CD Tondela vs Farense Prediction, Picks & Probabilities 15/11/2026

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Betting on Farense to secure an away victory against CD Tondela holds strong appeal, given their recent form and past encounters. While CD Tondela boasts a solid home record, it's essential to note that Farense has proven their mettle by securing crucial wins, including their most recent match against Tondela. Tondela's scoring prowess at home can be countered by Farense's tendency to strike decisively in the second half. Moreover, the likelihood of a competitive match is reinforced by the parallel scoring capabilities of both sides. With Tondela's home dominance being challenged, an away victory for Farense presents a promising opportunity for bettors looking for an edge.

Oddspedia Model Probability 30.83%

Betting Odds Probability @+280 26.32%

17.14%

Bet value

Betting on Farense to secure an away victory against CD Tondela holds strong appeal, given their recent form and past encounters. While CD Tondela boasts a solid home record, it's essential to note that Farense has proven their mettle by securing crucial wins, including their most recent match against Tondela. Tondela's scoring prowess at home can be countered by Farense's tendency to strike decisively in the second half. Moreover, the likelihood of a competitive match is reinforced by the parallel scoring capabilities of both sides. With Tondela's home dominance being challenged, an away victory for Farense presents a promising opportunity for bettors looking for an edge.

Oddspedia Model Probability 30.83%

Betting Odds Probability @+280 26.32%

17.14%

Bet value

What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for CD Tondela vs Farense. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

CD Tondela’s inconsistent performance at home contrasts sharply with Farense's ability to manage results, especially considering their recent form. With Tondela winning only 25% of their first halves, their shaky start could open doors for Farense, who has the potential to capitalize on defensive lapses. Historical data reveals that at Tondela, Farense has struggled but is due for a closer contest, especially given Tondela's recent home victories. Therefore, selecting a double chance on Farense to either win or draw seems a solid bet, as they’ve shown resilience even in difficult matchups, making this a promising opportunity for bettors.

Oddspedia Model Probability 61.72%

Betting Odds Probability @-118 54.05%

14.19%

Bet value

CD Tondela’s inconsistent performance at home contrasts sharply with Farense's ability to manage results, especially considering their recent form. With Tondela winning only 25% of their first halves, their shaky start could open doors for Farense, who has the potential to capitalize on defensive lapses. Historical data reveals that at Tondela, Farense has struggled but is due for a closer contest, especially given Tondela's recent home victories. Therefore, selecting a double chance on Farense to either win or draw seems a solid bet, as they’ve shown resilience even in difficult matchups, making this a promising opportunity for bettors.

Oddspedia Model Probability 61.72%

Betting Odds Probability @-118 54.05%

14.19%

Bet value

The prediction for Total Goals: Under 2.5 in the CD Tondela vs. Farense matchup is highly favorable given the statistics. Historically, their encounters have consistently seen low-scoring affairs, with just 20% of meetings exceeding 2.5 goals. CD Tondela, currently in form at home with three consecutive wins and a solid defense, typically scores around 1.16 goals on home turf. Farense also struggles on the road, often not finding the back of the net. Moreover, both teams have a tendency to maintain games within tight margins. All signs point towards a classic low-scoring contest, making the Under 2.5 goals bet an attractive option.

Oddspedia Model Probability 60.64%

Betting Odds Probability @-139 58.14%

4.3%

Bet value

The prediction for Total Goals: Under 2.5 in the CD Tondela vs. Farense matchup is highly favorable given the statistics. Historically, their encounters have consistently seen low-scoring affairs, with just 20% of meetings exceeding 2.5 goals. CD Tondela, currently in form at home with three consecutive wins and a solid defense, typically scores around 1.16 goals on home turf. Farense also struggles on the road, often not finding the back of the net. Moreover, both teams have a tendency to maintain games within tight margins. All signs point towards a classic low-scoring contest, making the Under 2.5 goals bet an attractive option.

Oddspedia Model Probability 60.64%

Betting Odds Probability @-139 58.14%

4.3%

Bet value

Game Probabilities

Winner probabilities

TON

38% Home

31% Draw

31% Away

FAR

Correct Score probabilities

>3 3 2 1 0

3.0% 0.1% 2.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 6.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.5% 12.6% 14.1% 7.2% 2.4% 11.5% 10.3% 5.6% 1.9% 2.1%

0 1 2 3 >3

Correct Score: 1-1

+550

Betting Trends

During the last 5 meetings with CD Tondela playing at home, CD Tondela have won 3 times, there have been 2 draws while SC Farense have won 0 times. The goal difference is 6-2 in favour of CD Tondela.

During the last 10 meetings, CD Tondela have won 4 times, there have been 3 draws while SC Farense have won 3 times. The goal difference is 9-8 in favour of CD Tondela.

In Liga Portugal 2, CD Tondela have 3 successive home wins.

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Betting stats

CD Tondela

TON

Played 12

Farense

FAR

Played 12

58% 58% ATS % 42% 42%

42% 42% Totals Covered % 67% 67%

100% 100% Games over 0.5 goals 92% 92%

83% 83% Games over 1.5 goals 83% 83%

42% 42% Games over 2.5 goals 67% 67%

17% 17% Games over 3.5 goals 33% 33%

17% 17% Games over 4.5 goals 17% 17%

25% 25% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 50% 50%

33% 33% Scored in both halves 42% 42%

25% 25% Conceded in both halves 25% 25%

Last Matches

W W L W D ?

W W L D L ?

Recent form:

W W L W D ?

Recent form:

W W L D L ?

25 oct.

Final

AVS

CD Tondela @

2

1

L

Head to Head

Last 9 years

TON

2

Wins

3

Wins

5 played

FAR

27 sept. 2023

Final

Farense

CD Tondela @

1

0

28 mai 2023

Final

Farense

CD Tondela @

3

1

22 janv. 2023

Final

CD Tondela

Farense @

1

0

Standings

#		Team	GP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
	7	CD Tondela	10	5	1	4	13:11	W W L W D ?	16
	8	Farense	10	4	3	3	17:14	W W L D L ?	15

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off

CD Tondela

Carlos Eduardo de Araujo

Goalkeeper

Carraca

Defender

Christian Marques

Defender

Jose Ricardo

Defender

Brayan Medina

Defender

Helder Tavares

Midfielder

Sarara

Midfielder

Hugo Felix

Midfielder

Rodrigo Coelho Fernandes

Midfielder

Tomane

Forward

Arjen Van Der Heide

Forward

CD Tondela

No missing players for CD Tondela

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Match Details

Referee

-

Stadium

Estadio Joao Cardoso

Location

Tondela, Portugal

Weather Forecast

13°

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Tondela - Farense Predictions

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