
Northampton - Gillingham Predictions


Northampton
10th Nov 26, 2:00 PM


Gillingham
1x2: Home
+170
picks
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Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-105
Given the historical trend in matches between Northampton and Gillingham, backing under 2.5 total goals seems like a solid choice. Statistical evidence shows that while both teams have been capable of scoring, recent form indicates a struggle for higher-scoring games. Gillingham, in particular, has conceded in their last six matches, yet their ability to keep scorelines low cannot be overlooked. With the last meeting ending in a draw and a tendency for these encounters to hover around that 2-1 mark, a low-scoring affair, perhaps under 2.5 goals, fits the narrative well. Therefore, this prediction holds strong value as both squads look to tighten up defensively.
Oddspedia Model Probability
51.46%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55% 20.94% Bet value
Given the historical trend in matches between Northampton and Gillingham, backing under 2.5 total goals seems like a solid choice. Statistical evidence shows that while both teams have been capable of scoring, recent form indicates a struggle for higher-scoring games. Gillingham, in particular, has conceded in their last six matches, yet their ability to keep scorelines low cannot be overlooked. With the last meeting ending in a draw and a tendency for these encounters to hover around that 2-1 mark, a low-scoring affair, perhaps under 2.5 goals, fits the narrative well. Therefore, this prediction holds strong value as both squads look to tighten up defensively.
Oddspedia Model Probability
51.46%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55%
20.94%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Northampton vs Gillingham. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-275
Looking at the statistics, predicting total goals under 3.5 for the Northampton vs. Gillingham match makes a lot of sense. Historically, both teams show a tendency to keep games relatively low-scoring when they meet, with 33% of their encounters surpassing that threshold. Gillingham's recent struggles on the road, where they concede regularly, suggests a limitation in their offensive output, while Northampton's defensive resilience at home further supports this prediction. Given the emphasis on tighter contests between the two, an under 3.5 goal outcome appears to be a wise bet here.
Oddspedia Model Probability
72.74%
Betting Odds Probability @-189
65.23% 11.51% Bet value
Looking at the statistics, predicting total goals under 3.5 for the Northampton vs. Gillingham match makes a lot of sense. Historically, both teams show a tendency to keep games relatively low-scoring when they meet, with 33% of their encounters surpassing that threshold. Gillingham's recent struggles on the road, where they concede regularly, suggests a limitation in their offensive output, while Northampton's defensive resilience at home further supports this prediction. Given the emphasis on tighter contests between the two, an under 3.5 goal outcome appears to be a wise bet here.
Oddspedia Model Probability
72.74%
Betting Odds Probability @-189
65.23%
11.51%
Bet value
Both Teams to Score: No
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+120
Considering the recent form of both teams and their historical encounters, the prediction for "Both Teams to Score: No" is compelling. Northampton has shown defensive resilience, especially at home, where they’ve secured wins while limiting Gillingham's scoring opportunities. Gillingham, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net against stronger opponents, conceding in their last six matches. The statistics reveal Gillingham's inconsistency in away games, paired with Northampton's solid home record. With the high rate of low-scoring games between these two, it suggests a strong chance that either side could blank. This makes "Both Teams to Score: No" an attractive option.
Oddspedia Model Probability
48.4%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55% 13.75% Bet value
Considering the recent form of both teams and their historical encounters, the prediction for "Both Teams to Score: No" is compelling. Northampton has shown defensive resilience, especially at home, where they’ve secured wins while limiting Gillingham's scoring opportunities. Gillingham, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net against stronger opponents, conceding in their last six matches. The statistics reveal Gillingham's inconsistency in away games, paired with Northampton's solid home record. With the high rate of low-scoring games between these two, it suggests a strong chance that either side could blank. This makes "Both Teams to Score: No" an attractive option.
Oddspedia Model Probability
48.4%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55%
13.75%
Bet value
Consensus pick
Powered by
Community
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
100%
4 of 4
a
s
Best odds
-125
Game Probabilities
Winner probabilities
NOR
GIL

41%
Home
25%
Draw
34%
Away

Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
5.4%
0.1%
3.3%
4.0%
2.7%
0.9%
7.0%
8.2%
4.8%
1.9%
10.5%
11.8%
7.7%
3.2%
7.6%
9.1%
5.5%
2.1%
4.1%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+600
Betting Trends
Community Consensus
1
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Draw No Bet: Gillingham
100%
4 of 4
Best odds
-125
Community Picks
52
Sort by
-367.60
1712 Picks
4 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Spread: Gillingham 0
Picked @ -125
-135
+14.62
188 Picks
7 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Gillingham
Picked @ +145
+145
+33.58
954 Picks
18 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Gillingham
Picked @ +145
+145
+1,124.50
1631 Picks
22 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Spread: Gillingham 0
Picked @ -127
-135
+193.28
947 Picks
26 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
-125
-842.35
1535 Picks
27 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Northampton
Picked @ +148
+170
+11.00
61 Picks
27 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Draw
Picked @ +245
+260
+1,484.88
1794 Picks
29 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
-125
+1,050.84
2046 Picks
33 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
-125
+870.59
1647 Picks
33 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
-125
Ready to make your Northampton vs Gillingham prediction?
Betting stats
NOR
Played 17
GIL
Played 18
35%
ATS %
61%
12%
Totals Covered %
61%
94%
Games over 0.5 goals
89%
59%
Games over 1.5 goals
83%
18%
Games over 2.5 goals
61%
6%
Games over 3.5 goals
33%
0%
Games over 4.5 goals
28%
24%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
33%
12%
Scored in both halves
22%
18%
Conceded in both halves
28%
Last Matches
L
W
D
L
L
?
L
D
L
W
L
?
Head to Head

3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Win
6 played

29 Aug 2026
Final
1
1
10 Apr 2023
Final
2
1
12 Nov 2022
Final
0
2
Standings
EFL Trophy , Southern Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Cambridge United
|
3
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
12:2
|
W
W
W
|
9
| |
2
|
Gillingham
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
5:7
|
L
W
?
|
3
| |
3
|
Brighton & Hove Albion U21
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
6:10
|
W
L
L
|
3
| |
4
|
Northampton
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
1:5
|
L
L
?
|
0
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Northampton
Zach Jeacock
Goalkeeper
Jon Guthrie
Defender
Janoi Donacien
Defender
Elliott Moore
Defender
Joe Wormleighton
Defender
Josh Powell
Defender
Lee Evans
Midfielder
Owen Dale
Midfielder
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh
Midfielder
Connor Evans
Forward
Matthew Warhurst
Forward
Northampton
No missing players for Northampton
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Match Details
Referee
-
Stadium
-
Location
-
Weather Forecast
-
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