Premier League Relegation Odds 2026/27: City Amongst Favourites To Go Down

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Ten matches into the Premier League season, Coventry and Hull are joint relegation favourites after suffering defeats to Everton and Arsenal respectively. Crystal Palace have slipped to the bottom of the table following a fourth consecutive league loss, while Manchester City’s three straight defeats have added to the uncertainty surrounding their season.

Sunderland have boosted their survival hopes with a surprise 1-0 victory over Chelsea, while Ipswich remain under pressure after losing at home to Bournemouth. We compare the latest Premier League relegation odds and assess the teams most at risk as the battle to avoid the drop develops.

The promoted clubs are under pressure, but City’s off-field case has turned the relegation market on its head...

At Oddspedia, we compare the latest Premier League odds from leading bookmakers and publish regular Premier League accumulator tips throughout the season.

Premier League relegation odds favourites 2026/27

The table below compares the shortest-priced teams in the latest Premier League relegation odds.

Team Odds Decimal odds Implied probability
Coventry 8/11 1.73 57.89%
Hull 8/11 1.73 57.89%
Manchester City 10/11 1.91 52.38%
Crystal Palace 11/8 2.38 42.11%
Ipswich 7/4 2.75 36.36%
Sunderland 5/2 3.50 28.57%
Fulham 5/1 6.00 16.67%

Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 9 November 2026.

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Premier League relegation odds latest updates

9 November 2026: Sunderland boosted their survival hopes with a surprise 1-0 victory over Chelsea, while Hull’s defeat at Arsenal left them alongside Coventry as joint Premier League relegation favourites. Sunderland have drifted to 5/2 following their win, but Hull remain under pressure after another difficult result. Manchester City’s 3-1 loss at Nottingham Forest was their third consecutive league defeat, a remarkable turnaround after winning their opening seven matches.

2 November 2026: Hull are back at the top of the Premier League relegation market at 4/5 after drawing 2-2 with Ipswich, while Coventry have drifted to 5/6 despite beating Sunderland 3-1. That defeat has pushed Sunderland’s odds down to 6/4. Manchester City have eased to 10/11 despite losing 1-0 to Brighton, with the possibility of a points deduction continuing to influence the betting.

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Premier League relegation contenders analysed

Can the promoted teams survive?

Coventry lose at Everton despite taking the lead (5/6 🔻 8/11)

Coventry suffered another setback with a 3-1 defeat away to Everton, leaving Frank Lampard’s side on nine points from ten Premier League matches. Yann Gboho put the visitors ahead shortly after half-time, but Thierno Barry scored twice in quick succession before Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall sealed the victory for Everton. The result has seen Coventry shorten to 8/11, making them joint relegation favourites alongside Hull.

The defeat was particularly disappointing after Coventry had beaten Sunderland 3-1 the previous weekend, with goals from Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, Taiwo Awoniyi and Jack Rudoni. They also created opportunities at Everton and were frustrated by several refereeing decisions, but their inability to protect the lead proved costly. Three victories and seven defeats from ten matches underline the inconsistency that has characterised their return to the top flight.

Coventry sit just one point above the relegation zone, with their defensive record becoming an increasing concern. Lampard will hope the attacking improvement shown against Sunderland and Everton can provide a foundation for better results. However, turning promising performances into points remains essential if they are to establish themselves in the Premier League.

Hull’s winless run extends after Arsenal defeat (4/5 🔻 8/11)

Action Images via Reuters/Paul Childs

Hull’s Premier League winless run has extended to eight matches following a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Arsenal. Sergej Jakirovic’s side defended resolutely for much of the contest, frustrating the league leaders before Martin Odegaard scored the winner in the second half. Despite a competitive performance at the Emirates, Hull remain without a victory since their encouraging start to the season.

The result followed a frustrating 2-2 home draw with Ipswich, when Hull recovered from a poor first half to take the lead through Tim Iroegbunam and Oli McBurnie, only for Julio Enciso to equalise. The Tigers have shown they can compete against established Premier League opposition, including in their recent performance at Arsenal, but their inability to turn those displays into victories is becoming a serious concern.

Hull have collected 11 points from ten matches and remain unbeaten at home, although their position in the relegation betting reflects the length of their winless run. Making the MKM Stadium a reliable source of victories will be important, while improving their results away from home could make a significant difference to their survival prospects.

Ipswich punished for mistakes against Bournemouth (9/4 🔻 7/4)

Ipswich suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Bournemouth on Matchweek 10, ending a run of consecutive draws against Nottingham Forest and Hull. Goalkeeper Christian Walton’s mistake allowed Evanilson to open the scoring early, before a deflected Ryan Christie effort doubled Bournemouth’s advantage shortly after half-time. Jack Clarke converted a late penalty, but Gary O’Neil’s side were unable to find an equaliser.

The defeat was a setback after Ipswich had shown considerable resilience in their 2-2 draw at Hull, where Julio Enciso rescued a point with an excellent long-range finish. Earlier victories over Sunderland, Crystal Palace and Fulham also demonstrated their ability to compete against teams around them. However, defensive mistakes have continued to undermine their progress, particularly against stronger attacking opponents.

Ipswich have 11 points from ten matches, leaving them above several of their relegation rivals but still vulnerable to a difficult run of results. Their willingness to respond when trailing has been encouraging, although they cannot afford to keep giving opponents an early advantage. Greater defensive consistency will be important as the season progresses.

RELATED: See our latest football accumulator tips.

Which established clubs could be dragged into trouble?

City suffer third consecutive league defeat (🟰 10/11)

Manchester City have now lost three consecutive Premier League matches after suffering a 3-1 defeat away to Nottingham Forest. Liam Delap scored twice for the hosts, while Rayan Cherki’s second-half goal proved insufficient to spark a comeback for Enzo Maresca’s side. City remain on 21 points from ten matches, six behind Arsenal, following earlier defeats to Aston Villa and Brighton.

Despite their recent struggles, City’s position in the relegation betting remains primarily linked to their ongoing financial case rather than their league standing. An independent commission found the club guilty of serious financial rule breaches in September, but City deny wrongdoing and have appealed the verdict. The scale and timing of any potential points deduction remain unresolved, with the club’s relegation odds unchanged at 10/11. Our Manchester City relegation odds article examines the case and possible punishments in more detail.

Palace slump continues with Liverpool defeat (7/4 🔻 11/8)

Crystal Palace suffered their fourth consecutive Premier League defeat with a 3-1 home loss to Liverpool, leaving Pierre Sage’s side bottom of the table on seven points from ten matches. Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak scored for the visitors before Eddie Nketiah converted a stoppage-time penalty. Palace showed more attacking intent than in recent fixtures, but were unable to turn their opportunities into a positive result.

The defeat followed a 2-0 loss at Tottenham, where Jean-Philippe Mateta’s early dismissal left Palace facing an uphill battle. They have now conceded 12 goals across their last four league matches, scoring just once in that period. With Mateta suspended and important fixtures against Coventry and Hull approaching, improving their defensive organisation and finding a more reliable attacking threat have become urgent priorities.

Sunderland revive survival hopes with Chelsea win (6/4 ▲ 5/2)

Action Images via Reuters/Lee Smith

Sunderland secured a vital 1-0 victory over Chelsea to end their seven-match Premier League winless run and move off the bottom of the table. Brian Brobbey won a first-half penalty after a challenge from Levi Colwill, allowing Enzo Le Fee to score the only goal. Regis Le Bris’s side then produced a disciplined defensive performance to protect their advantage against one of the league’s leading clubs.

The victory was an important response to Sunderland’s 3-1 defeat at Coventry, where defensive mistakes had proved costly and Omar Alderete was sent off late in the game. Despite losing captain Granit Xhaka to an early injury against Chelsea, Sunderland showed greater organisation and determination throughout the contest. They now have eight points from ten matches, with their relegation odds drifting to 5/2 following the result.

Sunderland remain in the relegation zone, but beating Chelsea provides encouragement after a difficult run. Maintaining that defensive discipline will be essential, particularly with Europa League commitments adding to their schedule. If Le Bris can build on this performance, Sunderland have a better foundation for their survival campaign.

Fulham extend unbeaten run with Newcastle draw (🟰 5/1)

Fulham extended their unbeaten Premier League run to four matches with a 1-1 home draw against Newcastle. Jacob Murphy put the visitors ahead late in the second half, but Rodrigo Muniz responded just three minutes later to rescue a point for Alvaro Arbeloa’s side. The result followed victories over Hull and Coventry and another draw at Aston Villa, giving Fulham eight points from their last four league matches.

Fulham now have ten points from ten matches, with their recent improvement helping them move away from the bottom three. Oscar Bobb and Josh King are providing greater attacking impetus, while Muniz’s late contribution against Newcastle demonstrated the squad’s ability to respond to setbacks. Arbeloa remains a candidate in the Premier League next manager sacked odds, although the four-match unbeaten run should ease some of the pressure surrounding his position.

    Premier League relegation odds in full

    Team Odds Decimal odds Implied probability
    Coventry 8/11 1.73 57.89%
    Hull 8/11 1.73 57.89%
    Manchester City 10/11 1.91 52.38%
    Crystal Palace 11/8 2.38 42.11%
    Ipswich 7/4 2.75 36.36%
    Sunderland 5/2 3.50 28.57%
    Fulham 5/1 6.00 16.67%
    Nottingham Forest 8/1 9.00 11.11%
    Newcastle United 10/1 11.00 9.09%
    Manchester United 12/1 13.00 7.69%
    Everton 20/1 21.00 4.76%
    Bournemouth 25/1 26.00 3.85%
    Leeds United 25/1 26.00 3.85%
    Tottenham Hotspur 25/1 26.00 3.85%
    Aston Villa 66/1 67.00 1.49%
    Brentford 100/1 101.00 0.99%
    Chelsea 500/1 501.00 0.20%
    Brighton 1000/1 1001.00 0.10%
    Liverpool 1000/1 1001.00 0.10%
    Arsenal 1500/1 1501.00 0.07%

    Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 9 November 2026.

      How to assess Premier League relegation odds

      Premier League relegation odds can change quickly as results, injuries and squad developments alter the outlook for clubs near the bottom of the market. Below are a few key factors to consider before making your selections.

      1. Target newly promoted teams

      Newly promoted clubs often struggle because of the financial and competitive gap between the Premier League and the Championship. That does not mean they are certain to go down, but they are usually among the shorter prices and likely to be involved in the survival battle.

      2. Identify teams with key player or managerial departures

      Clubs with greater spending power regularly target the best players and managers from teams with smaller budgets. It is worth monitoring sides that lose several important figures during the transfer window.

      Although those clubs may receive significant fees, there is no guarantee that replacements will adapt quickly to the demands of the Premier League.

      3. Watch for financial and squad stability issues

      Premier League clubs must now comply with Squad Cost Ratio rules, which limit on-pitch spending relative to football revenue and profits or losses from player sales. It therefore pays to monitor teams facing financial pressure or restrictions on their squad costs.

      High squad turnover can also damage results, as new players may need time to settle and build an understanding with their teammates.

      4. Look beyond the obvious relegation favourites

      Established Premier League teams can appear safe before the season begins, but at least one often becomes involved in the relegation fight. Recent history includes several well-established clubs dropping into the Championship, so longer-priced teams should not be dismissed completely.

      5. Consider when to place your bet

      Relegation prices are often bigger before the season starts, when there is less evidence to work with. As results come in and struggling teams fall towards the bottom of the table, their prices can shorten quickly.

      You can use Oddspedia’s Bet Calculator to calculate the potential return from a relegation bet.

      It can also be useful to identify difficult fixture runs when making your football picks. Placing a bet before a team enters a challenging run may allow you to secure a bigger price.

        More football betting markets & insights

        For analysis beyond Premier League relegation odds, explore our wider football insights coverage. We regularly track the latest Premier League winner odds, including how the main contenders move throughout the season.

        You can also compare the leading forwards in our Premier League top scorer odds, with regular updates as form and prices change.

        Best Premier League betting sites and bonuses

        When betting on Premier League markets, compare more than the headline price. Odds can vary across relegation, outright winner, top scorer and individual match markets, while features such as cash out, bet builders and live betting may also influence which operator suits you.

        Our guide to the best football betting sites compares market coverage, pricing, usability and available features. You can also browse current promotions through our best betting bonus sites guide.

        For operator-specific offers, see the latest bet365 bonus code and William Hill promo code. Check the qualifying deposit, minimum odds, wagering requirements and expiry date before claiming a promotion.

          EPL relegation odds FAQs

          What are the key factors that influence EPL relegation odds?

          Premier League relegation odds can move after transfers, managerial changes, injuries, suspensions and results. Fixture difficulty also matters, particularly when a team faces several leading clubs in a short period, while financial problems or limited squad depth can increase concern. Bookmaker prices may also react to betting activity, so not every movement necessarily follows a major development.

          Is it better to bet on relegation before the season or wait until later?

          Betting before the season can secure a bigger price if you have identified a team you expect to struggle. Waiting provides more evidence from results, injuries, new signings and tactical changes, but the odds may shorten once those problems become clearer. There is no fixed best time, so judge the available price against what you know about the team.

          Which teams are most likely to be relegated from the Premier League?

          Coventry and Hull are joint favourites in the latest Premier League relegation odds, with both clubs struggling for consistent results after promotion. Manchester City are also among the shortest-priced teams, largely because of the possibility of a points deduction arising from their financial case rather than their league position. Crystal Palace and Ipswich remain under pressure, while Sunderland’s victory over Chelsea has improved their survival prospects.

          Where can I find the best Premier League relegation odds?

          Oddspedia compares the best odds from leading bookmakers, helping you check the available prices before placing a relegation bet. Prices can differ between operators and change throughout the season as results, injuries, transfers and managerial decisions shape the market. Comparing bookmakers can help you avoid taking a shorter price when better EPL relegation odds are available elsewhere.

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