U.S. Open Projected Cut Line 2026: Big Names on the Bubble

The PGA Tour is in New York this week as Shinnecock Hills Golf Club plays host to the 126th edition of the U.S. Open. With the U.S. Open projected cut line of +3 or +4 in play after the first round, it will be a tense round of golf for several big names on the bubble.

The top 60 players, plus ties, will qualify to play the weekend rounds.

After an inauspicious start, early favorite Scottie Scheffler began the day with the fourth-shortest U.S. Open odds and Wydham Clark, with a 6-under 64, is the new favorite. But you will want to pay attention to the U.S. Open sleeper picks as a longshot could be primed for the upset this week.

Oakmont Country Club was an incredible challenge for the world’s best players in 2025. The U.S. Open cut line last year was +7, which sent these notable players packing:

Before clicking “accept” for any bet on the U.S. Open cut line, you will want to make sure you have all the latest tournament information.

Making sure you are informed of the golfer’s current form and style of course are just a couple of things to pay attention to when doing your pre-tournament research.

Knowing which golfers play better in the wind and rain as well as who are the strong drivers of the ball and iron players will also help you make better choices in selecting who you will take this week.

⛳ Odds to make the U.S. Open Cut

While the outright winner and placing markets are sure to draw plenty of attention for U.S. Open bettors, it’ll also be interesting to track which players are on pace to play through the weekend. Here’s a look at DraftKings’ U.S. Open cut odds for some of the top players on the fringe following the first round.

Many of the favorites in U.S. Open cut line odds are also near the top in outright U.S. Open odds. Justin Rose is an interesting name to watch in round two. He has been excellent in several majors recently, but missed the U.S. Open cut line last year and got off to a poor start in round one this year.

🏌️‍♂️ U.S. Open Cut Line Odds Sleeper Pick | Sudarshan Yellamaraju (-130)

For a US Open cut line sleeper, Sudarshan Yellamaraju stands out as a strong candidate to make the weekend at Shinnecock. The Canadian rookie arrives with momentum after a strong performance at the Canadian Open, where he finished T8 as the top Canadian in the field while posting all four rounds in the 60s.

That result reinforced what has already been an impressive first PGA Tour season, with Yellamaraju sitting inside the top 50 of the FedExCup standings. While he endured a midseason dip that included consecutive missed cuts, his recent form suggests he’s regained confidence at the right time. If he continues striking the ball as he did in Toronto, making the cut is well within reach.

Yellamaraju began the tournament with a 3-over 73, essentially keeping his U.S. Open cut line odds stagnant.

U.S. Open projected cut line latest updates

When betting on the U.S. Open you should make sure to pay close attention to your wager. The PGA Tour does offer updates but the information they provide may not always be exact. Data Golf is a great destination for reliable probabilities and percentages to predict the cut line.

Betting on the U.S. Open cut line

The cut line at the U.S. Open is the most important factor in determining who gets to play the final two rounds of the tournament.

If a player can’t reach this mark they are eliminated from the tournament and don’t get paid. If the player makes the cut line, they get to play the final two rounds and receive a pay cheque following the conclusion of the tournament.

The better the player finishes the more money they make following the final round. The cut line acts as an additional motivator for players to guarantee themselves into the money come Sunday.

U.S. Open cut rule

At the U.S. Open players are required to reach the cut line following the second round to qualify for play in the final two rounds.

In this week’s event it could conceivably knock out a massive portion of the field as 156 golfers are in action but only the top 60, plus ties, will make it through to the weekend. The rest of the field will then be eliminated from the event.

The cut line serves as a standard set by the PGA Tour to make sure that the best players that given week qualify for a pay day. In return, high-quality golf is usually what is the determining factor in who makes and who doesn’t make the cut after the second round comes to an end.

U.S. Open cut line history

Over the last five years the U.S. Open has had a cut line of ranging between +2 and +7 after the first two rounds.

While +2 seems to be a lock to make it to the weekend, conditions can always play a factor in that. But if history is any indication, anywhere +2 or better should see a player cash a pay cheque this week.

• 2025: +7
• 2024: +5
• 2023: +2
• 2022: +3
• 2021: +4

U.S. Open projected cut line FAQs

How is the cut line determined at the U.S. Open?

Making it to the third round and beyond at the U.S. Open depends on whether a player makes it into the top 60, plus ties, following the second round of play.

Failing to meet the cut leads to elimination from the tournament for the player and disqualifies them from competing on the weekend or receiving a cash prize. This rule means the best players this week will move on to play on the weekend and exclude those who don’t meet the necessary requirements.

What does it mean to make the cut in golf?

Securing a spot above the cut line is the first goal in golf tournaments for a player if they want to compete in the later rounds that then earn cash prizes. Meeting this goal is the only way to guarantee that a player gets paid for competing in the tournament.

Shooting above the cut line means a pay day following the event for each golfer that meets the specified number and allows them to continue participation in the event.

Do you get paid when you miss the cut at the U.S. Open?

Competitors who do not reach the cut line at the U.S. Open lose out on the opportunity to compete for prize money.

A player’s overall prize winnings are dependent on their performance across all four rounds. Missing the cut line leads to elimination from the tournament, denying players the chance to vie for a portion of the prize pool.