SSD Monza vs Udinese Prediction: Can Monza strike first in Serie A?
SSD Monza demonstrates a strong likelihood of scoring first against Udinese in their upcoming match. With a solid record of scoring in their last five games and a home advantage—where they net an average of 1.92 goals—Monza has a favorable setup. Furthermore, historical data shows that when they lead, they win the majority of their matches. While both teams have kept clean sheets recently, Udinese's away form presents vulnerabilities. Given these factors, betting on Monza to score first offers a promising opportunity for a positive return. Trust in their attacking potential and recent form; Monza is primed to strike first.
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for SSD Monza vs Udinese. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
SSD Monza vs Udinese is played on 2026-08-29 in Serie A (Round 2), with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. The computer model lands on First Team to Score: SSD Monza, and it’s a bold one with a 5-star confidence rating. The SmartBet probability sits at 0.62, while the odds imply only 0.43, which creates a tasty +EV edge of 0.44. Monza have already shown they can score early, and Udinese may start a bit cagey away. Will Juric’s side come out fast again?
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
Consensus
4
Community Tips
59
SSD Monza Form Analysis: Can they start quicker?
Monza come into Round 2 after a rough start in the table, with 0 points from 1 match and 4 goals conceded. Their last five read WLDWL, so it’s been a bit up and down. The numbers show they are not seeing much of the ball either, with 31% average possession and just 7 shots per match. Still, they do carry a goal threat through Gustavo Varela, who already has 1 goal from 1 appearance. In this head-to-head, Monza average 1.20 goals per game vs Udinese. Can they grab the first punch at home?
Udinese Form Analysis: Solid base, but can they score?
Udinese sit slightly healthier in the standings with 1 point from 1 match, and their last five form is LWWWD. The key vibe is control and safety. They average 14 shots per match, which is double Monza’s output, and they concede only 1 goal per match so far. There’s also that 3-game clean sheet streak in the match facts, which screams defensive confidence. The worry? Their goals are not flying in, and their top listed scorer Hassane Kamara has 0 goals from 1 appearance. If they start slow, could Monza nick the opener?
SSD Monza vs Udinese Odds - Away side slight favourites
The Full Time Result odds make Udinese the narrow favourite at 2.46, with Monza at 3.29 and the Draw at 3.30. So, the bookies lean away, but not by loads. For Total Goals, Under 2.25 is priced at 1.91 and Over 2.25 at 2.03, which hints at a fairly tight scoring game. The Asian Handicap line sits around a quarter goal, with +0.25 at 1.83 and -0.25 at 2.05, suggesting a close match where one moment could decide it.
SSD Monza vs Udinese Predicted Lineups - Two back threes collide
Monza are tipped to line up in a 3-4-2-1 under Ivan Juric, with Pizzignacco in goal and a back three of Kouadio, Lucchesi, and Carboni. Birindelli and Bakoune look set to provide the width, while Colpani should link the play behind lone striker Gustavo Varela, who is already their top scorer. Udinese are expected in a 3-4-3 with Okoye in goal, Abankwah, Palma, and Solet at the back, and wing support from Vojvoda and Kamara. Zaniolo, Gueye, and Ekkelenkamp give them pace and movement up front. Who wins the wing battles?
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18
|
SSD Monza
|
11
|
2
|
1
|
8
|
17:25
|
W
L
L
L
L
?
|
7
| |
20
|
Udinese
|
11
|
1
|
2
|
8
|
12:25
|
L
L
D
L
L
?
|
5
| |
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FAQ SSD Monza vs Udinese
Who will win between SSD Monza and Udinese?
Udinese are slight favourites on the Full Time Result market at 2.46, while Monza are 3.29 and the Draw is 3.30. The head-to-head is very even, though, so a tight game is still on the cards.
What is the best bet for SSD Monza and Udinese?
The standout data play is SmartBet’s pick: First Team to Score: SSD Monza. The model has it at 0.62 probability versus 0.43 implied by odds, giving a +EV edge of 0.44.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates match outcomes and turns them into betting probabilities. It then compares those probabilities to the market odds to spot value bets, shown as positive expected value (+EV).
Where and when is the match played?
SSD Monza vs Udinese takes place in Serie A (Round 2) on 2026-08-29. Kick-off time is 16:30 UTC. It’s an early-season matchup, so points already feel important for both sides.
Where to watch SSD Monza vs Udinese?
Serie A matches are commonly shown on broadcasters like TNT Sports or discovery+ (UK rights can vary by season), and streaming platforms that carry Serie A coverage. Some bookmakers, such as bet365, may also offer live streaming if you have a funded account.
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