The American Express Projected Cut Line 2025: Unique Structure Great for Longshots

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This week’s PGA Tour event is a bit different than most, as The American Express projected cut line isn’t put into play until after Round 3, while it typically is determined after Round 2. With Xander Schauffele withdrawing from the tournament, there’s a ton of value to be found within The American Express sleeper picks. As things currently stand, J.T. Poston is the favorite in The American Express odds, but it’s the longshots we’re most excited about.

The 2024 The American Express cut line finished at -13, and as you would expect, some of the games top players went home disappointed. Here’s a few who failed to make the cut:

Player Total
Akshay Bhatia -12
Shane Lowry -12
Matt Wallace -12
Lee Hodges -11
Nick Taylor -11
Tom Kim -11
Matt Kuchar -11
Billy Horshchel -11
Cam Davis -10
Davis Riley -9
S.H. Kim -8
Thomas Detry -8
Maverick McNealy -6
Robert MacIntyre -5
Cameron Champ -5
Taylor Pendrith -4
Rickie Fowler -2
Kevin Kisner +1

When considering placing a bet on The American Express cut line, it would be beneficial to do some research to increase the chances of a successful wager. An important factor to think about is checking out the course layout and identifying potential challenges for a golfer based on their past performances on similar courses. It’s also valuable to dive into a player’s current form, so that you can gauge whether they’re hot or cold, to gain useful perspectives. Lastly, you’ll want to see what the weather conditions will be, as Mother Nature plays a significant impact on the result of each golf shot.

Keep checking back as we update the article with odds of who will make/miss the 2025 The American Express cut line.

© Steve Roberts / Imagn Images

The American Express projected cut line latest

When betting on The American Express cut line, you’ll want to monitor your bet closely, and we rely on a couple options to follow along. Although the PGA Tour offers updates, their information may not always be exact. Our preferred go to is Data Golf, which provides reliable probabilities and percentages to predict the cut line.

Betting on The American Express cut line

The cut line at The American Express is a pivotal factor that influences the tournament by determining which players advance to the final round following Round 3. Progressing in the competition greatly hinges on surpassing this critical boundary. Each golfer strives to avoid the cut line to sustain their pursuit of victory, intensifying the competitive spirit of the event.

This compels players to enhance their performance to secure a spot on Sunday, adding more suspense and excitement to the tournament. Despite its demanding nature, the cut line acts as an additional motivator for players to showcase their abilities to an enthralled audience.

Odds to make the cut

Player Odds
Sungjae Im -700
Justin Thomas -650
Sam Burns -500
Patrick Cantlay -450
Tony Finau -400
Tom Kim -360
Wyndham Clark -310
Si Woo Kim -310
Max Greyserman -310
Kurt Kitayama -310

Odds to miss the cut

Player Odds
Tom Hoge +150
Eric Cole +150
Will Zalatoris +165
Sepp Straka +165
Patrick Fishburn +165
Nico Echavarria +165
Nick Dunlap +165
J.T. Poston +165
J.J. Spaun +165
Brian Harman +165

Odds provided by DraftKings – accurate as of January 15

The American Express cut rule

At The American Express, players are required to reach the cut line following the third round to qualify for Sunday’s play. This determines the elimination of certain participants from the tournament. Achieving a rank within the top 65 players (including tied scores) positioned above the cut line secures progression to Sunday, while those falling below say goodbye to the event.

The cut line serves as a standard set by the PGA Tour to assess players’ competencies thoroughly. This guarantees that only the most accomplished golfers move forward to Sunday, elevating the competitive atmosphere and generating enthusiasm among both competitors and spectators.

© Kyle Terada / Imagn Images

Current favorites to win The American Express

Player Odds
J.T. Poston +700
Nick Taylor +1200
J.J. Spaun +1600
Jackson Suber +1600
Jason Day +1800
Justin Thomas +1800
Justin Lower +2000
Carson Young +2200
Chris Kirk +2500
Sepp Straka +2800

Odd provided by FanDuel – accurate as of January 17

The American Express cut line history

With the unique style of The American Express cut line, there’s been quite a bit of differences in the cut lines in years past. As mentioned, last year it settled at -13, while it was -10 the year prior. Back in 2022 it was set at -7, and then -4 in 2021, and then finally in 2020 it was set at -9:

Year Cut line
2024 -13
2023 -10
2022 -7
2021 -4
2020 -9

The American Express projected cut line FAQs

How is the cut line determined for The American Express?

Securing a spot in Round 4 of The American Express hinges on making it within the top 65 players or tied scores cut line. Not meeting the cut line leads to elimination from the competition, ruling out participation in Sunday’s play. This rule ensures progression for elite competitors and excludes those who do not meet the specified criteria.

What does it mean to make the cut in golf?

Securing a placement beyond the cut line is vital in golf tournaments to progress to Sunday’s rounds and vie for cash rewards. This is fundamental to sustaining competitiveness and striving for financial incentives during the later stages of the competition. Exceeding the cut line provides players with prospects for triumph and monetary benefits in the game.

Do you get paid if you miss the cut at The American Express?

Competitors who do not reach the cut line at The American Express lose out on the opportunity to compete for prize money. A player’s overall prize winnings are dependent on their performance across all four rounds. Missing the cut line leads to elimination from the tournament, denying players the chance to vie for a portion of the prize pool.

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