Finished
0 - 1
(HT 0 - 1)
19th Jun 26, 11:00 PM
2'
M. Galarza

Turkey vs Paraguay Prediction: Can Turkey keep their hot streak going?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Turkey vs Paraguay. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Turkey vs Paraguay kicks off on 2026-06-20 in the World Cup (Round 2), with a 03:00 UTC start. The Oddspedia SmartBet model goes for Total Goals: Over 1.5, and it does so with top confidence (5/5). The model price is 77.13%, while the odds imply 68.97%, so there is a +11.83% positive expected value. Turkey are on a strong run and Paraguay have also been scoring lately, so the game should open up at some point. Will one early goal flip the whole script?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
TUR
53% Home
24% Draw
23% Away
PAR
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
9.6% 0.1% 5.3% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 9.1% 9.7% 5.2% 1.9% 10.6% 11.2% 6.0% 2.1% 6.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.2% 2.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Turkey
66%
87 of 132 Tips
N
S
+83
bet365
Lost
+110

The community is pretty clear on this one. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result Turkey at 2.12, backed by 87 of 132 picks. Why are people leaning that way? Turkey bring the better recent form (WWWWL) and they are on a four-match winning streak, plus they have not lost in eight. Paraguay can still bite, though, especially if they nick the first goal. Do you follow the crowd here, or do you prefer the safer goal markets?

Consensus

34
Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
31 of 31 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-110
Half Time / Full Time: Turkey / Draw
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1200
Correct Score: 1 : 1
100%
9 of 9 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+550
Correct Score: 2 : 1
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+850
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
7 of 7 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+850

Community Tips

463
0.00
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
-118
-63.07
61 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Full Time Result: Turkey
Lost
+110
0.00
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Full Time Result: Turkey
Lost
+110
0.00
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Asian Handicap: Turkey 0
Lost
-200
+6.09
10 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Total Goals: Under 2.25
Won
-102
-33.37
225 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
-118
-368.07
833 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Total Cards: Over 4.5
Lost
+141
-11.00
5 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
2nd Half Total Goals: Over 3
Lost
+770
-11.00
5 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
Total Goals: Over 5
Lost
+1300
-11.00
5 Tips
5 months ago
Turkey - Paraguay
1st Half Total Goals: Over 2
Lost
+548
W W W W L

Turkey Form Analysis: Can the streak continue?

Turkey’s form reads WWWWL, and the match facts say they are unbeaten in eight, so confidence is high. Their numbers show control too, with 63% average possession and a huge 28 shots per match in the sample. The odd bit is finishing, as they show 0 goals despite 7 shots on target, while conceding 2. Still, the wider trend says they have scored in eight straight games, so you would expect a bounce-back up front. If Turkey score first, do you see them managing the game out?

W W L W L

Paraguay Form Analysis: Enough threat on the break?

Paraguay arrive with WWLWL, so it is not a slump, but it is less steady than Turkey. They average just 37% possession, which hints at a deeper shape and counter attacks. In the sample they have 1 goal from 8 shots and 2 on target, but they have also conceded 4, so things can get messy. Their match facts are encouraging for scorers, with at least one goal in six straight matches. Can they stay tight early and grow into it?

Turkey vs Paraguay Stats

Turkey vs Paraguay Odds - Slight edge to Turkey

Bookmakers make Turkey the narrow favourite at 2.12, with the Draw at 3.55 and Paraguay at 3.95. The Asian Handicap -0.5 on Turkey is 2.08, which lines up with a tight home win. For goals, Under 2.5 is favoured at 1.84, while Over 2.5 sits at 2.10, so the market expects a controlled game rather than a shoot-out. Will the early minutes feel cagey?

Turkey vs Paraguay Odds
Turkey Montella, Vincenzo
Paraguay Alfaro, Gustavo
4-2-3-1
U. Cakir
1
M. Muldur
18
M. Demiral
3
86' Substitute Out
A. Bardakci
14
70' Substitute Out
F. Kadioglu
20
60' Substitute Out
I. Yuksek
16
H. Calhanoglu
20
60' Substitute Out
Y. Akgun
19
A. Guler
15
K. Yildiz
10
46' Substitute Out
K. Akturkoglu
7
4-2-3-1
O. Gill
12
81' Substitute Out
J. Caceres
4
G. Gomez
15
O. Alderete
3
J. Alonso
6
A. Cubas
14
90' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
M. Galarza
23
67' Substitute Out
D. Gomez
8
90' Substitute Out
A
J. Enciso
19
Red Card
M. Almiron
10
46' Substitute Out
I. Pitta
25
Levi’s Stadium
Barton Cisneros, Ivan Arcides

Last Matches

W L L L L ?
D D L W W ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
0
Wins
1
Win
1 played

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FAQ Turkey vs Paraguay

Who will win between Turkey and Paraguay?

Turkey are the slight favourites at 2.12, and the match facts back them with a four-game winning streak and an eight-game unbeaten run. Paraguay are live outsiders at 3.95, though, especially if they score first and slow the game down.

What is the best bet for Turkey and Paraguay?

The best value play from the computer model is Total Goals: Over 1.5. The model has it at 77.13% probability versus 68.97% implied by odds, creating +11.83% expected value. It fits the scoring streak trends for both teams.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. It also compares those probabilities to the odds to find value bets (+EV). Here, it highlights Over 1.5 goals with 5/5 confidence.

Where and when is the match played?

Turkey vs Paraguay is scheduled for 2026-06-20 at 03:00 UTC. It is part of the World Cup (Round 2). Check your local time zone so you do not miss the kick-off.

Where to watch Turkey vs Paraguay?

World Cup matches are usually shown on major sports broadcasters and their streaming apps in each country. You can also check live listings on platforms like BBC/Sky-style TV guides in the UK. Some bookmakers, such as bet365, may offer livestreaming where available.

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