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Home/Away

Novak Djokovic - Tim Van Rijthoven

Probability 8.8%

Away
93.5% Overvalue Bet now
8th Jul 22, 12:00

Moneyline

Spain Women - Finland Women

Probability 2.33%

Away
88.83% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Cameroon Women - Zambia Women

Probability 6.48%

Away
87.87% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Sweden - Slovenia

Probability 6.7%

Home
87.52% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 17:00

Moneyline

Sao Raimundo - Nautico RR

Probability 1.22%

Away
84.15% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 19:00
Away
79.71% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 07:30
Away
77.65% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 07:30
Draw
76.74% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Austria - Cyprus

Probability 7.33%

Away
75.92% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Japan - France

Probability 2.46%

Draw
64.9% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 17:25

Spread +1.5/-1.5

Thibault Tricole - Conor Heneghan

Probability 65.84%

Home
64.6% Overvalue Bet now
4th Jul 22, 05:30

Moneyline

Shanghai Dongya - Hebei CFFC

Probability 3.4%

Away
63.13% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Venezuela - Paraguay

Probability 6.16%

Away
61.97% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 09:00

Moneyline

Schwarz-Weiss Essen - Rot Weiss Essen

Probability 9.49%

Home
61.27% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 17:00

Moneyline

Sao Raimundo - Nautico RR

Probability 3.9%

Draw
59.74% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 13:00

Moneyline

Rapide Oued Zem - Difaa El Jadidi

Probability 15.04%

Away
57.91% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Philippines - India

Probability 8.3%

Away
57.69% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Bodo/Glimt - KI Klaksvik

Probability 3.41%

Away
56.68% Overvalue Bet now
6th Jul 22, 15:00

Moneyline

England Women - Austria Women

Probability 7.41%

Away
55.69% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 10:30

Moneyline

Drogheda United U19 - Finn Harps U19

Probability 29.59%

Away
55.33% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 16:00
Home
54.71% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 02:00
Away
53.1% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Club Bolivar - Club Blooming

Probability 19.57%

Draw
52.64% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Remo Stars - Enyimba

Probability 12.69%

Away
52.31% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

New Zealand - Ireland

Probability 2.98%

Draw
52.11% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 20:00

Home/Away

La Salle Tarija - Pichincha Potosi

Probability 68.15%

Home
51.96% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Colombia - Brazil

Probability 7.98%

Home
51.61% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 21:00

Moneyline

Gabriel Green - Ian Garry

Probability 2.52%

Draw
51.42% Overvalue Bet now
8th Jul 22, 12:00

Moneyline

Spain Women - Finland Women

Probability 6.86%

Draw
50.82% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 10:00
Draw
50.23% Overvalue Bet now
4th Jul 22, 12:00

Moneyline

Brann - Bryne

Probability 8.11%

Away
50.04% Overvalue Bet now
Draw
49.88% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 23:00
Home
48.74% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Ben Tre - Trang An Ninh Binh

Probability 9.86%

Home
47.88% Overvalue Bet now
6th Jul 22, 13:00

Moneyline

Molde - FK Jerv

Probability 7.35%

Away
46.96% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 19:30

Moneyline

Westchester Flames - Manhattan SC

Probability 9.78%

Home
46.75% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Sweden - Slovenia

Probability 5.64%

Home
46.69% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Angola Women U20 - Denmark Women U20

Probability 6.92%

Draw
45.36% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 20:00

Moneyline

Brad Tavares - Dricus Du Plessis

Probability 2.67%

Draw
44.21% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 18:00

Moneyline

Magia FC - Miami Beach

Probability 7.58%

Home
44.07% Overvalue Bet now
Away
43.75% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Cameroon Women - Zambia Women

Probability 14.6%

Draw
43.11% Overvalue Bet now
16th Jul 22, 10:00

Moneyline

Farul Constanta - U Craiova 1948

Probability 24.13%

Away
42.39% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Dunajska Streda - Cliftonville

Probability 9.49%

Away
42.36% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 16:15

Moneyline

Cienciano - Deportivo San Martin

Probability 7.48%

Away
42.08% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 09:00

Moneyline

Gelephu - RTC

Probability 9.46%

Home
41.87% Overvalue Bet now
Draw
41.4% Overvalue Bet now

Moneyline

Sweden - Slovenia

Probability 2.51%

Draw
40.79% Overvalue Bet now
3rd Jul 22, 05:00

Moneyline

Kauno Zalgiris II - FK Sveikata

Probability 11.73%

Draw
40.75% Overvalue Bet now
2nd Jul 22, 18:30
Home
40.39% Overvalue Bet now

Value bets tool help you explore mathematically calculated selections where the probability of the outcome is greater than the odds reflect. We increase your chances to win and to be profitable in the long run by revealing advantageous odds at different bookmakers.  

What is Value bets - Value betting explained

Bets that hold an edge against a bookmaker or another user on a betting exchange are considered value bets. Value as a term is derived from the financial sector and has the same core meaning - as long as there is a selection identified with a lower probability than indicated to occur, also known as positive value, then there is an opportunity to take advantage out of it.

Value bets of the day - Best value bet predictions today

Find the best bets using the Oddspedia free value bet tool. Look for the overvalue percentage and starting time to check the most potentially profitable bets for today. The matches shown have higher odds than what the probabilities would suggest. We suggest to use them as single bets.  

Value bets tips - How to identify good betting opportunities

In betting finding positive value plays a critical role in long term success. It is one of the fundamental concepts in sports betting, and naturally, you would place bets only where you see a positive expected value between the probabilities you calculate and the odds provided by bookmakers.  

Here are ten tips to be able to successfully extract positive value from your bets:

  1. Be able to calculate probabilities and convert odds on the fly.  

  2. Have a deep understanding and experience in the sport you are betting on.  

  3. Time and place your bets before lines start moving

  4. Analyze the difference between the odds and your perceived probability of an outcome

  5. Watch out for recent news or announcements that may affect the outcome of a game  

  6. Look at statistics and beyond to before you settle on a bet

  7. It’s more frequent to find overvalue on the underdogs, even with less hit rate

  8. Don’t be afraid to go against the public consensus

  9. Value betting comes through in the long term, short term bad streaks can happen

10. Use your EV calculations to correspond to the Unit amount wagered on your bets.

But you don’t have to worry at all because Oddspedia has you covered as well with the value bets betting tool found on this page. You will be able to easily and reliably find value bets across multiple sports. Read below more about our tool.

What is the correlation between probabilities and odds?

 Probability represents the likelihood of a certain event to happen and how likely the outcome is being shown in percentage. In sports betting, bookmaker personnel and traders assess this probability, which is then transformed into betting odds. Value betting situations will occur where the odds of an event from a bookmaker reflect a probability that is less than the actual probability of this outcome to occur.  

What positive and negative expected value means?

 Expected value or EV is the potential long-term fairness over the given situation. Positive +EV signals that long term positive results can be expected and negative -EV is the opposite. Or simply put, positive EV equals taking a good deal at the right time. The EV perspective is a great approach to gambling and especially sports betting and we naturally stick and call bets we perceive as +EV.  

How is the value on a value bet calculated?

To calculate expected value let’s use a coin flip as an example. A coin toss has 50/50 chance to land on heads or tails, therefore the odds offered on a fair market should be 2.00/2.00, but there is a bookmaker which is offering heads priced at 2.20. The formula is as follows:  

(Potential Profit * Probability ) - (Potential Loss * Probability)

Our potential profit with a stake of 10$ on odds of 2.20 will be 12$. Our potential loss is 10$. We are quite sure the true probability of heads to land is 50%. So using the formula, we measure our +EV at 1 : (12 * 0.5) - (10 * 0.5) = 1. To get overvalue percentage, the initial stake can be divided by our EV - in this case, 10% - which means that for each $10 dollar bet we will make an average of 1$ because the probability given by the odds was lower than the implied probability of the coin flip.  

 

Oddspedia Value Bet Finder - How to use

Value bets tool display bets that have odds with implied probability value higher than the real probability of it happening. Those bets are calculated based on the comparison between bookmakers market odds with total average odds. Oddspedia’s overvalue algorithm takes into account various factors and collects data simultaneously from at least several bookmakers. Betting with value included in the bets will statistically lead to long-term profits.

The "Odds" column features the best betting odds available.

The "Probability" column shows a statistical likelihood to win the bet.

The "Overvalue" mathematically estimates the added value advantage between the odd and the real probability of this outcome.

You might also like to check other Sure Wins situations via Oddspedia Sure bets tool.