Leixoes - Chaves Predictions
Leixoes
5 days
15th Nov 26, 1:00 PM
16°
Chaves
Winner probabilities
1x2: Home
+100
picks
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Final 1x2: Chaves
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+260
Considering the current form of both teams and their historical matchups, betting on Chaves to win away is a compelling choice. Leixoes has struggled lately, with four consecutive losses followed by a draw, while Chaves has shown a slight recovery with a win and a draw in their previous outings. The head-to-head statistics favor Chaves, especially with them winning 6 out of the last 12 matchups at Leixoes. Additionally, Chaves has a better scoring performance on the road compared to Leixoes’ struggles at home. With both teams allowing goals frequently, Chaves has an excellent chance to capitalize on Leixoes' vulnerabilities. Thus, backing an away victory for Chaves seems like a sound bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability
30.94%
Betting Odds Probability @+260
27.78% 11.38% Bet value
Considering the current form of both teams and their historical matchups, betting on Chaves to win away is a compelling choice. Leixoes has struggled lately, with four consecutive losses followed by a draw, while Chaves has shown a slight recovery with a win and a draw in their previous outings. The head-to-head statistics favor Chaves, especially with them winning 6 out of the last 12 matchups at Leixoes. Additionally, Chaves has a better scoring performance on the road compared to Leixoes’ struggles at home. With both teams allowing goals frequently, Chaves has an excellent chance to capitalize on Leixoes' vulnerabilities. Thus, backing an away victory for Chaves seems like a sound bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability
30.94%
Betting Odds Probability @+260
27.78%
11.38%
Bet value
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Leixoes vs Chaves. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Double Chance: Draw or Chaves
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-138
This matchup strongly favors GD Chaves to either win or secure a draw against Leixões. Leixões is struggling, having not won in their last five games, and their home form is particularly concerning, with a consistent failure to score. In contrast, Chaves has shown resilience with a decent scoring record, despite their recent away struggles. Historical H2H records also bolster this prediction, as Chaves has historically performed well against Leixões, winning six of their last twelve encounters at Leixões' ground. The statistics and current form suggest that taking the Double Chance on Chaves is a confident bet for this match.
Oddspedia Model Probability
57.46%
Betting Odds Probability @-119
54.35% 5.72% Bet value
This matchup strongly favors GD Chaves to either win or secure a draw against Leixões. Leixões is struggling, having not won in their last five games, and their home form is particularly concerning, with a consistent failure to score. In contrast, Chaves has shown resilience with a decent scoring record, despite their recent away struggles. Historical H2H records also bolster this prediction, as Chaves has historically performed well against Leixões, winning six of their last twelve encounters at Leixões' ground. The statistics and current form suggest that taking the Double Chance on Chaves is a confident bet for this match.
Oddspedia Model Probability
57.46%
Betting Odds Probability @-119
54.35%
5.72%
Bet value
1st Half 1x2: Draw
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+120
Given the current form of both teams and their head-to-head record, predicting a draw at halftime for the Leixoes versus Chaves match appears to be a solid choice. Leixoes is struggling, having gone winless in their last five matches and has a low first-half win rate. Meanwhile, Chaves’ recent away form shows they’re not strong finishers either. Historically, these encounters tend to be closely contested, with many matches finishing with minimal goals. With both teams struggling to maintain momentum, a goalless or low-scoring first half seems likely. Therefore, a halftime draw stands out as a promising bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability
46.9%
Betting Odds Probability @+120
45.45% 3.19% Bet value
Given the current form of both teams and their head-to-head record, predicting a draw at halftime for the Leixoes versus Chaves match appears to be a solid choice. Leixoes is struggling, having gone winless in their last five matches and has a low first-half win rate. Meanwhile, Chaves’ recent away form shows they’re not strong finishers either. Historically, these encounters tend to be closely contested, with many matches finishing with minimal goals. With both teams struggling to maintain momentum, a goalless or low-scoring first half seems likely. Therefore, a halftime draw stands out as a promising bet.
Oddspedia Model Probability
46.9%
Betting Odds Probability @+120
45.45%
3.19%
Bet value
Game Probabilities
Winner probabilities
LEI
CHA
42%
Home
27%
Draw
31%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
6.3%
<0.1%
3.5%
4.2%
2.6%
1.2%
7.0%
9.3%
5.6%
2.5%
9.4%
12.6%
8.0%
3.0%
7.1%
7.6%
4.3%
2.1%
3.4%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+550
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Betting stats
LEI
Played 12
CHA
Played 12
42%
ATS %
25%
58%
Totals Covered %
75%
92%
Games over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Games over 1.5 goals
83%
58%
Games over 2.5 goals
75%
42%
Games over 3.5 goals
50%
17%
Games over 4.5 goals
25%
42%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
42%
33%
Scored in both halves
25%
33%
Conceded in both halves
42%
Last Matches
L
L
L
L
D
?
D
W
W
L
L
?
Head to Head
2
Wins
5
Draws
3
Wins
10 played
09 May 2026
Final
1
2
16 Nov 2025
Final
0
1
30 Jul 2025
Final
0
1
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12
|
Leixoes
|
10
|
3
|
2
|
5
|
13:17
|
D
L
L
L
D
?
|
11
| |
17
|
Chaves
|
10
|
2
|
2
|
6
|
11:21
|
L
D
W
L
L
?
|
8
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Leixoes
Igor Stefanovic
Goalkeeper
Fernando Fonseca
Defender
Matheus Costa
Defender
Serif Nhaga
Defender
Lourenco Henriques
Defender
Rafael Barbosa
Midfielder
Claudio Araujo
Midfielder
Joao Assuncao
Midfielder
Bryan Rochez
Forward
Ruben Pina
Forward
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa
Forward
Leixoes
No missing players for Leixoes
More Segunda Liga Smart Bet Predictions
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Segunda Liga
15 Nov, 06:00
Total Goals:
Under 2.5
-138
Segunda Liga
15 Nov, 10:30
Total Goals:
Under 3.5
-400
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Match Details
Referee
-
Stadium
Estadio do Mar
Location
Matosinhos, Portugal
Weather Forecast
16°.
