Arsenal remain clear Premier League title favourites after beating Hull City 1-0 to open up a five-point lead at the top. Brighton have strengthened their position as second favourites following a 2-0 victory over Brentford, while Manchester City suffered a third consecutive league defeat, losing 3-1 at Nottingham Forest.
Brighton now sit second in both the table and title betting, with Fabian Hurzeler’s side emerging as Arsenal’s closest challengers. Liverpool also returned to winning ways with a 3-1 victory at Crystal Palace, while Chelsea’s 1-0 defeat at Sunderland left Xabi Alonso’s team with further ground to make up.
Arsenal's defensive strength could prove decisive in the title race...
The table below compares the latest 2026/27 Premier League winner odds.
Team
Odds
Decimal odds
Implied probability
Arsenal
1/4
1.25
80.00%
Brighton
10/1
11.00
9.09%
Liverpool
12/1
13.00
7.69%
Manchester City
14/1
15.00
6.67%
Chelsea
33/1
34.00
2.94%
Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 9 November 2026.
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Premier League winner odds latest updates
9 November 2026:Brighton have moved into second favouritism for the Premier League title at 10/1, ahead of Liverpool and Manchester City. Arsenal remain clear favourites after shortening from 1/3 to 1/4.
2 November 2026:Arsenal have opened up a three-point lead at the top after winning 1-0 at Liverpool, while Manchester City suffered a second consecutive league defeat, losing 1-0 at home to Brighton. Arsenal are now 1/3 for the title, with City drifting to 7/1. Brighton’s victory has strengthened their challenge, moving them into third favouritism at 12/1, ahead of Liverpool and Chelsea.
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Premier League winner odds favourites analysed
Below, we assess the title credentials, recent performances and current prices of the leading contenders in the Premier League winner odds.
Arsenal extend their lead with victory over Hull (1/3 🔻 1/4)
Arsenal remain clear Premier League title favourites after beating Hull City 1-0 to extend their lead at the top to five points. Mikel Arteta’s side have now taken 27 points from ten matches, building on their impressive 1-0 victory at Liverpool the previous weekend. With Brighton their nearest challengers and Manchester City losing again, the Gunners have strengthened their position in the title race.
The Hull result also extended Arsenal’s run to four consecutive league clean sheets. Their defensive organisation had already proved decisive at Anfield, where Kai Havertz scored the winner from Declan Rice’s cross before Arsenal withstood considerable pressure. Conceding just five goals in ten matches underlines the consistency that has established them as the team to beat.
Arteta will still want more attacking fluency from his forwards, particularly Viktor Gyokeres, as Arsenal look to defend the title they won last season. However, narrow victories over Liverpool and Hull show they can grind out results without being at their most convincing going forward. Their ability to keep winning while the chasing clubs drop points has made their title position increasingly strong.
Brighton strengthen second place with Brentford win (12/1 🔻 10/1)
Action Images via Reuters/Matthew Childs
Brighton have moved into second favouritism for the Premier League title after following their victory at Manchester City with a 2-0 home win over Brentford. Fabian Hurzeler’s side now have 22 points from ten matches, sitting second in the table and five behind Arsenal. Their latest result has strengthened their position ahead of Liverpool and City in the outright betting.
The victory over Brentford followed an impressive 1-0 win at the Etihad, where Yasin Ayari capitalised on a defensive mistake and Bart Verbruggen produced an outstanding performance in goal. Brighton have now beaten both Arsenal and Manchester City in the league this season, demonstrating their ability to compete against the strongest opposition. Another clean sheet against Brentford also extended their impressive defensive record.
Brighton’s rise into second place is a significant achievement for a relatively young squad balancing domestic and European commitments. Their organisation, pressing and attacking movement have helped them maintain a strong start, although sustaining that level across a full season will be challenging. With City struggling and Liverpool still seeking consistency, Brighton have established themselves as Arsenal’s closest challengers for now.
Liverpool respond with victory at Crystal Palace (14/1 🔻 12/1)
Liverpool returned to winning ways with a 3-1 victory away to Crystal Palace on Matchweek 10, responding positively to their 1-0 home defeat against Arsenal. Andoni Iraola’s side now have 18 points from ten matches, leaving them nine behind the leaders. Their odds have shortened to 12/1, moving them ahead of Manchester City into third favouritism.
The result at Palace was a welcome improvement after Liverpool’s frustrating performance against Arsenal. Despite registering 18 attempts at Anfield, they failed to produce a shot on target, with Florian Wirtz striking the crossbar and Alexis Mac Allister wasting a headed chance. Their victory over Palace gives Alexander Isak, Bradley Barcola and the other new arrivals another opportunity to build momentum.
Liverpool have shown they can respond to setbacks, but consistency remains a problem as Iraola continues adapting to a significantly changed squad. Nine points is already a substantial gap to Arsenal, and the Reds will need a sustained winning run to close it. Their move up the betting reflects both their recovery at Palace and Manchester City’s worsening results.
City suffer third consecutive defeat at Forest (7/1▲ 14/1)
Manchester City’s title challenge suffered another major setback with a 3-1 defeat away to Nottingham Forest, their third consecutive Premier League loss. Enzo Maresca’s side have remained on 21 points since winning their opening seven matches and are now six behind Arsenal. Their drift to 14/1 has seen them fall to fourth favouritism, behind Brighton and Liverpool.
The defeat at Forest followed losses to Aston Villa and Brighton, exposing problems that were less apparent during City’s perfect start. Against Brighton, Yasin Ayari scored after a defensive mistake from Matheus Nunes, while goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen made seven saves to preserve a 1-0 victory. City created chances in that match but struggled to convert them, and their latest defeat has added to concerns about their defensive stability.
Three consecutive defeats have changed the outlook for City, who now face the challenge of recovering momentum while Arsenal and Brighton continue to collect points. Their attacking quality still gives them the ability to respond, but they can afford few more setbacks if they want to retain a realistic title challenge. The unresolved financial case and possibility of a points deduction remain further uncertainties surrounding their season.
Chelsea lose at Sunderland as title odds drift (22/1▲ 33/1)
Chelsea suffered another setback with a 1-0 defeat away to Sunderland, leaving Xabi Alonso’s side on 16 points from ten Premier League matches. The loss followed their encouraging 2-0 victory over Manchester United, but Chelsea have now been beaten four times in the league this season. They sit 11 points behind Arsenal, with their title odds drifting to 33/1.
Chelsea had appeared to find a response against Manchester United, when Morgan Rogers opened the scoring with an excellent individual goal before Cole Palmer converted a penalty following Lisandro Martinez’s dismissal. However, the defeat at Sunderland has underlined their inconsistency, particularly after their earlier 2-0 home loss to Tottenham. Their attacking quality has not yet translated into a sustained run of results.
Alonso’s side have enough talent to trouble the leading clubs, but four defeats in ten matches represent a significant obstacle to a title challenge. Defensive consistency remains a concern, while Arsenal’s growing lead makes the task increasingly difficult. Chelsea need to put together a run of victories before they can seriously consider closing the gap at the top.
Premier League winner odds predictions
Premier League winner prediction: Arsenal (6/4 🔻 1/4)
Arsenal were my pre-season pick at 6/4 and remain clear Premier League title favourites after beating Hull City 1-0 on Matchweek 10. Mikel Arteta’s side have taken 27 points from ten matches, opening up a five-point lead over Brighton. The victory followed their impressive 1-0 win at Liverpool, where Kai Havertz scored the winner to secure a hard-fought result at Anfield.
The Gunners have conceded just five league goals in ten matches and kept four consecutive clean sheets, with their defensive consistency continuing to make them my preferred selection. Manchester City’s third successive defeat, a 3-1 loss at Nottingham Forest, has further strengthened Arsenal’s position, while uncertainty surrounding City’s financial case remains another concern for Enzo Maresca’s team. Arteta still needs more from his forwards, but Arsenal’s ability to win difficult matches makes them a strong candidate to retain the title.
Premier League winner longshot: Chelsea (10/1▲ 33/1)
REUTERS/David Klein
Chelsea were my pre-season longshot at 10/1, but their inconsistent start has made that selection increasingly difficult to defend. Xabi Alonso’s side remain on 16 points after ten matches, leaving them 11 behind Arsenal following a 1-0 defeat away to Sunderland. That result was another setback after their encouraging 2-0 victory over Manchester United, when Morgan Rogers and Cole Palmer scored at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea have enough attacking quality to trouble the leading sides, but conceding 16 goals in ten matches remains a concern. Alonso has struggled to find defensive consistency, while four league defeats have left his team with considerable ground to make up. With their title odds now out to 33/1, I still believe their squad has the potential to improve, although they need a sustained winning run before they can be considered serious challengers.
Premier League winner odds 2026/27 in full
The table below shows the latest Premier League winner odds for every club in the 2026/27 season.
Team
Odds
Decimal odds
Implied probability
Arsenal
1/4
1.25
80.00%
Brighton
10/1
11.00
9.09%
Liverpool
12/1
13.00
7.69%
Manchester City
14/1
15.00
6.67%
Chelsea
33/1
34.00
2.94%
Tottenham Hotspur
100/1
101.00
0.99%
Aston Villa
150/1
151.00
0.66%
Manchester United
200/1
201.00
0.50%
Bournemouth
200/1
201.00
0.50%
Brentford
250/1
251.00
0.40%
Leeds United
250/1
251.00
0.40%
Everton
250/1
251.00
0.40%
Newcastle United
1000/1
1001.00
0.10%
Nottingham Forest
1500/1
1501.00
0.07%
Fulham
1500/1
1501.00
0.07%
Ipswich Town
2500/1
2501.00
0.04%
Sunderland
2500/1
2501.00
0.04%
Hull City
2500/1
2501.00
0.04%
Crystal Palace
3000/1
3001.00
0.03%
Coventry City
3500/1
3501.00
0.03%
Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 9 November 2026.
Key strategies to bet on the Premier League winner 2026/27
Betting on the outright winner is a season-long decision, so your EPL picks should account for more than the current league table. Squad depth, fixtures, price and timing can all affect whether a bet appeals.
⚽️ Research beyond the favourites
The shortest-priced team will not always be the one you want to back. Look at squad strength, injuries, summer recruitment and the fixture list, particularly for clubs also playing in Europe. Managerial stability matters too, especially once pressure starts building, which we track in our Premier League next manager sacked odds.
📈 Compare odds between bookmakers
Outright prices can vary between bookmakers, especially further down the market. Check more than one operator before placing a bet, as even a small difference in price matters on a season-long selection.
💰 Check bookmaker bonuses and promotions
Bookmakers regularly offer free bets, acca boosts and money-back promotions during the Premier League season. Check the terms and conditions before using an offer, particularly any minimum odds, wagering requirements or expiry dates.
🎯 Consider when to place your bet
Premier League winner odds move throughout the season as results, injuries and transfers change expectations. You may get a bigger price after a poor result, but there is no guarantee it represents better value. Waiting gives you more information, while betting earlier can secure a price that later disappears.
Use Oddspedia’s Bet Calculator to compare potential returns for singles and accumulators.
💼 Manage your bankroll and consider hedging
Outright bets can tie up money for most of the season, so stake with that timeframe in mind. Hedging may also be an option later if your original selection shortens significantly, although whether it makes sense will depend on the prices available and your position.
Who is the favourite to win the Premier League in 2026/27?
Arsenal are clear favourites in the latest Premier League winner odds after strengthening their position at the top of the table. Brighton have moved into second favouritism following their impressive victory at Manchester City, with Liverpool now third in the betting. City have slipped to fourth after consecutive defeats to Aston Villa and Brighton, while Chelsea complete the leading five contenders.
Why do Premier League winner odds change during the season?
Premier League winner odds react to results, injuries, transfers, suspensions and changes in team performance throughout the campaign. A strong run can quickly shorten a club’s price, while defeats or the loss of an important player may push it out. Bookmaker prices can also move in response to betting activity, so not every change necessarily reflects new information.
How do Premier League winner bets work?
A Premier League winner bet is settled on the team that finishes first after all 38 league matches have been played. Cup competitions and European results do not directly affect settlement, although they can influence form, injuries and squad rotation. If teams finish level on points, the Premier League’s official tie-break rules determine their final positions.
When is the best time to bet on the Premier League winner?
There is no single best time to place a Premier League winner bet because prices change throughout the season. Betting early can secure bigger odds before a team starts well, while waiting provides more evidence about form, injuries and new signings. The best approach is to decide whether the available price fairly reflects the team’s chances at that point.
What should I check before betting on the Premier League winner?
Look beyond the league table and consider squad depth, injuries, fixture difficulty, European commitments and any major transfer or managerial changes. Comparing prices between bookmakers also matters because outright odds can vary noticeably for the same team. For a season-long bet, consider how much of your bankroll you are comfortable committing for several months.
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