Danubio - Liverpool M Predictions
Danubio
4 days
15th Nov 26, 2:30 PM
19°
Liverpool Montevideo
Winner probabilities
1x2: Away
+100
picks
Powered by
Double Chance: Danubio or Draw
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-140
Danubio's home advantage and solid historical performance against Liverpool Montevideo make the Double Chance 1X a compelling bet. Playing at home, Danubio has emerged victorious in 8 of their past 18 meetings with Liverpool, alongside 6 draws. Despite recent struggles, they're scoring consistently and have managed to find the net in several matches. On the other hand, Liverpool is in excellent form; however, they haven't won away against Danubio since 2021. This context, coupled with Danubio’s ability to secure points at home, supports the idea of them avoiding defeat here. Ultimately, this match presents a promising opportunity for Danubio to at least draw or snatch a victory.
Oddspedia Model Probability
52.24%
Betting Odds Probability @-105
51.28% 1.87% Bet value
Danubio's home advantage and solid historical performance against Liverpool Montevideo make the Double Chance 1X a compelling bet. Playing at home, Danubio has emerged victorious in 8 of their past 18 meetings with Liverpool, alongside 6 draws. Despite recent struggles, they're scoring consistently and have managed to find the net in several matches. On the other hand, Liverpool is in excellent form; however, they haven't won away against Danubio since 2021. This context, coupled with Danubio’s ability to secure points at home, supports the idea of them avoiding defeat here. Ultimately, this match presents a promising opportunity for Danubio to at least draw or snatch a victory.
Oddspedia Model Probability
52.24%
Betting Odds Probability @-105
51.28%
1.87%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-148
Given the historical head-to-head record between Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo, there’s a strong case for predicting under 2.5 total goals in this match. With an average of just 1.6 goals in their past encounters, both teams often struggle to find the net against each other. Danubio has shown inconsistency in scoring at home, and Liverpool Montevideo's recent defensive form, with five clean sheets in a row, reinforces this trend. Furthermore, with Danubio managing only 0.8 goals on average against Liverpool, the odds favor another tightly contested game, likely resulting in a low-scoring affair.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.34%
Betting Odds Probability @-139
58.14% 0.34% Bet value
Given the historical head-to-head record between Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo, there’s a strong case for predicting under 2.5 total goals in this match. With an average of just 1.6 goals in their past encounters, both teams often struggle to find the net against each other. Danubio has shown inconsistency in scoring at home, and Liverpool Montevideo's recent defensive form, with five clean sheets in a row, reinforces this trend. Furthermore, with Danubio managing only 0.8 goals on average against Liverpool, the odds favor another tightly contested game, likely resulting in a low-scoring affair.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.34%
Betting Odds Probability @-139
58.14%
0.34%
Bet value
Game Probabilities
Winner probabilities
DAN
LIM
24%
Home
28%
Draw
48%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
1.4%
<0.1%
1.3%
1.8%
1.4%
0.7%
3.9%
5.7%
4.3%
2.1%
8.6%
13.0%
9.1%
4.1%
10.3%
13.3%
9.3%
4.3%
5.5%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
0-1
+600
Betting Trends
Community Picks
7
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1545 Picks
4 days ago
Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
European Handicap: Danubio +1
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-138
+1,008.72
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Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
To Win to Nil: Danubio
Picked @ +700
+500
+1,008.72
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4 days ago
Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
Draw No Bet: Danubio
Picked @ +250
+150
+762.85
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Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
Draw No Bet: Danubio
Picked @ +250
+150
+762.85
1900 Picks
4 days ago
Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
To Win to Nil: Danubio
Picked @ +700
+500
+762.85
1900 Picks
4 days ago
Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
European Handicap: Danubio -1
Picked @ +1200
+800
+107.97
1392 Picks
6 days ago
Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
Spread: Liverpool Montevideo -0.5
Picked @ +106
+105
Ready to make your Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction?
Betting stats
DAN
Played 41
LIM
Played 42
39%
ATS %
52%
41%
Totals Covered %
38%
88%
Games over 0.5 goals
86%
68%
Games over 1.5 goals
62%
44%
Games over 2.5 goals
40%
24%
Games over 3.5 goals
17%
10%
Games over 4.5 goals
7%
24%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
26%
12%
Scored in both halves
17%
17%
Conceded in both halves
17%
Last Matches
W
L
W
L
D
?
W
W
W
W
D
?
Head to Head
6
Wins
4
Draws
7
Wins
17 played
02 May 2026
Final
3
0
03 Aug 2025
Final
0
0
01 Feb 2025
Final
1
1
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
31
| |
2
| 
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
28
| |
4
| 
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
22
| |
8
| 
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
21
| |
9
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
20
| |
11
|
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
| 
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
15
| |
15
| 
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
10
| |
16
| 
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Clausura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
13
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
26:14
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
28
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
26
| |
4
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
13
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
18:10
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
22
| |
5
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
22
| |
6
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
13
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
18:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
19
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
13
|
6
|
1
|
6
|
13:15
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
19
| |
8
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
18
| |
9
|
CA Cerro
|
13
|
5
|
3
|
5
|
15:19
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
13
|
4
|
3
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
15
|
Cerro Largo
|
13
|
1
|
6
|
6
|
10:17
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
9
| |
16
|
Central Espanol
|
13
|
2
|
2
|
9
|
8:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
8
| |
Intermedio A
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
5
| |
Intermedio B
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
7
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
12:4
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
15
| |
2
|
Nacional De Football
|
7
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
8:8
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
13
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
12:6
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
12
| |
4
|
Torque
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
3
|
11:11
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
12
| |
5
|
CA Juventud
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
8:11
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
8
| |
6
|
Albion FC
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:8
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
6
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
7
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
6:11
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Danubio
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
5:9
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
4
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35
|
18
|
9
|
8
|
54:32
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
63
| |
3
|
Torque
|
35
|
19
|
6
|
10
|
59:41
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
63
| |
4
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
61
| |
5
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
12
|
7
|
45:31
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
60
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
47
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
41
| |
10
|
Central Espanol
|
35
|
11
|
8
|
16
|
35:48
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
41
| |
11
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
39
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
35
|
9
|
10
|
16
|
33:41
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
37
| |
13
|
Boston River
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
34:47
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
37
| |
14
|
CA Cerro
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
29:53
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
35
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
31:49
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
35
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Danubio
Mauro Goicoechea
Goalkeeper
Leandro Sosa
Defender
Mauro Alejandro Brasil Alcaire
Defender
Juan Mateo Rinaldi
Defender
Gonzalo Rodrguez
Defender
Bautista Pereira
Defender
Ivan Rossi
Midfielder
Juan Andres Millan Santarcieri
Midfielder
Mateo Peralta
Midfielder
Bautista Tomatis
Forward
Enzo Cabrera
Forward
Danubio
No missing players for Danubio
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Match Details
Referee
-
Stadium
Jardines Del Hipódromo
Location
Montevideo, Uruguay
Weather Forecast
19°.
