Arsenal have opened a three-point lead at the top of the Premier League after nine matches, while Brighton have emerged as serious contenders for Champions League qualification. Manchester City’s recent defeats and the close battle for the remaining places have added further intrigue to the top-four race.
Premier League Top 4 Odds 2026/27: Who Will Finish in the Top Four?
- What are the latest Premier League top 4 odds?
- Which teams look strongest in the top 4 race?
- See our Premier League top 4 prediction
REUTERS/David Klein
Four places. No guarantees.
We compare the latest Premier League top four odds, assess the leading contenders and revisit our pre-season selection. Uncertainty over a possible points deduction for Manchester City also remains an important factor in the betting.
At Oddspedia, you can follow the latest Premier League odds throughout the season and compare them with the latest Premier League winner odds to see how the two markets develop.
Premier League top 4 odds favourites 2026/27
The table below compares the favourites in the 2026/27 Premier League top four odds after nine rounds of fixtures.
| Team | Odds | Decimal odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal |
1/100 | 1.01 | 99.01% |
 Brighton |
8/15 | 1.53 | 65.22% |
 Liverpool |
4/7 | 1.57 | 63.64% |
 Chelsea |
8/11 | 1.73 | 57.89% |
 Manchester City |
4/5 | 1.80 | 55.56% |
 Tottenham Hotspur |
7/2 | 4.50 | 22.22% |
Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 3 November 2026.
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EPL top 4 odds analysis
Below, we assess the leading contenders in the Premier League top four odds, looking at their recent qualification record, early-season form and the main factors behind each price.
The headings show how each team’s odds have moved since the previous update.
Arsenal extend their lead with victory at Anfield (1/80 🔻 1/100)
Arsenal have finished inside the Premier League top four in each of the last four seasons. Three consecutive second-place finishes were followed by the 2025/26 title, when the Gunners collected 85 points and ended a 22-year wait to be crowned champions.
Mikel Arteta’s side strengthened their position with a 1-0 victory at Liverpool, their first Premier League win at Anfield in 14 years. Kai Havertz scored the only goal after 16 minutes, and Arsenal defended their advantage to secure a third consecutive league clean sheet. The result took them to 24 points from nine matches, three clear of Manchester City.
With eight victories from their opening nine fixtures, Arsenal have established a commanding position in the top-four race. Their defensive organisation, title-winning experience and ability to secure narrow victories make another Champions League qualification campaign look increasingly secure.
Brighton stun City to strengthen top-four challenge (11/10 🔻 8/15)
Brighton have never finished in the Premier League top four, but their early-season form has made them serious contenders for a Champions League place. Fabian Hurzeler’s side have already beaten Arsenal and produced impressive attacking performances, including a 5-0 victory over Crystal Palace.
Brighton responded to their 2-0 defeat at Liverpool with an outstanding 1-0 victory away to Manchester City. Yasin Ayari capitalised on a mistake from Matheus Nunes to score the winner, while Bart Verbruggen made several important saves. The result took Brighton to 19 points from nine matches, strengthening their hold on third place.
Six clean sheets in nine league fixtures underline Brighton’s defensive improvement, while victories against Arsenal and City demonstrate their ability to compete with the strongest teams. Balancing European commitments with the Premier League remains a challenge, but their results have given them a strong foundation for a sustained top-four push.
Liverpool’s recovery stalls against Arsenal (🟰 4/7)
REUTERS/Phil Noble
Liverpool won the Premier League in 2024/25 but slipped to fifth the following season, finishing five points behind fourth-placed Aston Villa. Although fifth was enough to secure Champions League qualification in 2025/26, they still missed the top four for the second time in four campaigns.
After victories over Brentford and Brighton, Liverpool suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal. Kai Havertz’s early goal proved decisive as Andoni Iraola’s side struggled to turn possession and pressure into clear scoring opportunities. Liverpool remain on 15 points from nine matches, slipping to fifth behind Chelsea.
Liverpool have finished inside the top four in eight of the last ten seasons, and their attacking quality remains a major advantage. Alexander Isak has scored six league goals, but the defeat to Arsenal highlighted the need for greater consistency against leading opponents. Iraola must find a way to turn promising attacking spells into results if Liverpool are to secure another Champions League place.
Chelsea return to winning ways against United (8/15 ▲ 8/11)
Chelsea returned to the top four in 2024/25, finishing fourth after ending the previous two seasons in 12th and sixth. However, they fell back to tenth in 2025/26, winning only 14 league matches and finishing 13 points behind the Champions League places.
Xabi Alonso’s side bounced back from their 2-0 defeat to Tottenham with a 2-0 victory over Manchester United at Stamford Bridge. Morgan Rogers opened the scoring with an excellent individual effort before Cole Palmer converted a penalty following Lisandro Martinez’s dismissal. Chelsea now have 16 points from nine matches and occupy fourth place.
The response was encouraging, particularly after Chelsea had struggled defensively against several opponents earlier in the campaign. Rogers is becoming an important attacking influence, while Palmer’s return provides another creative option. However, Alonso still needs to establish greater consistency if Chelsea are to maintain their position ahead of Liverpool and the other challengers.
City’s second successive defeat raises questions (1/2 ▲ 4/5)
Manchester City have not finished outside the Premier League top four since 2009/10. They finished second behind Arsenal in 2025/26, having won five of the previous eight league titles, including four in succession between 2020/21 and 2023/24.
After losing 2-1 at Aston Villa, City suffered another setback with a 1-0 home defeat to Brighton. A defensive error allowed Yasin Ayari to score, and Enzo Maresca’s side could not find an equaliser despite creating opportunities. City remain second with 21 points from nine matches, but their seven-match winning start has now been followed by consecutive defeats.
City’s quality and long record of Champions League qualification remain significant strengths. However, uncertainty around a potential points deduction continues to complicate their top-four outlook, regardless of results on the pitch. Maresca will also want to address the defensive mistakes that have contributed to their recent defeats.
Tottenham build momentum with another London derby win (4/1 🔻 7/2)
Tottenham followed their impressive 2-0 victory at Chelsea with another 2-0 success against Crystal Palace. Jean-Philippe Mateta’s early dismissal gave Spurs a numerical advantage, which they capitalised on through goals from Archie Gray and Jan Paul van Hecke. Consecutive league wins and clean sheets have strengthened their challenge for a Champions League place.
Winning against two London rivals is an encouraging sign for Tottenham, particularly after questions about their consistency earlier in the campaign. Their defensive improvement has been important, although they will need to maintain those standards against opponents who offer a greater attacking threat.
Manchester United remain outside the six favourites at 7/1 following their 2-0 defeat at Chelsea, which extended their winless run to nine matches in all competitions. Michael Carrick’s side continue to struggle despite the attacking quality available, with Bruno Fernandes still an important creative influence. Our Premier League most assists odds track his chances of leading that market again.
Premier League top 4 finish odds prediction
Villa extend unbeaten run with Fulham draw (4/1 ▲ 7/1)
Aston Villa have finished in the Premier League top four twice in the last three seasons. They secured fourth place in 2023/24, slipped to sixth the following year and returned to fourth in 2025/26 with 65 points, giving them a stronger recent record than several shorter-priced rivals.
The squad has changed considerably since then, with Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans, Lucas Digne and Ezri Konsa leaving during the summer. After taking one point from their first four matches, Villa began to recover with victories over Tottenham, Newcastle and Manchester City, alongside a draw with Brentford. Nicolas Jackson then scored against Fulham, but an Alex Iwobi corner was spilled into the net by goalkeeper Zion Suzuki as Villa were held 1-1. They now have 12 points from nine games.
Villa were my pre-season top-four selection, based on their recent qualification record and Unai Emery’s experience balancing domestic and European football. The squad turnover weakened that case, but five matches unbeaten, including an impressive victory over City, suggest Emery is finding a better balance. The Fulham draw showed that Villa still have work to do, although their improving performances give me reason to stick with the prediction.
EPL top 4 odds in full
Below are the latest Premier League top four odds for the 2026/27 season.
| Team | Odds | Decimal odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1/100 | 1.01 | 99.01% |
| Brighton | 8/15 | 1.53 | 65.22% |
| Liverpool | 4/7 | 1.57 | 63.64% |
| Chelsea | 8/11 | 1.73 | 57.89% |
| Manchester City | 4/5 | 1.80 | 55.56% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 7/2 | 4.50 | 22.22% |
| Brentford | 5/1 | 6.00 | 16.67% |
| Aston Villa | 7/1 | 8.00 | 12.50% |
| Manchester United | 7/1 | 8.00 | 12.50% |
| Leeds United | 10/1 | 11.00 | 9.09% |
| Bournemouth | 11/1 | 12.00 | 8.33% |
| Everton | 14/1 | 15.00 | 6.67% |
| Newcastle United | 18/1 | 19.00 | 5.26% |
| Nottingham Forest | 50/1 | 51.00 | 1.96% |
| Fulham | 80/1 | 81.00 | 1.23% |
| Crystal Palace | 150/1 | 151.00 | 0.66% |
| Ipswich Town | 150/1 | 151.00 | 0.66% |
| Sunderland | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| Hull City | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| Coventry City | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 3 November 2026.
How to bet on Premier League top four odds
Top four betting is an outright market in which you select a club to finish the season inside the Premier League’s first four positions. Bookmakers usually offer this market throughout the campaign, allowing prices to move in response to results, injuries, transfers and changes in team form.
Compare top 4 finish odds between bookmakers
Comparing the market through the best football betting sites can help you find a bigger price and improve the potential return on a winning selection.
Look beyond the leading favourites
Short prices may reflect a high probability of success without necessarily providing the strongest value. Teams such as Tottenham, Aston Villa and Newcastle are available at considerably bigger odds, so it is worth assessing whether the gap between the favourites and outsiders is justified.
Consider squad depth and fixture demands
Teams competing in several competitions need enough depth to manage injuries, rotation and congested schedules. A strong starting line-up may not be sufficient if a club lacks reliable replacements during the busiest stages of the season.
Review bonuses before placing a bet
The latest betting offers may include enhanced odds, profit boosts or other promotions available on outright football markets.
You can also compare current free bets and the features offered by the best betting apps. Check the qualifying terms, eligible markets and expiry dates before claiming an offer.
Premier League top 4 odds FAQs
Who are the favourites in the EPL top 4 finish odds?
Arsenal lead the latest Premier League top-four odds after a strong start to their title defence. Brighton are now second in the betting, followed by Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur. These prices reflect bookmakers’ expectations of a top-four finish and can change as results, injuries and other developments influence the race for Champions League places.
What does a Premier League top four bet mean?
A Premier League top-four bet wins if your selected club finishes the season in one of the first four league positions. Unlike broader Champions League qualification odds, this market is settled on the final Premier League table, not whether a club reaches the competition through another route. Check the bookmaker’s rules for how points deductions or other exceptional circumstances could affect settlement.
When is the best time to bet on Premier League top 4 odds?
There is no single best time to bet on a Premier League top-four finish. Betting early may offer a bigger price if you have identified an overlooked team, while waiting gives you more evidence about form, injuries, transfers and tactics. Consider whether the available odds fairly reflect the team’s chances and how much uncertainty you are comfortable accepting.
Where can I find the best Premier League top 4 odds?
Oddspedia compares Premier League top-four finish odds from a range of established bookmakers, helping you check the available prices for each club. Prices can differ between operators and may move after results, injuries or transfer news. Comparing the same market across bookmakers can help you find a better price before placing a bet.
Stuart Brown
