak and haven’t won in 6, so confidence must be low. Jurgen Ekkelenkamp is their most dangerous name, and the team’s games have been a bit more open, with 60% going over 2.5 goals. BTTS numbers are mixed, but Udinese show 100% BTTS away in the sample, which is eye-catching. Can they turn decent away threat into points at Parma?
Parma vs Udinese Odds: A near coin-flip
The Full Time Result market is tight, with Parma at 2.87, the Draw at 3.27, and Udinese at 2.78, so bookmakers see this as basically even. The Asian Handicap 0 (Draw No Bet) also reflects that split, sitting around 2.01 for Parma and 1.93 for Udinese. Goals are priced close too: Over 2.25 is 1.93 and Under 2.25 is 2.05, suggesting a marginal lean to 2-3 total goals rather than a cagey 0-0 or 1-0.
Parma vs Udinese Predicted Lineups: Back threes and wing-backs
Parma are tipped to line up in a 3-5-2 under Alberto Gilardino, with Corvi in goal and a back three of Diego Carlos, Troilo, and Drobnic. Del Prato and Valeri should provide the width, while Sierro and Keita look key for ball-winning and tempo in midfield. Up top, Romero partners El Bilal Toure, which gives Parma a direct outlet if they go long. Udinese are expected in a 3-4-2-1 under Kosta Runjaic, with Okoye behind Abankwah, Kabasele, and Palma. Kamara and Vojvoda offer wide support, while Chakvetadze and Ekkelenkamp sit behind Keinan Davis.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16
|
Parma
|
11
|
2
|
2
|
7
|
9:17
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
8
| |
20
|
Udinese
|
11
|
1
|
2
|
8
|
12:25
|
L
L
D
L
L
?
|
5
| |
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Tipster Competition
Yearly Tipster Competition
Bundesliga Competition
La Liga Competition
EPL Competition
Get a free bet for Parma vs Udinese
FAQ Parma vs Udinese
Who will win between Parma and Udinese?
It looks very close on the 1X2 odds, with both teams priced similarly. Parma have the home edge, but both clubs are on 4 points and in poor form. The safer call is backing Parma not to lose.
What is the best bet for Parma and Udinese?
The top pick is Double Chance: 1X. The SmartBet model rates it 5 stars and gives it a 65.36% probability, which is higher than the odds-implied 62.42%. The community also agrees strongly.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. It then compares those probabilities to market odds to spot value bets, like this +4.71% expected value 1X pick.
Where and when is the match played?
Parma vs Udinese is played in Serie A (Round 9) on 2026-10-28. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 UTC. Parma are the home team for this fixture.
Where to watch Parma vs Udinese?
Serie A matches are commonly shown on major sports broadcasters depending on your country, and some bookmakers offer streaming too. Check services like TNT Sports or Sky-style providers locally, plus bet365 for possible live streaming with an eligible account.
Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.
By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.
