Crewe - Newport Predictions

3 days
14th Nov 26, 10:00 AM
Winner probabilities
49%
25%
26%
1x2: Home

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Double Chance: Crewe Alexandra or Draw
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-275
Crewe Alexandra's recent form, with two wins in their last five matches, shows they're capable of competing effectively, especially at home. On the other hand, Newport County has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five outings. The historical head-to-head data confirms scoring is likely when these teams clash, and both have consistently found the back of the net. With a significant percentage of matches yielding at least one goal, betting on a Double Chance for Crewe Alexandra (1X) presents solid value. This bet not only reflects recent performance trends but also considers their home advantage—making it a favorable pick for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability 76.07%
Betting Odds Probability @-294 74.63%
1.93%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-308
The matchup between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County strongly suggests a low-scoring affair, making a prediction for total goals under 3.5 quite appealing. Both teams recently displayed mixed offensive performances, with Crewe winning only two of their last five matches and Newport struggling to find consistent scoring. Historical head-to-head data also supports this forecast, as only 33% of their past encounters have exceeded 3.5 goals. Given both teams' tendencies to defend diligently and with less emphasis on aggressive attacks, this presents a solid chance for a match dominated by defensive play. Bet wisely!
Oddspedia Model Probability 76.02%
Betting Odds Probability @-278 73.31%
3.7%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-118
With both Crewe Alexandra and Newport County struggling to consistently find the back of the net in recent matches, the prediction of total goals being under 2.5 holds strong merit. In their last five games, Crewe has recorded two wins, but their offensive output hasn’t exactly been dazzling, while Newport's mixed form also includes just one match where they scored more than one goal. Additionally, their H2H statistics support this outlook, showing that matches between these two teams frequently dip below the 2.5 goals threshold. Combining these factors, a conservative approach might favor the under, making it an enticing opportunity for bettors looking for value.
Oddspedia Model Probability 54.42%
Betting Odds Probability @-105 51.28%
6.12%
Bet value

Game Probabilities

Winner probabilities
CRA
49% Home
25% Draw
26% Away
NEW
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
6.3% <0.1% 4.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 9.2% 9.1% 4.3% 1.6% 12.8% 11.9% 6.5% 2.2% 8.7% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 2.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-0

Betting Trends

During the last 7 meetings with Crewe Alexandra playing at home, Crewe Alexandra have won 2 times, there have been 2 draws while Newport County have won 3 times. The goal difference is 14-12 in favour of Newport County.
During the last 15 meetings, Crewe Alexandra have won 3 times, there have been 5 draws while Newport County have won 7 times. The goal difference is 25-19 in favour of Newport County.
Last season's matches: 2-2 (Crewe Alexandra at home) and 2-0 (Newport County at home).

Community Picks

1
-100.67
299 Picks
3 days ago
Crewe Alexandra - Newport County
Final 1x2: Newport County
Picked @ +250
Ready to make your Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County prediction?

Betting stats

Played 20
Played 19
70% ATS % 74%
50% Totals Covered % 42%
95% Games over 0.5 goals 89%
80% Games over 1.5 goals 74%
50% Games over 2.5 goals 58%
35% Games over 3.5 goals 37%
25% Games over 4.5 goals 21%
40% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 26%
35% Scored in both halves 37%
10% Conceded in both halves 11%

Head to Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
3
Draws
6
Wins
12 played

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
4
14
5
7
2
17:17
W W L L D ?
22
14
14
4
6
4
20:17
W D D L W ?
18

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Ian Lawlor
Goalkeeper
Reece Hutchinson
Defender
Lewis Billington
Defender
Josh Stephenson
Defender
Conor Thomas
Midfielder
Luke Offord
Midfielder
Matus Holicek
Midfielder
Jordan Gibson
Forward
Josh March
Forward
Charlie McNiell
Forward
Joel Tabiner
Forward
No missing players for Crewe Alexandra

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
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Location
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Weather Forecast
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