Estoril vs Maritimo Prediction, Picks & Probabilities 08/11/2026

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With Estoril struggling on a five-match losing streak and without a home win this season, the Double Chance: X2 bet on Maritimo presents an enticing opportunity. Historical performance favors Estoril at home, but recent stats show Maritimo has edged out better form overall. While both teams haven’t found the net consistently, Maritimo’s attacking capabilities slightly overshadow Estoril's troubles in front of goal. Additionally, their H2H record indicates a strong likelihood of draws, particularly a 1-1 outcome, making the X2 bet a wise choice given the potential for Maritimo to secure at least a point. Trust the statistics; this is a value bet worth considering.

Oddspedia Model Probability 57.24%

Betting Odds Probability @-125 55.56%

3.02%

Bet value

With Estoril struggling on a five-match losing streak and without a home win this season, the Double Chance: X2 bet on Maritimo presents an enticing opportunity. Historical performance favors Estoril at home, but recent stats show Maritimo has edged out better form overall. While both teams haven’t found the net consistently, Maritimo’s attacking capabilities slightly overshadow Estoril's troubles in front of goal. Additionally, their H2H record indicates a strong likelihood of draws, particularly a 1-1 outcome, making the X2 bet a wise choice given the potential for Maritimo to secure at least a point. Trust the statistics; this is a value bet worth considering.

Oddspedia Model Probability 57.24%

Betting Odds Probability @-125 55.56%

3.02%

Bet value

What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Estoril vs Maritimo. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Considering the recent form of both Estoril and Maritimo, a total of under 10.5 corners appears to be a solid prediction for this match. Estoril's ongoing struggle, suffering five consecutive losses with limited goal production, suggests a lack of attacking pressure. Moreover, Maritimo’s away form is equally concerning, leading to a pattern of lower corner counts. Historically, their encounters have not generated excessive corners either, as evidenced by their past match statistics. With both teams lacking the momentum to push for high corner counts, betting on under 10.5 corners could provide a promising outlook for this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 73.4%

Betting Odds Probability @-233 69.93%

4.96%

Bet value

Considering the recent form of both Estoril and Maritimo, a total of under 10.5 corners appears to be a solid prediction for this match. Estoril's ongoing struggle, suffering five consecutive losses with limited goal production, suggests a lack of attacking pressure. Moreover, Maritimo’s away form is equally concerning, leading to a pattern of lower corner counts. Historically, their encounters have not generated excessive corners either, as evidenced by their past match statistics. With both teams lacking the momentum to push for high corner counts, betting on under 10.5 corners could provide a promising outlook for this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 73.4%

Betting Odds Probability @-233 69.93%

4.96%

Bet value

Given the stats and recent form, predicting an away win for Maritimo against Estoril seems highly reasonable. Estoril is struggling, suffering five consecutive losses and unable to find the back of the net in 40% of their home matches this season. Conversely, Maritimo has shown some resilience with a recent win and has a slightly better away scoring rate. Historically, when these two teams meet, Estoril has the advantage at home, but with their current form and head-to-head results, Maritimo's potential to secure three points is significant. Acknowledging the dynamics at play, an away win presents a promising opportunity in this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 31.11%

Betting Odds Probability @+265 27.4%

13.54%

Bet value

Given the stats and recent form, predicting an away win for Maritimo against Estoril seems highly reasonable. Estoril is struggling, suffering five consecutive losses and unable to find the back of the net in 40% of their home matches this season. Conversely, Maritimo has shown some resilience with a recent win and has a slightly better away scoring rate. Historically, when these two teams meet, Estoril has the advantage at home, but with their current form and head-to-head results, Maritimo's potential to secure three points is significant. Acknowledging the dynamics at play, an away win presents a promising opportunity in this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 31.11%

Betting Odds Probability @+265 27.4%

13.54%

Bet value

Pregame Probabilities

Winner probabilities

EST

43% Home

26% Draw

31% Away

MAR

Correct Score probabilities

>3 3 2 1 0

5.5% <0.1% 3.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.0% 7.3% 9.2% 5.3% 2.1% 10.2% 12.5% 7.4% 2.9% 7.3% 8.3% 4.8% 1.9% 3.4%

0 1 2 3 >3

Correct Score: 1-1

+550

Community Picks

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Estoril - Maritimo

Final 1x2: Estoril

Picked @ +105

+105

Estoril - Maritimo

Double Chance: Draw or Maritimo

Picked @ -141

-141

Estoril - Maritimo

Double Chance: Draw or Maritimo

Picked @ -141

-141

Estoril - Maritimo

Final 1x2: Estoril

Picked @ +105

+105

Estoril - Maritimo

Total Goals: Over 1.5

Picked @ -400

-400

Betting stats

Estoril

EST

Played 11

Maritimo

MAR

Played 12

27% 27% ATS % 42% 42%

36% 36% Totals Covered % 50% 50%

91% 91% Games over 0.5 goals 100% 100%

82% 82% Games over 1.5 goals 92% 92%

55% 55% Games over 2.5 goals 75% 75%

27% 27% Games over 3.5 goals 25% 25%

9% 9% Games over 4.5 goals 8% 8%

9% 9% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 42% 42%

0% 0% Scored in both halves 8% 8%

36% 36% Conceded in both halves 58% 58%

Last Matches

L L D L L ?

L W L L L ?

Recent form:

L L D L L ?

Recent form:

L W L L L ?

Head to Head

Last 9 years

EST

4

Wins

2

Draws

1

Win

7 played

MAR

27 May 2023

Final

Estoril

Maritimo @

3

1

22 Jan 2023

Final

Maritimo

Estoril @

1

0

05 Feb 2022

Final

Maritimo

Estoril @

0

Standings

#		Team	GP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
	15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	9:21	L D L L L ?	8
	18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	5:19	L L L L L ?	2

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Match Details

Referee

Bessa, Jose

Stadium

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Location

Estoril, Portugal

Weather Forecast

18°

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