Cerro Largo - Progreso Predictions
Cerro Largo
12th Nov 26, 6:00 PM
21°
Club Atletico Progreso
Winner probabilities
1x2: Home
-120
picks
Powered by
Final 1x2: Club Atletico Progreso
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+320
Cerro Largo's recent performance and historical H2H advantage against Club Atletico Progreso strongly favor the home side. With Cerro Largo winning five out of their last five encounters, it's hard to overlook their dominance in this matchup. Despite Progreso's slightly better form in their past matches, they haven't managed an away win against Cerro Largo since 2017. Both teams have struggled to score recently, but Cerro Largo’s experience at home boosts their chances. Given the statistical trends—especially their history of 1-0 wins—backing the Away result could be a smart play, as it represents potential value in an otherwise challenging matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
29.21%
Betting Odds Probability @+270
27.03% 8.07% Bet value
Cerro Largo's recent performance and historical H2H advantage against Club Atletico Progreso strongly favor the home side. With Cerro Largo winning five out of their last five encounters, it's hard to overlook their dominance in this matchup. Despite Progreso's slightly better form in their past matches, they haven't managed an away win against Cerro Largo since 2017. Both teams have struggled to score recently, but Cerro Largo’s experience at home boosts their chances. Given the statistical trends—especially their history of 1-0 wins—backing the Away result could be a smart play, as it represents potential value in an otherwise challenging matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
29.21%
Betting Odds Probability @+270
27.03%
8.07%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Cerro Largo vs Club Atletico Progreso. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Double Chance: Draw or Club Atletico Progreso
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-115
Cerro Largo and Club Atletico Progreso present an intriguing matchup that favors the double chance for Progreso (X2). Historically, Cerro Largo has dominated recent encounters, but Progreso’s form shows potential improvement, especially considering their superior performance metrics recently compared to Cerro Largo’s struggles. With Progreso having not won against Cerro Largo in their last six meetings, they are due for a competitive showing. They're also better positioned when trailing or leading in matches, making the double chance a strategic bet. Given the stats and recent trends, this prediction offers good value as both teams are looking to bounce back after disappointing outings.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.62%
Betting Odds Probability @-125
55.56% 5.51% Bet value
Cerro Largo and Club Atletico Progreso present an intriguing matchup that favors the double chance for Progreso (X2). Historically, Cerro Largo has dominated recent encounters, but Progreso’s form shows potential improvement, especially considering their superior performance metrics recently compared to Cerro Largo’s struggles. With Progreso having not won against Cerro Largo in their last six meetings, they are due for a competitive showing. They're also better positioned when trailing or leading in matches, making the double chance a strategic bet. Given the stats and recent trends, this prediction offers good value as both teams are looking to bounce back after disappointing outings.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.62%
Betting Odds Probability @-125
55.56%
5.51%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-444
Given the recent form and historical context between Cerro Largo and Club Atletico Progreso, the prediction of total goals being under 3.5 is well-founded. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, with Cerro Largo averaging just 1.14 goals at home and Progreso only managing 0.82 away. Historical matchups also highlight a tendency for low-scoring games, with a notable number of 1-0 results. Additionally, the teams' recent performances indicate defensive vulnerabilities rather than offensive flair. Altogether, these factors strongly suggest a low-scoring encounter, making "Under 3.5" a solid betting option.
Oddspedia Model Probability
81.14%
Betting Odds Probability @-357
78.13% 3.85% Bet value
Given the recent form and historical context between Cerro Largo and Club Atletico Progreso, the prediction of total goals being under 3.5 is well-founded. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, with Cerro Largo averaging just 1.14 goals at home and Progreso only managing 0.82 away. Historical matchups also highlight a tendency for low-scoring games, with a notable number of 1-0 results. Additionally, the teams' recent performances indicate defensive vulnerabilities rather than offensive flair. Altogether, these factors strongly suggest a low-scoring encounter, making "Under 3.5" a solid betting option.
Oddspedia Model Probability
81.14%
Betting Odds Probability @-357
78.13%
3.85%
Bet value
Game Probabilities
Winner probabilities
CLA
PRO
41%
Home
29%
Draw
29%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
3.5%
0.1%
3.0%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
7.7%
8.7%
4.1%
1.4%
13.5%
13.6%
6.8%
2.1%
10.9%
10.3%
5.1%
1.6%
1.9%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+550
Betting Trends
Community Picks
4
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32 minutes ago
Cerro Largo - Club Atletico Progreso
Final 1x2: Draw
Picked @ +230
+250
-411.13
904 Picks
3 hours ago
Cerro Largo - Club Atletico Progreso
Draw No Bet: Cerro Largo
Picked @ -303
-280
-27.53
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6 hours ago
Cerro Largo - Club Atletico Progreso
Double Chance: Draw or Club Atletico Progreso
Picked @ -111
-115
-333.99
1154 Picks
21 hours ago
Cerro Largo - Club Atletico Progreso
Final 1x2: Cerro Largo
Picked @ -125
-120
Ready to make your Cerro Largo vs Club Atletico Progreso prediction?
Betting stats
CLA
Played 39
PRO
Played 38
46%
ATS %
39%
31%
Totals Covered %
39%
95%
Games over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Games over 1.5 goals
66%
31%
Games over 2.5 goals
39%
13%
Games over 3.5 goals
13%
3%
Games over 4.5 goals
5%
15%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
24%
13%
Scored in both halves
16%
18%
Conceded in both halves
24%
Last Matches
L
D
L
W
L
?
L
D
W
W
L
?
Head to Head
9
Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
12 played
03 May 2026
Final
0
1
09 Aug 2025
Final
1
2
07 Feb 2025
Final
4
1
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
31
| |
2
| 
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
28
| |
4
| 
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
22
| |
8
| 
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
21
| |
9
| 
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
20
| |
11
| 
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
15
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
10
| |
16
| 
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Clausura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
13
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
26:14
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
28
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
26
| |
4
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
13
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
18:10
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
22
| |
5
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
22
| |
6
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
13
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
18:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
19
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
13
|
6
|
1
|
6
|
13:15
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
19
| |
8
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
18
| |
9
|
CA Cerro
|
13
|
5
|
3
|
5
|
15:19
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
13
|
4
|
3
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
15
|
Cerro Largo
|
13
|
1
|
6
|
6
|
10:17
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
9
| |
16
|
Central Espanol
|
13
|
2
|
2
|
9
|
8:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
8
| |
Intermedio A
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
5
| |
Intermedio B
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
7
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
12:4
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
15
| |
2
|
Nacional De Football
|
7
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
8:8
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
13
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
12:6
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
12
| |
4
|
Torque
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
3
|
11:11
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
12
| |
5
|
CA Juventud
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
8:11
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
8
| |
6
|
Albion FC
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:8
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
6
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
7
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
6:11
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Danubio
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
5:9
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
4
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35
|
18
|
9
|
8
|
54:32
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
63
| |
3
|
Torque
|
35
|
19
|
6
|
10
|
59:41
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
63
| |
4
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
61
| |
5
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
12
|
7
|
45:31
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
60
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
47
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
41
| |
10
|
Central Espanol
|
35
|
11
|
8
|
16
|
35:48
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
41
| |
11
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
39
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
35
|
9
|
10
|
16
|
33:41
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
37
| |
13
|
Boston River
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
34:47
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
37
| |
14
|
CA Cerro
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
29:53
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
35
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
31:49
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
35
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Cerro Largo
Pedro Gonzalez
Goalkeeper
Martin Gianoli
Defender
Santiago Franca
Defender
Alexis Piegas
Defender
Alexander Hernandez
Defender
Mario Garcia
Midfielder
Sebastian Assis
Midfielder
Santiago Marcel Perez
Midfielder
Alexis Segovia
Forward
Elias de Leon
Forward
Axel Pandiani
Forward
Cerro Largo
No missing players for Cerro Largo
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Match Details
Referee
Motta, Santiago
Stadium
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Location
Melo, Uruguay
Weather Forecast
21°.
