John Deere Classic Odds 2024: Thompson Reclaims Favorite Position

Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
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Tiago Carvalho
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With a fresh month ahead, and major implications for the remainder of the season just in front of us, golf fans are welcomed with the John Deere Classic. Two-time John Deere Classic champion Jordan Spieth headlines the field, though he was on the cusp of missing the John Deere projected cut line. Davis Thompson was the favorite in the John Deere Classic odds after Round 1, but a strong Day 2 saw Aaron Rai take over the spot, but Thompson has slid right back into the position. He’s currently sitting at -21, with a two-stroke lead over Rai and Eric Cole.

After suffering an injury, Patrick Cantlay was forced to withdraw, which opens more doors for John Deere Classic sleeper picks to make a charge to the top of the leaderboards. A purse of $8,000,000 awaits the world’s best golfers, including $1,440,000 to the winner, as they play another year at the TPC Deere Run course that is a par-71 and measures at 7,257 yards.

Current Favorites to win the John Deere Classic

Player Odds
Davis Thompson +100
Aaron Rai +320
Eric Cole +450
C.T. Pan +2800
Hayden Springer +3000
Luke Clanton +3100
Michael Thorbjornsen +4500
J.J. Spaun +6000
Jordan Spieth +12000
Denny McCarthy +15000

Odds provided by FanDuel – accurate as of July 7

Sungjae Im (+35000 at FanDuel sportsbook)

Im is currently playing some of the finest golf of his career, sitting 29th in the official world golf rankings, Im enters this week already with five top-10 performances to his credit this year. With two career wins, Im is looking to get back into the winner’s circle for the first time since 2021. Outside of missing the cut at all three major championships this year, Im has been a constant on the first and second pages of leaderboards. Four top-10 finishes in his last six events has Im knocking on the door for another victory. When diving into the John Deere Classic odds, Im could certainly be one that hoists the trophy and end his three-year drought.

Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Jordan Spieth (+12000 at FanDuel sportsbook)

*Odds were +60000

Spieth returns to the course that has treated him so well over the years, as he looks to get back into the winner’s circle. Spieth won this tournament back in 2013 as a 19-year-old for his first career win on the PGA Tour, and then was victorious again in 2015 winning in a playoff over Tom Gillis. But now it’s been more than two years since Spieth won a tournament, and there may be no better opportunity than this week. Considering the lack of big-name talent, Spieth should be viewing this event as a real chance to win since his last victory at the RBC Heritage in 2022 when he beat Cantlay in a playoff.

Sepp Straka (+250000 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Defending champion Sepp Straka comes into this week as one of the favorites in the John Deere Classic odds, as he looks to repeat at TPC Deere Run. The Austrian won his second career title here last year with a -21 performance that saw him win by two strokes. Sitting at 24th in the official world golf rankings, Straka already has four top-10’s this season, as he waits for win number three on the PGA Tour. Back-to-back ties for fifth at the Charles Schwab Challenge and the Memorial have him set up nicely as he arrives in Illinois.

Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Aaron Rai (+320 at FanDuel sportsbook)

*Odds were +2000

After an impressive showing at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, where he was in contention throughout the entire tournament, Aaron Rai should be one to keep an eye on this week at the John Deere Classic. In search of his first career win on the PGA Tour, Rai does have two wins on the European Tour, however he has not been in the winner’s circle since 2020. Currently on a stretch where he has made seven consecutive cuts, Rai should be feeling good about his game. With three consecutive top-20 finishes, it now appears it’s only a matter of time for Rai, as he looks for his breakthrough win.

Maverick McNealy (+6000 at Caesars Sportsbook)

*Missed cut

In search of his first ever win on the PGA Tour, Maverick McNealy rounds out the list of the top-5 favorites in the John Deere Classic odds. Sitting 89th in the official world golf rankings, a win this week may come as a surprise to many. When looking deeper into the numbers, McNealy has missed just two cuts in 16 events this year, and always appears to go low at each event during one or two of his rounds. Looking now to put it together for four straight rounds, McNealy can build on the fact that he has top-10 finishes in the Players Championship, the Phoenix Open, and the Canadian Open this season. McNealy is someone to keep in the back of your mind when considering betting on the John Deere Classic odds.

John Deere Classic Longshot

Joel Dahmen (+50000 at Caesars Sportsbook)

It’s been a long time coming for Joel Dahmen, as it’s been three years since his first and only PGA Tour win in 2021. But a tie for 10th place at the RBC Canadian Open was followed by a tie for 25th at this past weeks Rocket Mortgage Classic. Dahmen, however, was in the fifth to last group heading into the final round on Sunday when he shot a forgettable 76. A tie for second at this venue in 2018 will hopefully bring back good memories for the American as he looks to improve on his official world golf ranking of 159th.

John Deere Classic recent winners

Year Winner
2023 Sepp Straka
2022 J.T. Poston
2021 Lucas Glover
2020 Cancelled
2019 Dylan Frittelli

John Deere Classic betting trends

Although very tough to predict, you can’t ignore the fact that three out of the last four events the winners score of the John Deere Classic has been -21. In 2023, 2022 and 2019, Straka, J.T. Poston and Dylan Frittelli all recorded the same winning score. The one outlier in between was when in 2021 Lucas Glover shot 19. If you could find odds of a winning score of -21 you could find some great value.

Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

John Deere Classic debutants

Ben Griffin (+27000 at FanDuel sportsbook)

*Odds were +50000

Making his debut at TPC Deere Run, Ben Griffin arrives in search of his first victory on the PGA Tour. It has certainly been an up and down season for the American, as he looks to improve on his official world golf ranking of 71st. A runner-up finish at the Canadian Open left many feeling Griffin was about to go on a run where finding a victory was withing his grasp. However, he has since followed that performance with a missed cut the week later and a 67th and a tie for 31st at this past week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. As he makes his debut at the John Deere Classic, you may want to tread lightly on Ben Griffin.

How to read John Deere Classic betting odds

Reading golf betting odds is just as easy as reading betting odds on any other sport. For example, if you wanted to bet on the winner to play in the final pairing on Sunday at the John Deere Classic and the odds were -230 for yes and +165 for no. You would have to risk $23 to win $10 if you thought the winner would be in the final group on Sunday. If you think the winner will be in another group on Sunday, then bet $10 to win $16.50.

How to bet on the John Deere Classic

There are several ways to bet on the John Deere Classic this week. One bet that stands out however, is that Straka, Rai and McNealy will all finish in the top 20. At +1025 that means you would have to bet $10 to win $102.50. This bet also includes ties, so if they tie for 20th then you are still a winner.

John Deere Classic Info

When Where Defending champion How to watch
July 4 – July 7 TPC Deere Run Sepp Straka Golf Channel/CBS

John Deere Classic odds FAQ’s

Who has won the most John Deere Classics?

There are two players that have won the John Deere Classic three times. Both D.A. Weibring and Steve Stricker have won the event many times. Weibring won in 1979, 1991 and 1995 while Stricker won an impressive three in a row from 2009-2011.

How long has John Deere been the tournament title sponsor?

John Deere has been the title sponsor of the tournament since 1999. Prior to that it was originally called the Quad Cities Open. The Miller Brewing Company and Hardee’s have also been title sponsors of the event.

When did Michelle Wie play in the John Deere Classic?

In both 2005 and 2006, Michelle Wie teed it up as a teenager in back-to-back John Deere Classics on a sponsor’s exemption. In 2005 she missed the cut by two strokes, while in 2006 she withdrew from the tournament halfway through the second round. Wie had shot six over par during the first round and was 10 strokes off the projected cut line when she withdrew citing heat exhaustion.

When did Deane Beman win the John Deere Classic?

Originally called the Quad Cities Open Invitational in 1971, future PGA Tour commissioner Deane Beman won the inaugural event. The following year as the Quad Cities Open, Beman won again, beating Tom Watson by one stroke. Beman is one of only six people to have won this tournament at least two times.

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