Dep Maldonado - Cerro Predictions
Deportivo Maldonado
Tomorrow
14th Nov 26, 2:30 PM
22°
CA Cerro
Winner probabilities
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Total Corners: Under 10.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-303
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro sets the stage for a match that should see fewer than 10.5 corners. Historically, these teams have struggled to generate corner opportunities, evident in their H2H stats, where over 4.5 corners is a rare occurrence. Deportivo Maldonado has shown a solid performance recently, but their style leans towards controlled play, which limits attacking forays that lead to corners. Meanwhile, CA Cerro's inconsistent form hasn't contributed effectively to corner counts either. With both teams likely to adopt a conservative approach, expect a match that keeps corner totals low, making "Total Corners: Under 10.5" a solid bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.9%
Betting Odds Probability @-238
70.42% 4.94% Bet value
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro sets the stage for a match that should see fewer than 10.5 corners. Historically, these teams have struggled to generate corner opportunities, evident in their H2H stats, where over 4.5 corners is a rare occurrence. Deportivo Maldonado has shown a solid performance recently, but their style leans towards controlled play, which limits attacking forays that lead to corners. Meanwhile, CA Cerro's inconsistent form hasn't contributed effectively to corner counts either. With both teams likely to adopt a conservative approach, expect a match that keeps corner totals low, making "Total Corners: Under 10.5" a solid bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.9%
Betting Odds Probability @-238
70.42%
4.94%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Over 1.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-333
Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro both have shown a tendency to find the back of the net in recent matchups, making the "Total Goals: Over 1.5" bet an appealing choice. Recent form for Deportivo includes three wins in their last five matches, while CA Cerro has struggled but managed to find a draw in their last outing. Historically, these teams have seen a majority of their meetings surpass the 1.5 goals mark, as reflected in a 56% rate in their head-to-head records. Given both teams' current dynamics and the statistical trends, this bet is certainly worth considering. Expect action and goals in this contest!
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.64%
Betting Odds Probability @-250
71.43% 3.09% Bet value
Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro both have shown a tendency to find the back of the net in recent matchups, making the "Total Goals: Over 1.5" bet an appealing choice. Recent form for Deportivo includes three wins in their last five matches, while CA Cerro has struggled but managed to find a draw in their last outing. Historically, these teams have seen a majority of their meetings surpass the 1.5 goals mark, as reflected in a 56% rate in their head-to-head records. Given both teams' current dynamics and the statistical trends, this bet is certainly worth considering. Expect action and goals in this contest!
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.64%
Betting Odds Probability @-250
71.43%
3.09%
Bet value
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-105
With both Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro demonstrating mixed form lately, the potential for more than 2.5 total goals in this matchup looks promising. Deportivo Maldonado has shown a knack for scoring, achieving three wins in their last five matches, while CA Cerro’s recent struggles might leave their defense vulnerable. The head-to-head stats also support this trend, with a consistent rate of over 2.5 goals occurring half the time in their previous encounters. Given the attacking capabilities on display and both teams' recent performances, backing over 2.5 total goals feels like a solid betting approach for this match.
Oddspedia Model Probability
49.33%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44% 11% Bet value
With both Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro demonstrating mixed form lately, the potential for more than 2.5 total goals in this matchup looks promising. Deportivo Maldonado has shown a knack for scoring, achieving three wins in their last five matches, while CA Cerro’s recent struggles might leave their defense vulnerable. The head-to-head stats also support this trend, with a consistent rate of over 2.5 goals occurring half the time in their previous encounters. Given the attacking capabilities on display and both teams' recent performances, backing over 2.5 total goals feels like a solid betting approach for this match.
Oddspedia Model Probability
49.33%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44%
11%
Bet value
Game Probabilities
Winner probabilities
MAL
CAC
58%
Home
24%
Draw
18%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
9.3%
<0.1%
6.3%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
10.6%
10.5%
4.3%
1.3%
12.8%
11.3%
5.2%
1.4%
7.5%
5.9%
2.6%
0.8%
1.2%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-0
+550
Betting Trends
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Betting stats
MAL
Played 41
CAC
Played 38
0%
ATS %
0%
49%
Totals Covered %
42%
90%
Games over 0.5 goals
97%
78%
Games over 1.5 goals
68%
49%
Games over 2.5 goals
42%
24%
Games over 3.5 goals
21%
15%
Games over 4.5 goals
5%
32%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
34%
32%
Scored in both halves
8%
15%
Conceded in both halves
32%
Last Matches
L
W
W
D
L
?
L
W
D
L
L
?
Head to Head
6
Wins
2
Draws
1
Win
9 played
23 Sep 2026
Final
1
2
02 May 2026
Final
0
1
08 Nov 2024
Final
0
0
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
31
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
28
| |
4
| 
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
22
| |
8
| 
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
21
| |
9
| 
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
20
| |
11
| 
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
| 
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
15
| |
15
| 
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
10
| |
16
|
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Clausura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
13
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
26:14
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
28
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
26
| |
4
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
13
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
18:10
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
22
| |
5
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
22
| |
6
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
14
|
6
|
2
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
20
| |
7
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
13
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
18:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
19
| |
8
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
18
| |
9
|
CA Cerro
|
13
|
5
|
3
|
5
|
15:19
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
13
|
4
|
3
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Cerro Largo
|
14
|
1
|
7
|
6
|
12:19
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
10
| |
15
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
16
|
Central Espanol
|
13
|
2
|
2
|
9
|
8:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
8
| |
Intermedio A
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
5
| |
Intermedio B
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
7
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
12:4
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
15
| |
2
|
Nacional De Football
|
7
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
8:8
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
13
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
12:6
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
12
| |
4
|
Torque
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
3
|
11:11
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
12
| |
5
|
CA Juventud
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
8:11
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
8
| |
6
|
Albion FC
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:8
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
6
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
7
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
6:11
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
6
| |
8
|
Danubio
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
5:9
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
4
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35
|
18
|
9
|
8
|
54:32
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
63
| |
3
|
Torque
|
35
|
19
|
6
|
10
|
59:41
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
63
| |
4
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
61
| |
5
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
12
|
7
|
45:31
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
60
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
47
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
41
| |
10
|
Central Espanol
|
35
|
11
|
8
|
16
|
35:48
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
41
| |
11
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
39
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
36
|
9
|
11
|
16
|
35:43
|
L
D
W
L
D
|
38
| |
13
|
Boston River
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
34:47
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
37
| |
14
|
CA Cerro
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
29:53
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
36
|
10
|
6
|
20
|
33:51
|
D
W
W
L
D
|
36
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Deportivo Maldonado
Adriano Freitas
Goalkeeper
Juan Ramos
Defender
Facundo Tealde
Defender
Nicolas Fuica
Defender
Juan Martin Ginzo
Defender
Santiago Cartagena
Midfielder
Santiago Ramirez
Midfielder
David Maximiliano Gonzales
Midfielder
Renato Cesar Perez
Forward
Christian Tabo
Forward
Maximiliano Noble
Forward
Deportivo Maldonado
No missing players for Deportivo Maldonado
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Match Details
Referee
Heras, Hernan
Stadium
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Location
Maldonado, Uruguay
Weather Forecast
22°.
