Northampton - Gillingham Predictions

10th Nov 26, 2:00 PM
Winner probabilities
41%
25%
34%
1x2: Home

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-105
Given the historical trend in matches between Northampton and Gillingham, backing under 2.5 total goals seems like a solid choice. Statistical evidence shows that while both teams have been capable of scoring, recent form indicates a struggle for higher-scoring games. Gillingham, in particular, has conceded in their last six matches, yet their ability to keep scorelines low cannot be overlooked. With the last meeting ending in a draw and a tendency for these encounters to hover around that 2-1 mark, a low-scoring affair, perhaps under 2.5 goals, fits the narrative well. Therefore, this prediction holds strong value as both squads look to tighten up defensively.
Oddspedia Model Probability 51.46%
Betting Odds Probability @+135 42.55%
20.94%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Northampton vs Gillingham. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-275
Looking at the statistics, predicting total goals under 3.5 for the Northampton vs. Gillingham match makes a lot of sense. Historically, both teams show a tendency to keep games relatively low-scoring when they meet, with 33% of their encounters surpassing that threshold. Gillingham's recent struggles on the road, where they concede regularly, suggests a limitation in their offensive output, while Northampton's defensive resilience at home further supports this prediction. Given the emphasis on tighter contests between the two, an under 3.5 goal outcome appears to be a wise bet here.
Oddspedia Model Probability 72.74%
Betting Odds Probability @-189 65.23%
11.51%
Bet value
Both Teams to Score: No
Confidence Rating
FanDuel
Best odds
+120
Considering the recent form of both teams and their historical encounters, the prediction for "Both Teams to Score: No" is compelling. Northampton has shown defensive resilience, especially at home, where they’ve secured wins while limiting Gillingham's scoring opportunities. Gillingham, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net against stronger opponents, conceding in their last six matches. The statistics reveal Gillingham's inconsistency in away games, paired with Northampton's solid home record. With the high rate of low-scoring games between these two, it suggests a strong chance that either side could blank. This makes "Both Teams to Score: No" an attractive option.
Oddspedia Model Probability 48.4%
Betting Odds Probability @+135 42.55%
13.75%
Bet value
Consensus pick
Powered by
Community
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
100%
4 of 4
a
s
bet365
Best odds
-125

Game Probabilities

Winner probabilities
NOR
41% Home
25% Draw
34% Away
GIL
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
5.4% 0.1% 3.3% 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 7.0% 8.2% 4.8% 1.9% 10.5% 11.8% 7.7% 3.2% 7.6% 9.1% 5.5% 2.1% 4.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

The most common result of matches between Northampton Town and Gillingham FC is 2-1. 4 matches have ended with this result.
During the last 9 meetings with Northampton Town playing at home, Northampton Town have won 4 times, there have been 3 draws while Gillingham FC have won 2 times. The goal difference is 15-9 in favour of Northampton Town.
During the last 20 meetings, Northampton Town have won 9 times, there have been 5 draws while Gillingham FC have won 6 times. The goal difference is 30-23 in favour of Northampton Town.

Community Consensus

1
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
100%
4 of 4
bet365
Best odds
-125

Community Picks

52
-367.60
1712 Picks
4 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Spread: Gillingham 0
Picked @ -125
+14.62
188 Picks
7 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Gillingham
Picked @ +145
+33.58
954 Picks
18 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Gillingham
Picked @ +145
+1,124.50
1631 Picks
22 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Spread: Gillingham 0
Picked @ -127
+193.28
947 Picks
26 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
-842.35
1535 Picks
27 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Northampton
Picked @ +148
+11.00
61 Picks
27 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Draw
Picked @ +245
+1,484.88
1794 Picks
29 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
+1,050.84
2046 Picks
33 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
+870.59
1647 Picks
33 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Draw No Bet: Gillingham
Picked @ +120
Ready to make your Northampton vs Gillingham prediction?

Betting stats

Played 17
Played 18
35% ATS % 61%
12% Totals Covered % 61%
94% Games over 0.5 goals 89%
59% Games over 1.5 goals 83%
18% Games over 2.5 goals 61%
6% Games over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Games over 4.5 goals 28%
24% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 33%
12% Scored in both halves 22%
18% Conceded in both halves 28%

Head to Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Win
6 played

Standings

EFL Trophy , Southern Group G

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
3
3
0
0
12:2
W W W
9
2
2
1
0
1
5:7
L W ?
3
3
3
1
0
2
6:10
W L L
3
4
2
0
0
2
1:5
L L ?
0

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Zach Jeacock
Goalkeeper
Jon Guthrie
Defender
Janoi Donacien
Defender
Elliott Moore
Defender
Joe Wormleighton
Defender
Josh Powell
Defender
Lee Evans
Midfielder
Owen Dale
Midfielder
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh
Midfielder
Connor Evans
Forward
Matthew Warhurst
Forward
No missing players for Northampton

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
-
Location
-
Weather Forecast
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