NFL Odds - Week 14 betting lines & spreads
If you want to bet on the NFL, the best place to start is by learning to understand NFL odds, betting lines, and spreads. This is where my experience and the information provided by Oddspedia can help. I’ve worked with the team at Oddspedia to put together a comprehensive guide to answer all the questions you could have surrounding NFL odds.
Odds can seem difficult to understand and finding the latest lines is often a time-consuming exercise, but not when you use Oddspedia. You can check out the latest NFL betting lines and spreads toward the top of this page. If you want to learn more about how NFL odds work or the different markets you can wager on, continue reading.
How to bet on the NFL
There are several different ways to bet on the NFL. However, the most popular bet types are moneyline, spread, point total, and prop bets.
The moneyline is simple, it’s just a bet on who you think will win the game; the point spread is betting on how much a team will win by or how little they will lose by; points total is the combined number of points scored in a game; prop (proposition) bets tend to focus on in-game events for specific players or teams.
Once you know all the bet types, your next move is finding out how to actually place a wager. Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to do so:
- Find the bet you want to make
- Select (click) the bet type to add to your bet slip
- Enter the amount you want to risk (your stake)
- Confirm the bet
As I said before, the NFL moneyline can be simplified down to a bet on which team will win a given game. The market will show the odds for both teams to win the game, seen below in the middle square. The team with the minus symbol (-) in front of the odds are considered the favorites and most likely to win the game. The bigger the number after the minus symbol, the more heavily favored they are. The opposite is true for the team with the plus symbol (+). This team is considered the underdog, and the bigger the number after the plus symbol, the less likely they are to win.
An example of an NFL moneyline wager would be for a game between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots. The Eagles are listed as -215 favorites to win the game, with the Patriots a +180 underdog. If you place your wager on the Eagles to win, as long as they get the W, your wager will be a winner. If the Patriots manage to cause a bit of an upset and win the game, your bet would be a loser.
NFL point spread
The point spread is the most popular bet type among NFL bettors. This market works by “leveling the playing field” between the two teams in a game. The sportsbook gives one team (the underdog) points, shown by a plus symbol (+). The other team (the favorite) is handicapped the same number of points, shown by a minus symbol (-). The bigger the number, the bigger the perceived difference in ability between the two teams.
Again, it’s best to use an actual example to help understand how this market works. A typical NFL point spread market would look something like the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills.
The Bills are deemed to be the favorites by the sportsbook, and this means the Jaguars must win or lose by less than four points (+3.5). In order for a wager on the Bills to settle as a win, they not only have to win the game but also cover the spread number. So in this case, the Bills have to win by four points or more. If they win by three points or less, or lose the game completely, the spread bet on the Bills would lose.
Below is an example of some of the most common scores you might see in a game and how your NFL point spread wager would be settled.
|Jacksonville Jaguars||Buffalo Bills||Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 wager||Buffalo Bills -3.5 wager|
An NFL totals wager (sometimes called the “points total” or “over/under”) is different to moneyline and point spread bets as the result of the game doesn’t impact how your bet will be settled. It doesn’t matter who wins, all you care about is the total number of points scored. This is because with this type of wager, you are betting on the combined points total (hence the name) to be over or under a certain amount. For example: a game between the Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs has a point total of 54.5. The scores combined between these two teams at the end of the game needs to be over that total if you were to bet the over; same goes for the under.
A prop bet is essentially a wager placed within a game that is not directly connected to the result of the event. These prop bets can include things related to the entirety of the game, half the game, or each quarter, and are essentially tied to the performance of an individual. Many of the most popular NFL prop bets are focused on key players in the game. These include bets like: “how many yards will Pat Mahomes throw for?” Or “How many rushing yards will Nick Chubb rush for?” Or “Will the Chiefs score on their opening drive?”
NFL teasers are actually based on the point spread, but they give you a bit more control as a bettor. You can increase the likelihood of your selections winning, but you pay the price of reducing your potential payout. I really like playing teasers as I feel like it puts the power in my hands, instead of being led by the lines posted by the sportsbook.
The most common NFL teaser is a six-point teaser across two games. In this bet, you can take the original point spreads for two different NFL games, and adjust them by a total of six points (this could be three points on each, two on one and four on another, however you want to play it). These two bets with the adjusted point spreads are then combined into a parlay bet. Both of your selections, with the adjusted spread, need to win in order for your NFL teaser to be settled as a win. If either of them lose, your bet will be settled as a loss.
When you bet on an NFL future, you are placing a wager on something that is settled over a longer period of time compared to a single game. These can be wagers placed at the start of the season for a specific team to win the Super Bowl, or for a player to win the regular-season MVP award.
In the past, these types of markets would only be available at certain times in the season. However, sportsbooks have invested heavily in trading teams and data feeds in recent years and you can now bet on these markets at almost any time of the season.
I’ve broken down some of the different types of NFL futures you might look at placing before or during an NFL season.
NFC Championship odds
Maybe you aren’t confident in a team from the NFC winning the Super Bowl, but you have a good idea of who will win the conference. If so, you can look at the NFC Championship odds and wager on a team you think will win.
|Team||NFC Championship odds|
|San Francisco 49ers||+500|
You can also bet on the winner of each individual division within the NFC. If you're looking for help in finding value in this markets. Oddspedia has you covered!
AFC Championship odds
If you want to bet on a team to go all the way in the AFC, you can look at the AFC Championship odds and take your pick.
|Team||AFC Championship odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+450|
|New York Jets||+1100|
Oddspedia Insights also has articles that provide a deep dive into the winner of each division within the AFC.
NFL Super Bowl odds
I always find betting on who will win the Super Bowl good fun - and it can provide some incredible value for you. In other words, it can be tough to predict but the payoff is worth it if you get it right. Whether it’s at the start of the season, after a couple of weeks, entering the playoffs, or even when it’s down to just two teams, NFL Super Bowl odds can be bet on at any time and are an incredibly popular market. Let’s take a look at some of the value provided for the upcoming NFL season:
|Team||Super Bowl odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+700|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1000|
|New York Jets||+1600|
Oddspedia Insights has a dedicated article that provides detailed analysis of the latest Super Bowl odds.
NFL MVP odds
The NFL MVP odds are always a subject of great debate. The favorite can often divide opinion and don’t forget a few darkhorse candidates who could provide incredible value prior to the season. The below list is the current NFL MVP odds. Do you think the market has got it right
Visit Oddspedia Insights to get in-depth analysis of the latest NFL MVP odds.
Offensive Rookie of the Year odds
The Offensive Rookie of the Year odds allows you to wager on the award for standout offensive player in their debut season. Take a look at the latest Offensive Rookie of the Year odds below.
|Player||Offensive Rookie of the Year odds|
Defensive Rookie of the Year odds
There’s the same type of market available for defensive players entering the league. The list below is the current favorites to win the Defensive Rookie of the Year.
|Player||Defensive Rookie of the Year odds|
NFL Coach of the Year odds
The best coaching performance across the entire season also gets recognized with an individual award and, just like those listed above, the NFL Coach of the Year odds mean you can bet on it. Here are the best odds for Coach of the Year:
|Coach||NFL Coach of the Year odds|
Want the latest news, insights and analysis NFL Coach of the Year odds? Check out Oddspedia Insights!
NFL Draft odds
The NFL Draft has become a huge betting event. The NFL Draft markets are endless; you can bet on which player will go first overall, which position will go next, to what teams will make a trade during the draft. At this point of the season, the NFL Draft odds are fairly limited. As you can see from the latest first overall pick odds, everyone is expecting Caleb Williams to go No. 1 in the 2024 draft.
|Player||NFL Draft odds (first overall pick)|
|Marvin Harrison Jr||+1900|
NFL parlays have become increasingly popular in recent years. These types of wagers involve combining multiple bets into one. In order for a parlay to win, all selections must settle as a win. If one selection (sometimes called a “leg”) in the parlay is a loser, it means the entire wager will settle as a loser.
The reason these types of wagers are getting more and more popular is because they are seen as low-risk, high-reward. The number of different selections within one wager will boost the odds meaning that bets as low as $5 or $10 can return $100,000+. One critical piece of information that people often forget with parlays though is that the more selections you add, the more unlikely it is that your wager will win. While you’re boosting your potential returns, you’re also drastically decreasing the probability that all selections within the one wager will win.
Live NFL betting
Live NFL betting (also called in-play betting) is another type of market. When you place this type of wager, you are betting while the game is “live” and yet to finish. You can bet on most of the markets mentioned above, like who will win the game (moneyline), the margin of victory (points spread), and the combined number of points scored (total). There is a range of player props and game props available for live NFL betting as well, but this will be dependent on the betting site you use.
Many bettors believe live betting adds even more excitement to watching a game, and it’s easy to say that I agree with that sentiment. Remember that live odds will fluctuate depending on what has happened in the game already.
I think I placed my first live wager less than five years ago. However, the delays and availability of odds during a game were so unpredictable that it made it difficult to find value and ultimately place your bet. Nowadays though, sportsbooks have up-to-the-second odds and will let you bet on various game markets, player props, and even the result of the next play just before the snap.
Super Bowl odds
The odds for teams to win the Super Bowl are a hot topic from way before the start of the season, right up until the big game. You can get odds on any team to win the Super Bowl at any point in the season (providing they can still technically make it to the end of season finale). Odds will change throughout the season depending on how teams are performing, whether they key players can stay healthy or not, and how the schedule is shaping up.
You can find the latest Super Bowl odds for each team in the NFL at the top of this page, but the current odds for the top 10 teams are also listed below.
|Team||Super Bowl odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+700|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1000|
|New York Jets||+1600|
NFL picks & predictions
Many people, including myself, like to give back to the betting community by sharing their thoughts and opinions in the form of NFL picks and predictions. Once you’ve done the hard work of finding an NFL wager you think will win, it can be beneficial to others if you share your picks and the reasoning why you have come to this decision. This not only helps others who are finding their way with NFL betting, but it also provides a bit of competition with other NFL bettors to see who can make the most accurate NFL predictions over a season.
Oddspedia’s picks section and capper contests are a great way to accurately measure the performance of your picks and predictions over a season. You also get the added benefit of seeing what other experts are wagering on, and if they have good consistent results, it could pay to follow some of their action.
It’s important here to acknowledge that variance and luck is a real thing in NFL betting, as with every other sport. Whether it’s your wagers or your picks and predictions, sometimes luck isn’t on your side and a bit of randomness can skew the result. Obviously, this can benefit you sometimes but it can also go against you. This is why it’s best to look at handicappers’ results over a long period of time - the longer the better as it reduces that variance. You might feel like a genius after hitting a 70% win rate after Week 1 or 2 of the NFL season, but it’s always best to judge yourself and others over a longer period of time when it comes to NFL picks and predictions.
Understanding NFL odds and betting lines
How to read NFL Odds
When I first started betting on the NFL I would just stare at a screen or sheet of numbers and have no idea what I was looking at. I’ve come a long way since then but I can still relate to those early days of trying to understand how to read NFL odds. I’ll explain my process in the hope it will help you.
Although it’s not the most popular bet type, I always start with the moneyline to get an initial read on the market. You’ll see one team listed with a minus symbol and one team with a plus symbol (assuming you are using American odds). The team with the minus symbol is the favorite - the team most likely to win the game. The bigger the number is after the minus symbol, the more favored they are. The inverse is true for the plus symbol. This team is the underdog and least likely to win the game. The bigger the number after the plus symbol, the bigger the underdog and the less likely they are to win.
Next, I move on to the spread. This is where we get a bit more detail. Now instead of just odds telling us how far apart the two teams are, we can see it in the context of points scored in the game. Again, the team with the minus symbol is the favorite. Now we can see exactly how many points they are expected to win by. Is it meant to be a tight game separated by a field goal? Is one team a touchdown better than their opponent, are they into the double digits and expected to blow their opponent out? Looking at the numbers listed on the spread can give us this exact information.
Finally, I check out the total. This gives us an idea of what sort of matchup we see in the two teams and the conditions they’re playing in. The bigger the number, the more points we can expect in the game. Do we have something up in the 50s? Two offensive teams that lack a bit on defense, playing in good conditions? Is it down in the low 40s? Maybe its a matchup of defensively-focused teams playing in the snow or heavy rain?
All of a sudden, that wall of numbers becomes your guide to how the NFL slate is shaping up. Not only can you assess which teams might be worth a wager, but you can get an idea for which games you might want to watch. A low spread with a high total could be a really entertaining game, a big spread with a low total might be a bit one-sided and boring. Soon enough you’ll be able to scan the odds at the top of this page and in a matter of minutes have a clear understanding of how to read NFL odds and what they’re telling you.
How to calculate winnings
Sportsbooks will help calculate your potential winnings for you in its respective bet slip. They will always display the odds of what you’re looking to wager on, an option to enter your stake (the amount you want to risk) and the return for that specific bet. One thing important to note is that the amount marked as your “return” is usually a combination of the amount you’ve bet and the profit you’ve won.
The stake and the odds you bet with are the two determining factors when it comes to calculating your winnings. The more you bet, the more your bet will return if it wins. Equally, you could bet the same amount but if your bet has bigger odds, it will return more. For example, you could bet $100 on the Buffalo Bills to beat the Kansas City Chiefs at odds of +110. If the Bills won you would win $210 (your $100 stake + $110 profit). However, if you placed $200 on the same wager, you would win $420 ($200 stake + $220 profit).
If you are using American odds to bet with, you can follow two simple rules to help calculate your winnings without using the actual bet slip. If the odds shown have a “+” sign at the start, this is the amount of profit you will make for every $100 you stake. That’s why our example above with odds of +110 had $110 profit with the $100 stake. The odds can also start with a “-” sign. In this instance, the number shown is the amount you have to stake in order to get $100 profit.
What to know when betting on the NFL in the USA
There are numerous factors to consider when looking to bet on the NFL in the USA. First and foremost, you need to know where to bet. The first step is knowing your options and whether or not you are legally allowed to bet in the state you’re located. This is where Oddspedia’s article on the best sportsbooks comes in handy. If you want to make things specific to the NFL, you can even look at the best NFL betting sites rankings. These articles will give you the information you need to get the best odds and experience. You can also check out the best sportsbook promos and offers if you’re looking to get some extra funds before you place your bets.
Once you’ve chosen your sportsbook and have received your welcome offer, you can then begin to tackle the task of choosing what to bet on. Some bettors like to do all the research themselves - analyzing trends, making considerations for the weather or travel, and taking a deep dive into the matchups of two teams and players involved. While Oddspedia can help with all of this, you’ll also find some great NFL picks from expert handicappers to help you make more informed predictions.
Why compare NFL odds on Oddspedia?
I find Oddspedia to be such a valuable tool for odds comparison across a wide range of sports, and the NFL is included in that. Trying to manually compare odds and spend time going to different sportsbooks while making notes of the lines and prices is a time-consuming endeavor. Especially if you’re only a recreational bettor. However, because you can get all that information in one place on Oddspedia, it really is a no-brainer to compare the odds before placing your bet with us.
Odds comparison helps you win more on NFL
I am always trying to get as much value out of each of my NFL wagers. If you want to do the same, then comparing odds is the single most important thing to do. The odds you bet with directly impact the amount of profit you stand to make if your wager wins. So, if you find a sportsbook offering higher (better) odds on something you want to bet on, it’s certainly in your best interest to take those odds. These small margins of value in your odds can add up over the course of an NFL season.
To help understand just how valuable this is, we can use an actual example. You could bet $50 on a team’s spread at -105 which would return $97.62 (a profit of $47.62). Now, if you made the same bet with a sportsbook offering odds of -120 instead, your wager would return $91.67 ($41.67). Granted, $5.95 won’t break the bank. But if you made three winning single bets every week throughout the NFL season, simply making the effort to find the better odds would equate to an extra $321.30.
When I first started betting, finding the best odds for individual games across the wide selection of available sportsbooks felt like a daunting task. However, this is where Oddspedia comes into its own and can really help you out. Oddspedia pulls all of the available odds across hundreds of sportsbooks for every NFL game and highlights where you can find the best odds, for each market, in each game.
Find the best NFL odds for today
I go through the same process with every bet when I’m looking for the best NFL odds. I visit the Oddspedia NFL page, scroll through the games I’m looking to bet on, and straight away I can see the sportsbook that is offering the best odds.
This is so much easier than scouring through all the different betting sites to compare the odds. Because Oddspedia works with hundreds of sportsbooks, they simply compile the data and show which ones is offering the best NFL odds for today in the table at the top of this page.
Track NFL line movement
If you are looking for value in NFL betting markets, keeping track of line movement should be a central part of your process. The closer it gets to game day, the more information will be available to sportsbooks and bettors. Things like injury news and weather updates are perhaps the most important and are proven to have a major impact on the lines available for any given game.
You don’t want to be on the wrong side of line movement for two key reasons: firstly, the line moving against you (the odds you bet with getting bigger or the total and spread changing) means that this new information suggests the bet you made is no longer as likely to happen - of course, it doesn’t guarantee that it’s a losing bet, just that the odds are no longer in your favor! Additionally, it means if you waited to place the same bet, you would have got better odds and made more of a profit if the bet does win.
People that take their betting seriously see line movement as a great way to capture extra value and make more money in the long term. They will try and act before the sportsbook or the rest of the betting market has the crucial information and therefore put themselves in a better position with their bet. For example, if they know that more snow - something that traditionally leads to less points being scored - is forecast before a game, they could take the under before it moves. They could take under 49.5 on the total, and it could move to 46.5. All of a sudden they have three points (an extra field goal) to play with on their bet.
Find the best NFL betting sites
As I briefly covered above, one of the great things about Oddspedia is that they have a huge team of betting experts who cover all the major sports - not only in the US but around the world. People like myself and many others work closely with Oddspedia to review data and apply a detailed rating system to the different sportsbooks. The goal is to make the decision for other bettors as easy as possible. Whether you’re completely new to NFL betting or looking to add another betting site to your options, it can be quite daunting to try and take everything in and make your decision.
Whether it’s the value on offer, the quality of welcome bonuses and regular promotions, the usability and experience of betting apps, the quality of customer service, or the trust and security provided by a betting site, Oddspedia should be your go-to source for all things betting. I always say it’s best to do some of the work yourself, but the fact that everything you need is available at Oddspedia should you need it will only improve your returns.
You can read detailed articles on individual sportsbooks like Oddspedia’s Caesars sportsbook review or FanDuel sportsbook review, or you can get more information on the BetMGM bonus code or BetRivers bonus code. If you want to find the best NFL betting site, Oddspedia has the answers.