Flamengo RJ vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction, Picks & Probabilities 18/11/2026

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Given the strong statistical backing favoring the "Under 3.5" total goals, this prediction seems solid. Flamengo RJ's recent performances highlight a trend towards tighter matches, with their last five outings yielding consistent results while conceding minimal goals. Historically, encounters between these two teams often see lower scores, particularly at Flamengo's home ground, where 1-0 outcomes are the most common. Furthermore, Athletico Paranaense's struggle to score away adds to this narrative. With both teams displaying tendencies to keep matches close, betting on "Under 3.5" goals presents a compelling opportunity for bettors seeking value in this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 70.14%

Betting Odds Probability @-141 58.48%

19.94%

Bet value

Given the strong statistical backing favoring the "Under 3.5" total goals, this prediction seems solid. Flamengo RJ's recent performances highlight a trend towards tighter matches, with their last five outings yielding consistent results while conceding minimal goals. Historically, encounters between these two teams often see lower scores, particularly at Flamengo's home ground, where 1-0 outcomes are the most common. Furthermore, Athletico Paranaense's struggle to score away adds to this narrative. With both teams displaying tendencies to keep matches close, betting on "Under 3.5" goals presents a compelling opportunity for bettors seeking value in this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 70.14%

Betting Odds Probability @-141 58.48%

19.94%

Bet value

What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Flamengo RJ vs Athletico Paranaense. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Given the statistical landscape for the match between Flamengo RJ and Athletico Paranaense, a bet on Total Goals: Under 4.5 seems particularly promising. Historically, matches between these teams have often remained low-scoring, with 15% of their meetings ending with over 4.5 goals. Flamengo's current form featuring a strong defense at home, alongside Athletico Paranaense's struggles to score away, lends support to this prediction. Moreover, Flamengo has only seen an average of 2 goals scored in their matchups, indicating that a low-scoring affair is likely. Positioning your bet on this outcome looks quite appealing, considering both teams' recent performances and scoring patterns.

Oddspedia Model Probability 80.16%

Betting Odds Probability @-345 77.58%

3.33%

Bet value

Given the statistical landscape for the match between Flamengo RJ and Athletico Paranaense, a bet on Total Goals: Under 4.5 seems particularly promising. Historically, matches between these teams have often remained low-scoring, with 15% of their meetings ending with over 4.5 goals. Flamengo's current form featuring a strong defense at home, alongside Athletico Paranaense's struggles to score away, lends support to this prediction. Moreover, Flamengo has only seen an average of 2 goals scored in their matchups, indicating that a low-scoring affair is likely. Positioning your bet on this outcome looks quite appealing, considering both teams' recent performances and scoring patterns.

Oddspedia Model Probability 80.16%

Betting Odds Probability @-345 77.58%

3.33%

Bet value

In the upcoming clash between Flamengo RJ and Athletico Paranaense, betting on "Total Goals: Under 2.5" appears to be a wise choice. Historically, matches between these two teams have seen low-scoring outcomes, with a common result being 1-0. Flamengo has been defensively solid at home, with a stellar run of success—and while they've scored well, their penchant for 1-0 victories is noteworthy. Meanwhile, Athletico Paranaense struggles to find the net in away matches, often failing to score entirely. Considering Flamengo's recent performance and matches’ historical trends, an under 2.5 goals bet should carry strong value.

Oddspedia Model Probability 47.54%

Betting Odds Probability @+175 36.36%

30.75%

Bet value

In the upcoming clash between Flamengo RJ and Athletico Paranaense, betting on "Total Goals: Under 2.5" appears to be a wise choice. Historically, matches between these two teams have seen low-scoring outcomes, with a common result being 1-0. Flamengo has been defensively solid at home, with a stellar run of success—and while they've scored well, their penchant for 1-0 victories is noteworthy. Meanwhile, Athletico Paranaense struggles to find the net in away matches, often failing to score entirely. Considering Flamengo's recent performance and matches’ historical trends, an under 2.5 goals bet should carry strong value.

Oddspedia Model Probability 47.54%

Betting Odds Probability @+175 36.36%

30.75%

Bet value

Game Probabilities

Winner probabilities

FLA

71% Home

19% Draw

10% Away

APR

Correct Score probabilities

>3 3 2 1 0

15.5% <0.1% 9.5% 6.2% 2.8% 0.4% 13.5% 9.9% 3.2% 0.7% 13.8% 8.7% 2.9% 0.6% 6.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.4%

0 1 2 3 >3

Correct Score: Other Home Win

Betting Trends

The most common result of matches between CR Flamengo RJ and CA Paranaense PR when CR Flamengo RJ is playing at home is 1-0. 5 matches have ended with this result.

The most common result of matches between CR Flamengo RJ and CA Paranaense PR is 1-0. 9 matches have ended with this result.

During the last 30 meetings with CR Flamengo RJ playing at home, CR Flamengo RJ have won 19 times, there have been 3 draws while CA Paranaense PR have won 8 times. The goal difference is 49-31 in favour of CR Flamengo RJ.

Community Picks

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Flamengo RJ - Athletico Paranaense

Total Goals: Over 2.5

Picked @ -222

-211

Flamengo RJ - Athletico Paranaense

Final 1x2: Flamengo RJ

Picked @ -333

-400

Ready to make your Flamengo RJ vs Athletico Paranaense prediction?

Betting stats

Flamengo RJ

FLA

Played 48

Athletico Paranaense

APR

Played 38

0% 0% ATS % 0% 0%

46% 46% Totals Covered % 47% 47%

96% 96% Games over 0.5 goals 92% 92%

88% 88% Games over 1.5 goals 79% 79%

56% 56% Games over 2.5 goals 50% 50%

23% 23% Games over 3.5 goals 32% 32%

10% 10% Games over 4.5 goals 18% 18%

27% 27% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 47% 47%

38% 38% Scored in both halves 37% 37%

8% 8% Conceded in both halves 24% 24%

Last Matches

W D W W W ?

D L D L W ?

Recent form:

W D W W W ?

Recent form:

D L D L W ?

Athletico Paranaense @

Head to Head

Last 9 years

FLA

13

Wins

6

Draws

8

Wins

27 played

APR

17 May 2026

Final

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo RJ @

1

29 Sep 2024

Final

Flamengo RJ

Athletico Paranaense @

1

0

16 Jun 2024

Final

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo RJ @

1

Standings

#		Team	GP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
	1	Flamengo RJ	34	23	7	4	71:29	W W W W W ?	76
	5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	W L D L L ?	54

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off

Flamengo RJ Jardim, Leonardo

Athletico Paranaense Hellmann, Odair

Flamengo RJ

Jardim, Leonardo

Hellmann, Odair

Athletico Paranaense

4-2-3-1

1

A. Rossi

2

G. Varela

3

L. Ortiz

4

L. Pereira

6

A. Lucas

5

E. Pulgar

21

Jorginho

15

J. Carrascal

10

G. de Arrascaeta

16

S. Lino

9

Pedro

3-4-2-1

1

Mycael

25

Dantas

33

J. Aguirre

4

A. Dias

29

G. Benavidez

16

Jadson

14

L. Gustavo

37

L. Esquivel

18

K. Vargas

7

S. Mendoza

9

K. Viveros

Maracana Stadium

Flamengo RJ

No missing players for Flamengo RJ

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Match Details

Referee

-

Stadium

Maracana Stadium

Location

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Weather Forecast

26°

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Flamengo - Paranaense Predictions

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