Finished
1 - 1
(HT 0 - 1)
13th Jun 26, 3:00 PM
90+4' OG
M. Muheim
17' Pen
B. Embolo

Qatar vs Switzerland Prediction: Can Qatar stop the early slump?

Last updated 5 months ago by Stuart Brown
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Qatar vs Switzerland. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Qatar vs Switzerland is played on 2026-06-13 in the World Cup (Round 1), with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet model points to Total Goals: Under 3.5, and it looks like a sensible angle for a tense opener. The model lands at 0.76 probability versus 0.67 implied by the odds, so there is a +14.52% positive expected value baked in. Qatar are on a rough run and have failed to score in three straight games, so can they really push this into a goal-fest?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
QAT
18% Home
25% Draw
56% Away
SUI
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
1.1% <0.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 2.7% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 7.0% 11.0% 8.7% 4.7% 10.0% 15.3% 11.9% 6.2% 7.7%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 0-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Switzerland
82%
89 of 109 Tips
P
RC
+85
BetMGM
Lost
-385

Is the crowd reading this one right? The community consensus is strongly on Switzerland in the Full Time Result market, with 89 of 109 users backing an away win at 1.27. That lines up with the recent form edge too, as Switzerland’s last five (DLDWD) is clearly steadier than Qatar’s (LDLLD). Qatar also have a six-game winless streak and have conceded in each of those matches, which makes it hard to trust the home side. The only catch is the last head-to-head went Qatar’s way, 1-0 in 2018.

Consensus

46
To Win to Nil: Switzerland
100%
17 of 17 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-163
Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
10 of 10 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-400
Correct Score: 0 : 3
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+550
Correct Score: 0 : 2
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+450
To Score a Penalty: Switzerland
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+333

Community Tips

600
0.00
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
+550
-7.67
77 Tips
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+1400
0.00
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
Total Goals: Over 6
Lost
+2500
+6.09
10 Tips
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
Total Goals: Under 2.25
Won
+165
-7.67
77 Tips
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
First Team to Score: No Goal
Lost
+1400
-572.67
671 Tips
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
Asian Handicap: Switzerland -1.5
Lost
-159
0.00
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
2nd Half Total Goals: Over 3
Lost
+630
+137.21
359 Tips
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
Total Goals: Over 3
Lost
+120
-7.67
77 Tips
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
Total Goals: Under 0.5
Lost
+1573
0.00
5 months ago
Qatar - Switzerland
1st Half Total Goals: Over 3
Lost
+1125
L D L L D

Qatar Form Analysis: Can they find a goal?

Qatar come into Round 1 in a tough spell, with a last-five record of LDLLD and no wins in six overall. The big worry is up front. They have not scored in their last three matches, and the match facts also note a three-game streak of zero goals. That makes it tricky to see them pushing the tempo. Still, the head-to-head is a small comfort, as Qatar won the last meeting 1-0. Can Julen Lopetegui steady things early and keep it tight?

D L D W D

Switzerland Form Analysis: Calm and controlled away?

Switzerland arrive with the steadier recent form, posting DLDWD in their last five, and the match facts say their performance is better than Qatar’s right now. They also tend to be stronger early, winning 40% of first halves and leading at half-time in 40% of matches, which could matter in a World Cup opener. There is no goals or xG data available here, but the away scoring note sits at 0.75 goals on average, hinting at a patient, low-risk approach. Will Murat Yakin keep it conservative?

Qatar vs Switzerland Stats

Qatar vs Switzerland Odds: Away win heavily favoured

The Full Time Result prices scream Switzerland, with 1.27 for the away win versus 17.00 for Qatar and 7.16 for the draw. On the Asian Handicap, Switzerland -1.75 is 1.84, while Qatar +1.75 is 2.10, so bookmakers expect a clear gap in quality. The goals line is tight too. Over 3.00 is 1.98 and Under 3.00 is 1.94, which points to around three goals being the key number for traders.

Qatar vs Switzerland Odds
Qatar Lopetegui, Julen
Switzerland Yakin, Murat
4-2-3-1
Yellow Card
M. Abunada
1
60' Substitute Out
A. Aloui
13
Pedro Miguel
2
B. Khoukhi
16
H. Ahmed
14
60' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
J. Gaber
5
I. Laye
4
88' Substitute Out
Edmilson Junior
8
79' Substitute Out
A. Madibo
23
A. Afif
11
60' Substitute Out
Y. Abdurisag
15
3-4-3
G. Kobel
1
Yellow Card
D. Zakaria
6
M. Akanji
5
N. Elvedi
4
66' Substitute Out
M. Aebischer
20
89' Substitute Out
R. Freuler
8
G. Xhaka
34
89' Substitute Out
R. Rodriguez
13
79' Substitute Out
R. Vargas
11
B. Embolo
7
66' Substitute Out
D. Ndoye
11
Levi’s Stadium
Martinez Sorto, Hector Said

Last Matches

W W D D L ?
L W W W W ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
1
Draw
0
Wins
2 played

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FAQ Qatar vs Switzerland

Who will win between Qatar and Switzerland?

Switzerland are the clear favourites in the odds at 1.27 for the Full Time Result. Qatar are priced at 17.00, which shows how little faith the market has. Still, Qatar did win the last head-to-head 1-0, so an upset is not impossible.

What is the best bet for Qatar and Switzerland?

The top model-backed angle is Total Goals: Under 3.5. The SmartBet model gives it a 0.76 probability with a 5/5 confidence rating, and it shows +14.52% expected value compared to the odds-implied 0.67.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model pick that simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. It also compares the model probability to the odds-implied probability to spot value bets, like positive expected value (+EV) opportunities.

Where and when is the match played?

Qatar vs Switzerland is in the World Cup, Round 1. It is played on 2026-06-13, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. It is an early-stage group match, so game management and nerves can shape the tempo.

Where to watch Qatar vs Switzerland?

World Cup matches are typically shown on major national broadcasters and their streaming apps, depending on your country. You can also check live listings on FIFA partners locally. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer live streaming where available.

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