Finished
1 - 2
(HT 0 - 1)
22nd Oct 26, 3:00 PM
62'
C. Kabongo
44'
F. Mota de Castro
65'
Reinaldo

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Prediction: Can Plzen recover in Europa League Round 3?

Last updated 21 days ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Viktoria Plzen vs Levski. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski is played on 2026-10-22 in the Europa League (Round 3), with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Our computer model leans to Double Chance: X2, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. The model makes X2 a 55.44% shot, while the odds imply 50.00%, so there is a +10.88% positive expected value. Plzen are pointless after two games, while Levski have a point, and that gap matters. Will Levski’s away resilience show up again?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
VPL
45% Home
25% Draw
30% Away
LEV
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
6.5% 0.1% 4.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.1% 7.5% 8.7% 4.7% 2.1% 10.7% 11.5% 6.9% 2.6% 7.6% 7.7% 4.7% 2.2% 4.0%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Consensus

6
Total Goals: Over 2.5
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-110
Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
4 of 4 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-125
Asian Handicap: Viktoria Plzen -0.75
100%
3 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-103
Asian Handicap Corners: Viktoria Plzen +0.5
100%
3 of 3 Tips
Interwetten
Best odds
-222
Full Time Result: Viktoria Plzen
81%
21 of 26 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-130

Community Tips

73
-619.19
1735 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Correct Score: 2 : 4
Lost
+10000
-394.09
485 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Asian Handicap: Viktoria Plzen -0.75
Lost
-105
-394.09
485 Tips
19 days ago
2
Accumulator bet
Lost
+211
-264.03
426 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-118
-1,635.21
2716 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Double Chance: Viktoria Plzen or Draw
Lost
-500
-1,254.58
2598 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Double Chance: Viktoria Plzen or Levski
Won
-400
-283.37
578 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Double Chance: Draw or Levski
Won
+110
-120.71
192 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Double Chance: Draw or Levski
Won
+110
-229.46
494 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
Full Time Result: Viktoria Plzen
Lost
-137
-2,178.13
7550 Tips
19 days ago
Viktoria Plzen - Levski
2nd Half Result: Levski
Lost
+340
L L W L W

Viktoria Plzen Form Analysis: Can they bounce back?

Plzen’s last five reads LLWLW, so it’s choppy, and in the Europa League table they sit on 0 points after two losses. That pressure is real. The good news is their games can open up fast, with 80% going Over 2.5 Goals and 40% over 3.5. BTTS has landed in 67% across 15 matches, and 75% at home, so they rarely keep it quiet at both ends. Denis Visinsky leads the scoring with 1 goal in 2 appearances. Can he nick an early one again?

D L W D W

Levski Form Analysis: Are they built for away days?

Levski’s form is steadier at DLWDW, and it has them slightly ahead in the group with 1 point from two matches. They do not scream goals, though. Only 43% of their games go Over 2.5 Goals, and just 24% clear Over 3.5. BTTS is also lower at 33% overall, but it jumps to 55% away, which is interesting for this trip. Reinaldo has 0 goals in 2 appearances, so the front line still needs a big moment. Can their 4-3-3 finally click?

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Stats

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Odds - Home edge, but not huge

Bookmakers make Plzen favourites at 1.83, with the Draw at 3.99 and Levski at 4.50, so the home win is respected but not locked in. The Asian Handicap line of Plzen -0.75 at 2.00 versus Levski +0.75 at 1.85 shows a close gap too. Goals are priced almost dead level, with Over 2.75 at 1.95 and Under 2.75 at 1.94. So are we getting a balanced match with swings both ways?

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Odds

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Predicted Lineups - Who starts and why?

Plzen are expected to line up with Florian Wiegele in goal, then Gabriel, Prebsl, Doski and Dweh at the back. Hrosovsky, Ladra and Cerv should run the middle, with Kabongo and Memic supporting Denis Visinsky up top. Visinsky is the main goal threat so far, so keep an eye on his movement in the box. Levski are listed as a 4-3-3 under Julio Velazquez. Vutsov starts in goal, with Aldair, Dimitrov, Makoun and Maicon in defence. Moubarik, Grujic and Serginho should anchor midfield, while Kusso, Reinaldo and Francisco Everton lead the press. Which front three wins the wide battles?

Viktoria Plzen Kovac, Radoslav
Levski Velazquez, Julio
4-1-3-2
F. Wiegele
44
A. Memic
99
S. Dweh
40
D. Vavro
3
74' Substitute Out
T. Paliscak
2
L. Cerv
6
74' Substitute Out
T. Ladra
18
60' Substitute Out
P. Hrosovsky
17
A
C. Souare
19
77' Substitute Out
C. Kabongo
25
60' Substitute Out
D. Visinsky
9
4-2-3-1
S. Vutsov
92
Aldair
21
K. Dimitrov
50
C. Makoun
4
A
Maicon
3
M. Grujic
8
82' Substitute Out
E. Moubarik
19
60' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
M. Soula
22
Serginho
35
74' Substitute Out
F. Mota de Castro
17
82' Substitute Out
A
Reinaldo
7
Doosan Arena
Hernandez, Alejandro

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
10
4
2
1
1
4:3
L D W W ?
7
30
4
1
0
3
3:7
W L L L W ?
3

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FAQ Viktoria Plzen vs Levski

Who will win between Viktoria Plzen and Levski?

The odds slightly favour Viktoria Plzen (1.83), but the SmartBet model prefers safety on Levski’s side with Double Chance: X2. With Plzen on 0 points and Levski showing better recent form, an away result looks live.

What is the best bet for Viktoria Plzen and Levski?

The top data-led pick is Double Chance: X2. The model probability is 55.44% versus 50.00% implied by odds, creating +10.88% expected value. Levski also have a six-match unbeaten away run, which supports it.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes, then compares the model probability to the odds-implied probability. When the model is higher, it can show positive expected value, like the X2 pick here.

Where and when is the match played?

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski is in the Europa League (Round 3) on 2026-10-22. Kick-off time is 19:00 UTC. It’s an important game, with Plzen needing points after two losses and Levski looking to build on their one point.

Where to watch Viktoria Plzen vs Levski?

Europa League matches are often shown on TNT Sports in the UK, and on various national broadcasters across Europe. Some bookmakers also offer streaming, such as bet365, if you have an account and meet their viewing rules in your region.

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