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Atletico - Real Madrid Predictions

Atletico Madrid
Final
2 - 1
(HT 0 - 0)
20th Sep 26, 10:15 AM
Real Madrid
53' Pen
A. Grimaldo
59'
J. David
89'
A. Rudiger

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Total Corners: Under 10.5
Confidence Rating
BetMGM
Won
-120
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Double Chance: Atletico Madrid or Draw
Confidence Rating
bet365
Won
-125
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Won
-163
Consensus pick
Powered by
Community
Final 1x2: Real Madrid
55%
53 of 97
E
+49
bet365
Lost
+100

Pregame Probabilities

Winner probabilities
ATM
38% Home
24% Draw
38% Away
MAD

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
9.0% 0.5% 2.5% 4.3% 3.9% 2.3% 4.5% 7.9% 7.2% 4.0% 5.9% 10.2% 8.0% 4.5% 3.9% 5.7% 4.6% 2.6% 8.5%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Community Consensus

18
20 Sep, 10:15 AM
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Over 2.5
100%
14 of 14
DraftKings
Best odds
-185
20 Sep, 10:15 AM
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
8 of 8
bet365
Best odds
+1600
20 Sep, 10:15 AM
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
First Team to Score: No Goal
100%
7 of 7
bet365
Best odds
+1600
20 Sep, 10:15 AM
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
7 of 7
Betway
Best odds
+1400
20 Sep, 10:15 AM
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Spread: Atletico Madrid +0.5
100%
6 of 6
bet365
Best odds
-114

Community Picks

307
-435.05
653 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
First Team to Score: No Goal
Lost
+1600
-435.05
653 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Under 0.5
Lost
+1400
-1,184.10
1106 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Over 3
Void
-120
-445.45
230 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Over 4.75
Lost
+386
-727.67
531 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Over 3.5
Lost
+128
+7.30
40 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
1st Half Total Goals: Over 1
Lost
-208
-35.30
62 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Total Goals: Over 2.75
Won
-156
+835.88
1617 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Half Time / Full Time: X / X
Lost
+550
+835.88
1617 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+1400
+835.88
1617 Picks
2 months ago
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+1700

Starting Lineups

Atletico Madrid Simeone, Diego
Real Madrid Mourinho, Jose
4-4-2
J. Oblak
13
M. Llorente
14
46' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
M. Pubill
18
89' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
C. Romero
21
D. Hancko
17
A
G. Simeone
20
67' Substitute Out
A. Baena
10
J. Cardoso
5
A. Grimaldo
22
89' Substitute Out
L. Kang-in
7
62' Substitute Out
J. David
15
4-2-3-1
T. Courtois
1
Yellow Card
D. Dumfries
24
I. Konate
16
Red Card
D. Huijsen
4
M. Cucurella
17
F. Valverde
8
71' Substitute Out
A. Tchouameni
14
54' Substitute Out
A. Guler
15
82' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
J. Bellingham
5
54' Substitute Out
Vinicius Junior
7
K. Mbappe
10
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Ortiz Arias, Miguel Angel
89'
R. Le Normand
Defender
C. Romero
Defender
46'
Koke
Midfielder
M. Pubill
Defender
89'
M. Hjulmand
Midfielder
L. Kang-in
Midfielder
62'
J. Alvarez
Forward
J. David
Forward
67'
A. Lookman
Forward
A. Baena
Midfielder

Betting stats

ATM
Played 16
MAD
Played 16
63% ATS % 56%
38% Totals Covered % 44%
100% Games over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Games over 1.5 goals 88%
56% Games over 2.5 goals 88%
19% Games over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Games over 4.5 goals 44%
25% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 69%
25% Scored in both halves 69%
13% Conceded in both halves 13%

Last Matches

D W W L L ?
W W W W W ?

Head to Head

Last 9 years
ATM
6
Wins
8
Draws
12
Wins
26 played
MAD
20 Sep 2026
Final
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid  @
2
1
22 Mar 2026
Final
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid  @
3
2
08 Jan 2026
Final
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid  @
1
2

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
2
Real Madrid
12
10
0
2
31:10
W W W W W ?
30
3
Atletico Madrid
12
9
1
2
23:10
W W W W L ?
28

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Match Details

Referee
Ortiz Arias, Miguel Angel
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Location
Madrid, Spain
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 29°

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