Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Betting Odds, Stats & Predictions

	1.Set	2.Set
ALC	7 ⁸	6
ARN	6 ⁶	1

predictions

Computer predictions Computer predictions

Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

Won

-1667

Consensus Consensus

Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

75%

3 of 4 Tips

MZ

+1

Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

Latest tip Latest tip

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +6 Games

Sunflower

-487.70

a month ago

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +6 Games

Odds Comparison

Home

-1667

Away

+1000

18.5 Games

Main line

Over

-120

Over

-120

Under

-110

Under

-110

2.5 Sets

+285

Over

+285

-425

Under

-425

16.5 Games

-330

Over

-330

+200

Under

+200

17.5 Games

-215

Over

-215

+140

Under

+140

-6.5/+6.5 Games

Main line

Home

+120

Home

+120

Away

-161

Away

-161

-1.5/+1.5 Sets

-380

Home

-380

+260

Away

+260

+1.5/-1.5 Sets

-10000

Home

-10000

+2200

Away

+2200

-5.5/+5.5 Games

-163

Home

-163

+120

Away

+120

0 : 2

+2200

1 : 2

+1600

2 : 0

-380

Live Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

ALC

Matteo Arnaldi

ARN

76 Points won 63

76

Points won

63

54 First serve successful 40

54

First serve successful

40

19 Seconds serve successful 24

19

Seconds serve successful

24

1

Aces

1

Aces

1

Double faults

1

Double faults

3

1

Breakpoints won

3

1

Breakpoints won

1

Aces

1

Aces

1

Double faults

1

Double faults

3

1

Breakpoints won

3

1

Breakpoints won

12 Max points in a row 5

12

Max points in a row

5

13 Games won 7

13

Games won

7

7 Max games in a row 3

7

Max games in a row

3

7 Total breakpoints 3

7

Total breakpoints

3

44 First serve points won 25

44

First serve points won

25

5 Second serve points won 13

5

Second serve points won

13

49 Service points won 38

49

Service points won

38

25 Service points lost 27

25

Service points lost

27

9 Service games won 6

9

Service games won

6

Betting stats

Carlos Alcaraz

ALC

Played 52

Matteo Arnaldi

ARN

Played 44

65% 65% Over 20.5 games 70% 70%

65% 65% Over 21.5 games 70% 70%

59% 59% Over 22.5 games 68% 68%

41% 41% Over 2.5 sets 68% 68%

Seasonal Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

ALC

Matteo Arnaldi

ARN

3 3

Rank

38 38

23 23

Age

25 25

ESP ESP

Nationality

ITA ITA

Right hand Right hand

Plays

Right hand Right hand

97/34 97/34

Career W/L

71/42 71/42

Last Matches

W D W W W ?

W L L L L

Recent form:

W D W W W ?

Recent form:

W L L L L

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years

ALC

3

Wins

0

Wins

3 played

ARN

08 Mar 2024

FT

Matteo Arnaldi

Carlos Alcaraz

1

2

04 Sep 2023

FT

Carlos Alcaraz

Matteo Arnaldi

3

0

Consensus

1

03 Oct, 12:30 AM

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

75%

3 of 4 Tips

Best odds

-1667

Community Tips

11

Sort by

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +6 Games

Void

-105

2

Accumulator bet

Lost

-143

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

Won

-2000

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +6 Games

Void

-111

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +6 Games

Void

-114

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Total Sets/Games: Under 18 Games

Lost

+130

10

Accumulator bet

Lost

+7335

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +6 Games

Void

-125

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Winner: Matteo Arnaldi

Lost

+900

Carlos Alcaraz - Matteo Arnaldi

Match Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi +5.5 Games

Lost

+121

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About the Match

The Tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi has ended 2 0. The game was played on 03/10/2026 at 04:30, and the implied winner probabilities were: 94.34% (Carlos Alcaraz), 9.09% (Matteo Arnaldi).

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Pre Match Odds Were

Match Details

Carlos Alcaraz 2 v 0 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Tokyo Japan
Date - 03/10/2026
Starting time - 04:30 UTC
Venue: -, -, -