Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town Prediction, Picks & Probabilities 14/11/2026

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Swindon Town holds a strong advantage in this matchup, emerging with positive results in several recent outings, recording two wins and two draws in their last five matches. On the other hand, Grimsby Town has struggled, with three losses in their last five. Historically, both teams consistently score, with a staggering 100% of their previous encounters featuring at least one goal. Given that Swindon is likely to capitalize on home advantage and maintain their solid form, the Double Chance: 1X bet appears to be a promising choice. With an expectation of at least a draw, this bet presents a favorable opportunity for bettors looking to capitalize on current trends.

Oddspedia Model Probability 60.88%

Betting Odds Probability @-120 54.64%

11.42%

Bet value

Swindon Town holds a strong advantage in this matchup, emerging with positive results in several recent outings, recording two wins and two draws in their last five matches. On the other hand, Grimsby Town has struggled, with three losses in their last five. Historically, both teams consistently score, with a staggering 100% of their previous encounters featuring at least one goal. Given that Swindon is likely to capitalize on home advantage and maintain their solid form, the Double Chance: 1X bet appears to be a promising choice. With an expectation of at least a draw, this bet presents a favorable opportunity for bettors looking to capitalize on current trends.

Oddspedia Model Probability 60.88%

Betting Odds Probability @-120 54.64%

11.42%

Bet value

What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Given the recent form of both Swindon Town and Grimsby Town, betting on under 3.5 total goals appears to be a well-founded choice. Swindon has shown a tendency to draw and win tightly contested matches, while Grimsby’s last five games reflect a struggle to net multiple goals consistently. Historically, their head-to-head encounters support this as well, with nearly half of their matches (46%) totaling more than three goals. However, with both teams often finding it hard to score in both halves, it's reasonable to expect a more defensive approach. Thus, backing under 3.5 total goals is a sound strategy for this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 73.84%

Betting Odds Probability @-182 64.52%

14.45%

Bet value

Given the recent form of both Swindon Town and Grimsby Town, betting on under 3.5 total goals appears to be a well-founded choice. Swindon has shown a tendency to draw and win tightly contested matches, while Grimsby’s last five games reflect a struggle to net multiple goals consistently. Historically, their head-to-head encounters support this as well, with nearly half of their matches (46%) totaling more than three goals. However, with both teams often finding it hard to score in both halves, it's reasonable to expect a more defensive approach. Thus, backing under 3.5 total goals is a sound strategy for this matchup.

Oddspedia Model Probability 73.84%

Betting Odds Probability @-182 64.52%

14.45%

Bet value

Given the recent form of both Swindon Town and Grimsby Town, the prediction for total goals to be under 4.5 appears quite solid. Swindon's last five fixtures show a mixed bag, but they tend to keep matches low-scoring, as reflected by their head-to-head statistics—only 8% of past encounters have surpassed 4.5 goals. Grimsby, while having some offensive capabilities, has also struggled to break through consistently. With both teams likely focusing on defense and the historical trend favoring a lower scoring game, betting on under 4.5 goals is a compelling and strategic choice.

Oddspedia Model Probability 86.02%

Betting Odds Probability @-500 83.33%

3.23%

Bet value

Given the recent form of both Swindon Town and Grimsby Town, the prediction for total goals to be under 4.5 appears quite solid. Swindon's last five fixtures show a mixed bag, but they tend to keep matches low-scoring, as reflected by their head-to-head statistics—only 8% of past encounters have surpassed 4.5 goals. Grimsby, while having some offensive capabilities, has also struggled to break through consistently. With both teams likely focusing on defense and the historical trend favoring a lower scoring game, betting on under 4.5 goals is a compelling and strategic choice.

Oddspedia Model Probability 86.02%

Betting Odds Probability @-500 83.33%

3.23%

Bet value

Game Probabilities

Winner probabilities

SWI

32% Home

26% Draw

42% Away

GRI

Correct Score probabilities

>3 3 2 1 0

3.3% 0.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 5.1% 7.7% 5.5% 2.7% 8.8% 12.2% 8.8% 4.2% 7.4% 10.0% 6.9% 3.4% 5.8%

0 1 2 3 >3

Correct Score: 1-1

+650

Betting Trends

The most common result of matches between Swindon Town and Grimsby Town is 0-1. 5 matches have ended with this result.

During the last 13 meetings with Swindon Town playing at home, Swindon Town have won 8 times, there have been 3 draws while Grimsby Town have won 2 times. The goal difference is 29-13 in favour of Swindon Town.

During the last 26 meetings, Swindon Town have won 12 times, there have been 4 draws while Grimsby Town have won 10 times. The goal difference is 45-32 in favour of Swindon Town.

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Betting stats

Swindon Town

SWI

Played 19

Grimsby Town

GRI

Played 19

53% 53% ATS % 26% 26%

42% 42% Totals Covered % 53% 53%

89% 89% Games over 0.5 goals 95% 95%

74% 74% Games over 1.5 goals 84% 84%

58% 58% Games over 2.5 goals 68% 68%

26% 26% Games over 3.5 goals 47% 47%

5% 5% Games over 4.5 goals 21% 21%

42% 42% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 47% 47%

21% 21% Scored in both halves 16% 16%

32% 32% Conceded in both halves 37% 37%

Last Matches

W D W L L ?

D W W D L ?

Recent form:

W D W L L ?

Recent form:

D W W D L ?

Head to Head

Last 9 years

SWI

7

Wins

2

Draws

4

Wins

13 played

GRI

25 avr. 2026

Final

Grimsby Town

Swindon Town @

4

0

22 nov. 2025

Final

Swindon Town

Grimsby Town @

2

18 avr. 2025

Final

Grimsby Town

Swindon Town @

0

4

Standings

#		Team	GP	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
	6	Grimsby Town	14	5	5	4	24:18	L L D W W ?	20
	13	Swindon Town	14	5	4	5	15:17	L D W D W ?	19

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off

Swindon Town

Connor Ripley

Goalkeeper

Dan Butler

Defender

Mitchell Clarke

Defender

Stephan Negru

Defender

Billy Kirkman

Defender

James Cameron Ball

Midfielder

Jack Thomson

Midfielder

Matty Virtue

Midfielder

Joe Snowdon

Midfielder

Tom Nichols

Forward

Aaron Drinan

Forward

Swindon Town

No missing players for Swindon Town

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Swindon - Grimsby Predictions

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