
Vallecano - Bilbao Predictions


Rayo Vallecano
Suspended
10th Oct 26, 8:00 AM


Athletic Bilbao
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Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw

Confidence Rating
Void
-180
Given the current statistics and match facts, the prediction for "Double Chance: 1X" is quite encouraging. Rayo Vallecano's impressive home record, maintaining an unbeaten streak over their last nine matches, shows their resilience on familiar turf. Despite Athletic Bilbao's solid form, Rayo's head-to-head history against them is also worth noting, with a draw in their last meeting and just a single home defeat to Bilbao since 2014. Rayo's ability to score consistently, particularly in the second half, suggests they can capitalize on any lapses in Bilbao's defense. Combining these factors, the “Double Chance: 1X” looks like a wise bet for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
64.42%
Betting Odds Probability @-154
60.61% 6.29% Bet value
Given the current statistics and match facts, the prediction for "Double Chance: 1X" is quite encouraging. Rayo Vallecano's impressive home record, maintaining an unbeaten streak over their last nine matches, shows their resilience on familiar turf. Despite Athletic Bilbao's solid form, Rayo's head-to-head history against them is also worth noting, with a draw in their last meeting and just a single home defeat to Bilbao since 2014. Rayo's ability to score consistently, particularly in the second half, suggests they can capitalize on any lapses in Bilbao's defense. Combining these factors, the “Double Chance: 1X” looks like a wise bet for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
64.42%
Betting Odds Probability @-154
60.61%
6.29%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Under 2.5

Confidence Rating
Void
-130
Given the recent form and historical matchups, predicting a total of under 2.5 goals in the Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao clash seems solid. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring encounters, especially considering their last four meetings ended in either draws or narrow victories. Rayo has scored just 0.6 goals on average against Bilbao, while the latter's scoring has also been modest in this fixture. Moreover, with Rayo’s knack for scoring late and Athletic Bilbao's tighter defense recently, it stands to reason that we could see a lower-scoring affair. Overall, this match appears primed for under 2.5 goals.
Oddspedia Model Probability
50.6%
Betting Odds Probability @-102
50.51% 0.18% Bet value
Given the recent form and historical matchups, predicting a total of under 2.5 goals in the Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao clash seems solid. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring encounters, especially considering their last four meetings ended in either draws or narrow victories. Rayo has scored just 0.6 goals on average against Bilbao, while the latter's scoring has also been modest in this fixture. Moreover, with Rayo’s knack for scoring late and Athletic Bilbao's tighter defense recently, it stands to reason that we could see a lower-scoring affair. Overall, this match appears primed for under 2.5 goals.
Oddspedia Model Probability
50.6%
Betting Odds Probability @-102
50.51%
0.18%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 3.5

Confidence Rating
Void
-350
Considering the statistics and recent performances of both teams, the prediction for “Total Goals: Under 3.5” holds solid ground. Historically, meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao have tended to yield fewer goals, with an average of just 2.2 goals per game. Rayo Vallecano’s strong defensive record at home and their recent trend of scoring and conceding limited goals further support this. Both teams are coming off matches where they struggled to score, thus enhancing the likelihood of a tightly contested encounter. With Rayo's knack for netting goals mainly in the second half, the under market appears to be a wise choice for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.3%
Betting Odds Probability @-270
72.99% 0.42% Bet value
Considering the statistics and recent performances of both teams, the prediction for “Total Goals: Under 3.5” holds solid ground. Historically, meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao have tended to yield fewer goals, with an average of just 2.2 goals per game. Rayo Vallecano’s strong defensive record at home and their recent trend of scoring and conceding limited goals further support this. Both teams are coming off matches where they struggled to score, thus enhancing the likelihood of a tightly contested encounter. With Rayo's knack for netting goals mainly in the second half, the under market appears to be a wise choice for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.3%
Betting Odds Probability @-270
72.99%
0.42%
Bet value
Community Picks
350
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-1,176.60
1106 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Void
+110
+871.20
1538 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Spread: Athletic Bilbao -2
Void
+834
-121.55
73 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Correct Score: 1 : 1
Void
+500
-235.20
159 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
Void
+360
-235.20
159 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
1st Half Total Goals: Over 2.5
Void
+772
-1,112.24
1999 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw
Void
-200
-333.58
664 Picks
a month ago
2
Parlay bet
Won
+147
-479.86
1169 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
1st Half Total Goals: Under 1.25
Void
-200
+693.75
971 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Total Goals: Under 1
Void
+610
+2,604.30
1727 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Total Goals: Under 1
Void
+610
Betting stats
RVC
Played 13
BIL
Played 13
23%
ATS %
38%
54%
Totals Covered %
46%
92%
Games over 0.5 goals
77%
85%
Games over 1.5 goals
77%
62%
Games over 2.5 goals
46%
31%
Games over 3.5 goals
31%
31%
Games over 4.5 goals
8%
46%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
38%
23%
Scored in both halves
15%
23%
Conceded in both halves
23%
Last Matches
D
L
W
W
L
?
L
W
W
W
D
?
Head to Head

1
Win
4
Draws
8
Wins
13 played

28 Feb 2026
Final
1
1
25 Aug 2025
Final
1
0
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
|
Athletic Bilbao
|
11
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
15:11
|
D
L
W
W
D
?
|
16
| |
14
|
Rayo Vallecano
|
11
|
3
|
3
|
5
|
15:21
|
D
D
L
W
L
?
|
12
| |
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Match Details
Referee
Sanchez Martinez, Jose Maria
Stadium
Vallecas Stadium
Location
Madrid, Spain
Weather Forecast
.
