Wimbledon - Blackpool Predictions

4 days
14th Nov 26, 10:00 AM
Winner probabilities
42%
26%
32%
1x2: Home

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Computer picks
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1st Half 1x2: AFC Wimbledon
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
+220
AFC Wimbledon comes into this match with a struggling form, having not won in their last five outings. Blackpool, on the other hand, has shown stronger performances recently, but their inconsistency keeps them from being invulnerable. Historically, this matchup presents an intriguing dynamic, as both teams have similar scoring statistics. Betting on AFC Wimbledon to prevail in the first half capitalizes on the potential for a home advantage, especially given that they might be more motivated in front of their crowd. With the odds indicating a worthwhile return, there’s a compelling case for backing the home side to take an early lead.
Oddspedia Model Probability 32.35%
Betting Odds Probability @+225 30.77%
5.13%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Double Chance: AFC Wimbledon or Draw
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-188
AFC Wimbledon’s recent form, with five consecutive defeats, raises concerns about their current competitiveness. In contrast, Blackpool has shown resilience and consistency, having picked up key wins in their last five matches. Historically, both clubs have seen close encounters, but with Wimbledon struggling to find form, the Double Chance bet on 1X presents a solid opportunity. This bet covers both a win for AFC Wimbledon and a draw, which seems prudent given their need to turn things around at home. With a high probability of at least a point for Wimbledon, this bet carries a favorable expected value, making it a smart choice for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability 69.86%
Betting Odds Probability @-172 63.29%
10.38%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-275
Given the current form of both teams, betting on total goals being under 3.5 is a solid choice. AFC Wimbledon has struggled in recent matches, managing only one draw in their last five, which suggests a lack of attacking potency. Meanwhile, Blackpool's results reflect inconsistency but they've shown resilience defensively. Historical head-to-head data supports this prediction, with only 11% of their matches exceeding 3.5 goals. With both teams likely to focus on solidifying their defenses rather than engaging in an open contest, expect a tightly contested matchup, making the under 3.5 goals a favorable bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability 71.54%
Betting Odds Probability @-213 68.03%
5.16%
Bet value

Game Probabilities

Winner probabilities
WIM
42% Home
26% Draw
32% Away
BLA
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
5.5% 0.1% 3.4% 4.1% 2.8% 1.0% 7.1% 8.8% 5.3% 2.0% 10.1% 12.6% 7.6% 3.0% 7.3% 8.7% 5.1% 2.1% 3.4%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

During the last 5 meetings with AFC Wimbledon playing at home, AFC Wimbledon have won 3 times, there have been 2 draws while Blackpool FC have won 0 times. The goal difference is 7-1 in favour of AFC Wimbledon.
During the last 10 meetings, AFC Wimbledon have won 4 times, there have been 3 draws while Blackpool FC have won 3 times. The goal difference is 10-7 in favour of AFC Wimbledon.
Last season AFC Wimbledon won both games against Blackpool FC (4-1 at home and 2-0 away).

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Betting stats

Played 19
Played 18
42% ATS % 28%
32% Totals Covered % 67%
89% Games over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Games over 1.5 goals 94%
63% Games over 2.5 goals 72%
26% Games over 3.5 goals 56%
26% Games over 4.5 goals 33%
32% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 39%
5% Scored in both halves 22%
37% Conceded in both halves 50%

Head to Head

Last 9 years
4
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
9 played

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
18
13
3
4
6
9:21
L L L D L ?
13
19
12
3
3
6
17:21
L L W L D ?
12

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Josef Bursik
Goalkeeper
Andy Yiadom
Defender
Ryan Johnson
Defender
Steve Seddon
Defender
Myles Hippolyte
Midfielder
Alistair Smith
Midfielder
Aron Sasu
Midfielder
Ollie Harrison
Midfielder
Jayden Stockley
Forward
Harry Cornick
Forward
James Tilley
Forward
No missing players for AFC Wimbledon

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Match Details

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Stadium
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Location
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