Finished
0 - 0
(HT 0 - 0)
26th Jun 26, 8:00 PM

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: Can Cape Verde keep rolling in the World Cup?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia kicks off on 2026-06-27 in the World Cup (Round 3), and it feels like a tight one with goals still on the menu. Oddspedia SmartBet lands on Total Goals: Over 1.5 with a 5-star confidence rating, which is as strong as it gets. The model probability sits at 71.01%, very close to the 70.92% implied by the odds, and that leaves a small +0.13% positive expected value. With Saudi conceding 2.50 per match and Cape Verde averaging 1.00 scored, do we just need a steady 1-1 or 2-0 type scoreline?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
CPV
38% Home
27% Draw
35% Away
KSA
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.9% <0.1% 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8% 10.9% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 8.9% 10.5% 6.2% 2.5% 3.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
92%
23 of 25 Tips
+19
FanDuel
Lost
-111

The community is leaning hard towards Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.91, with 23 of 25 votes backing it. That is a loud message, right? Still, the team trends are a bit tricky. Both sides show 50% BTTS from a tiny two-match sample, but both also sit at 0% BTTS across their last five games. Plus, Cape Verde have three straight clean sheets, so they have been shutting the door lately. If you tail the crowd, you are basically betting Saudi can finally nick one. Can they do it?

Consensus

24
Correct Score: 2 : 1
100%
10 of 10 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1000
Correct Score: 0 : 0
100%
6 of 6 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+950
Half Time / Full Time: Cape Verde / Draw
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1400
Half Time / Full Time: Draw / Cape Verde
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+500
To Win From Behind: Cape Verde
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1000

Community Tips

363
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Full Time Result: Cape Verde
Lost
+165
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Half Time / Full Time: Saudi Arabia / Cape Verde
Lost
+2800
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Correct Score: 2 : 1
Lost
+850
+2.14
22 Tips
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Total Cards: Over 3.5
Won
+130
0.00
5 months ago
6
Accumulator bet
Lost
+1345
-34.10
10 Tips
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Full Time Result: Cape Verde
Lost
+170
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Total Cards: Over 5
Lost
+530
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
Draw No Bet: Saudi Arabia
Void
-118
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
To Score a Penalty: Saudi Arabia
Lost
+700
0.00
5 months ago
Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia
To Win From Behind: Cape Verde
Lost
+1400
D W W D D

Cape Verde Form Analysis: Defence looks well set

Cape Verde’s recent form reads DWWDD, and it lines up with the match facts: unbeaten in four and three straight clean sheets. They average 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 conceded per match, with only 30% possession, so they are happy to play without the ball and hit moments. Half their matches go Over 2.5 and even Over 3.5, which is interesting for totals bettors. Kevin Pina and Hélio Varela both have 1 goal, so the scoring load is shared. Can they stay patient again?

L W D D L

Saudi Arabia Form Analysis: Goals are the big worry

Saudi Arabia arrive with LWDDL, and the numbers explain the wobble. They score just 0.50 per match, and they do not score in the second half on average, which makes chasing games tough. The defence has also leaked 2.50 goals per match, so small mistakes get punished. Their possession is only 35%, so they are not controlling games either. Abdulelah Alamri is listed as top scorer but has 0 goals, which says it all. Can they find a spark early and quiet the clean-sheet streak?

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Stats

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Odds: A near pick’em

The Full Time Result market is basically split. Cape Verde are 2.75, the Draw is 3.37, and Saudi Arabia are 2.85, so bookmakers see a very even match. In Asian Handicap 0 (Draw No Bet), the prices sit at 1.91 and 1.96, again showing little between them. For totals, Over 2.25 is 1.95 while Under 2.25 is 2.08, suggesting a slightly higher lean to goals than a tight 0-0. Will the first goal open it up?

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Odds
Cape Verde Bubista
Saudi Arabia Donis, Georgios
4-1-2-3
Vozinha
1
90' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
W. Pina
24
P. Lopes
4
D. Borges
3
Joao Paulo
8
K. Pina
6
D. Duarte
14
71' Substitute Out
J. Monteiro
10
72' Substitute Out
R. Mendes
20
61' Substitute Out
D. Livramento
19
61' Substitute Out
W. Semedo
17
4-4-2
M. Alowais
21
Yellow Card
S. Abdulhamid
12
A. Alamri
4
33' Substitute Out
H. Altambakti
5
82' Substitute Out
N. Washl
13
Yellow Card
N. Aldawsari
6
M. Kanno
23
46' Substitute Out
A. Alkhaibari
15
66' Substitute Out
S. Aldawsari
10
Yellow Card
F. Albrikan
9
66' Substitute Out
S. Mandash
20
NRG Stadium
Letexier, Francois

Last Matches

D L L L W ?
W W D W W ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
0
Wins
1
Draw
0
Wins
1 played

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FAQ Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia

Who will win between Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia?

The odds call it very close, with Cape Verde at 2.75 and Saudi Arabia at 2.85. Cape Verde have the better recent form (DWWDD) and three straight clean sheets, so they look a bit more stable. A draw is very live too.

What is the best bet for Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia?

The model’s top pick is Total Goals: Over 1.5 with 5-star confidence. It rates at 71.01% probability and has a small +0.13% expected value. It only needs two goals, so 1-1 or 2-0 lands it.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and converts them into market probabilities. You can compare the model probability to the odds-implied probability to spot value, like this Over 1.5 pick.

Where and when is the match played?

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia is in the World Cup (Round 3) on 2026-06-27. Kick-off time is 00:00:00 UTC. Check your local listings for the exact venue and any late scheduling updates.

Where to watch Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia?

World Cup matches are usually shown by major sports broadcasters in each country, plus official streaming partners. You can also check licensed bookmaker streams like bet365 (where available) if you have an account and meet their viewing rules.

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