Bologna vs Torino Prediction: Can Bologna finally end the winless run in Serie A?
Given the current form of both teams, a prediction for Total Goals: Under 1.5 seems warranted. Bologna's recent struggle to find the net, coupled with their inability to win in the last five matches, suggests a lack of offensive firepower. Meanwhile, Torino has also seen mixed results, including a tendency to struggle away from home. Historical data indicates that many encounters between these two clubs end in draws, often with low scores. The fact that a significant percentage of their meetings yield fewer than two goals reinforces the expectation for a tightly contested match, potentially resulting in a low-scoring affair.
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Bologna vs Torino. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Bologna vs Torino is set for 2026-09-19 in Serie A (Round 5), with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet model goes for Total Goals: Under 1.5, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability is 27.53%, which is almost the same as the odds-based 27.40%, so the edge is small but still positive at +0.47% EV. With Bologna scoring 0.50 goals per match and Torino not exactly flying either, could this turn into a tight, stop-start chess match?
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The community is leaning towards Bologna on the Full Time Result market. It is 8 of 12 votes backing the home win at odds of 2.00. That makes sense when you look at the home match-up trend too. Torino have not won away at Bologna since 2016, and Bologna are unbeaten in the last 10 home meetings with Torino. Still, Bologna are winless in six overall games, so are the fans trusting the match-up more than the current form? It is a brave, but very logical, angle.
Consensus
8Community Tips
94
Bologna form analysis: Can they stop the slide?
Bologna come into Round 5 sitting 16th with 1 point from 4 matches, and the recent form line is rough: LLLDL. Goals have been the big problem, with just 0.50 scored per match and 0 goals in the first half so far. They do carry the ball well though, averaging 54% possession and 13 shots per game. Roberto Piccoli and Artem Dovbyk are joint top scorers with 1 each, so someone needs to step up. The good news? Bologna have been hard for Torino to beat in this match-up.
Torino form analysis: Away strength or away chaos?
Torino are 18th with 3 points from 4 games, and their last five read LLLWL. They score 1.00 goal per match, but they also concede 1.80, which keeps games risky. Their shot numbers are low at 7.50 per match, so they often rely on moments rather than pressure. Interestingly, Torino’s BTTS Away rate is 100% in the sample, yet they did not score in their last match. Giovanni Simeone and Nikola Vlašić look key in the predicted XI, but can they finally break the long wait for a win in Bologna?
Bologna vs Torino odds: Home edge, low-goal lean
Bookmakers make Bologna slight favourites at 2.00, with the Draw at 3.58 and Torino at 4.27. The Asian Handicap line supports that too, with Bologna -0.5 priced at 1.98 versus Torino +0.5 at 1.92. The goals market is balanced but slightly leans to a higher total, as Over 2.25 is 1.86 while Under 2.25 is 2.09. So the market expects chances, but not a goal-fest. Will the odds be underestimating another tight head-to-head?
Bologna vs Torino predicted lineups: Shape clash in midfield
Bologna are tipped to line up in a 4-3-3 under Domenico Tedesco, with Pessina in goal and a back four of Holm, Heggem, Theate, and Miranda. Pobega, Ferguson, and Amondarain should run the midfield, while Bernardeschi, Piccoli, and Cambiaghi lead the front line. Torino look set for a 3-5-2 with Lucas Perri in goal, a back three of Coemert, Coco, and Comuzzo, plus wing-backs Belghali and Fortini. Mandragora, Fitz-Jim, and Gineitis pack the middle, with Simeone and Vlašić up top. Who wins the wide areas could decide it.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8
|
Bologna
|
11
|
5
|
2
|
4
|
16:14
|
L
W
W
W
W
?
|
17
| |
11
|
Torino
|
11
|
4
|
2
|
5
|
15:17
|
W
W
L
L
D
?
|
14
| |
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FAQ Bologna vs Torino
Who will win between Bologna and Torino?
Bologna are slight favourites at 2.00, and the community also leans their way. The head-to-head at Bologna is strong too, with Torino not winning away here since 2016. Still, both teams are struggling early in the season.
What is the best bet for Bologna and Torino?
The SmartBet model points to Total Goals: Under 1.5 with a 5-star confidence rating. Bologna average 0.50 goals scored per match, and first-half goals have been very limited. It sets up for a tight scoreline.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities for betting markets. It also compares model probability to odds probability to spot value, like the +0.47% EV here.
Where and when is the match played?
Bologna vs Torino is in Serie A (Round 5). It is played on 2026-09-19, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Bologna are at home for this one, looking to climb away from the bottom places.
Where to watch Bologna vs Torino?
Serie A is often shown on major sports broadcasters, depending on your country, and on official league streaming partners. You may also find live streams via bookmakers like bet365 where available. Always check local listings.
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